Wow! Take a look at the coast of Africa!

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Post Reply
Message
Author
User avatar
N2FSU
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1066
Joined: Thu Sep 04, 2003 2:04 pm
Location: Tallahassee, FL

Wow! Take a look at the coast of Africa!

#1 Postby N2FSU » Tue Aug 01, 2006 9:18 pm

Look at what is about to roll off of Africa:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg
I believe this is the wave that some of the models had progged for development for a few days now.

August looks to be right on target.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
DESTRUCTION5
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4423
Age: 43
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:25 am
Location: Stuart, FL

#2 Postby DESTRUCTION5 » Tue Aug 01, 2006 9:20 pm

Think its the wave ahead of it with potential
0 likes   
GATOR NATION IS E V E R Y W H E R E !
Top
User avatar
Ivanhater
Storm2k Moderator
Storm2k Moderator
Posts: 11162
Age: 38
Joined: Fri Jul 01, 2005 8:25 am
Location: Pensacola

#3 Postby Ivanhater » Tue Aug 01, 2006 9:20 pm

ya, steve lyons just talked about it, he pointed out that it is about to move into the low pressure area out in front of it and models have it becoming a vigorous tropical cyclone
0 likes   
Michael
Top
User avatar
Cape Verde
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 564
Age: 70
Joined: Tue Aug 31, 2004 5:53 pm
Location: Houston area

#4 Postby Cape Verde » Tue Aug 01, 2006 9:20 pm

Hi little baby Debbie!

This is not an official forecast. I don't know what the heck I'm talking about, etc, blah blah blah.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Grease Monkey
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 727
Joined: Fri Jun 09, 2006 9:25 pm

#5 Postby Grease Monkey » Tue Aug 01, 2006 9:24 pm

Also how long will it be just a baby Debby? :wink:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
HurricaneJim
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 136
Joined: Thu Aug 26, 2004 9:26 pm
Location: Rucksack, somewhere
Contact:
Contact HurricaneJim

#6 Postby HurricaneJim » Tue Aug 01, 2006 9:25 pm

Here we go.....


Jim
http://www.myspace.com/hurricanejim
http://www.myspace.com/stormchasetroopers
Image
0 likes   
Top
CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34093
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#7 Postby CrazyC83 » Tue Aug 01, 2006 10:47 pm

This could be a monster brewing here...it won't be Little Debbie for very long...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Grease Monkey
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 727
Joined: Fri Jun 09, 2006 9:25 pm

#8 Postby Grease Monkey » Tue Aug 01, 2006 10:49 pm

Man that reminds me of those delicious brownies.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Beam
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 292
Joined: Fri Aug 19, 2005 2:06 pm

#9 Postby Beam » Tue Aug 01, 2006 11:11 pm

I prefer the boston creme rolls myself.

Back on topic... yeah, looks like our next lucky invest, at least. CV wave train is chugging along ahead of schedule, no?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Aquawind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6714
Age: 62
Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 10:41 pm
Location: Salisbury, NC
Contact:
Contact Aquawind

#10 Postby Aquawind » Tue Aug 01, 2006 11:11 pm

GFS 90 hours out.. 1008 low..

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_090s.gif
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
AnnularCane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2879
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:18 am
Location: Wytheville, VA

#11 Postby AnnularCane » Tue Aug 01, 2006 11:14 pm

Grease Monkey wrote:Also how long will it be just a baby Debby? :wink:



They grow up too fast. :)
0 likes   
Top
clfenwi
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3331
Joined: Thu Jun 09, 2005 12:54 pm

#12 Postby clfenwi » Wed Aug 02, 2006 2:18 am

UKMET has forecast formation for a couple of runs now...

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS

FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 12.6N 22.5W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 05.08.2006 12.6N 22.5W WEAK
12UTC 05.08.2006 12.4N 25.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 06.08.2006 11.8N 28.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 06.08.2006 11.9N 31.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 07.08.2006 12.4N 33.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 07.08.2006 12.9N 35.6W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 08.08.2006 13.6N 38.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
mobilebay
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1853
Age: 51
Joined: Wed Aug 18, 2004 1:22 am
Location: Mobile, Alabama

#13 Postby mobilebay » Wed Aug 02, 2006 2:21 am

clfenwi wrote:UKMET has forecast formation for a couple of runs now...

NEW TROPICAL STORM FORECAST TO DEVELOP AFTER 72 HOURS

FORECAST POSITION AT T+ 72 : 12.6N 22.5W

VERIFYING TIME POSITION STRENGTH TENDENCY
-------------- -------- -------- --------
00UTC 05.08.2006 12.6N 22.5W WEAK
12UTC 05.08.2006 12.4N 25.6W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 06.08.2006 11.8N 28.4W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 06.08.2006 11.9N 31.1W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
00UTC 07.08.2006 12.4N 33.5W WEAK LITTLE CHANGE
12UTC 07.08.2006 12.9N 35.6W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY
00UTC 08.08.2006 13.6N 38.1W WEAK INTENSIFYING SLIGHTLY

Noticed also the Canadian, and the GFS develops it also. The ooZ canadian deepens it rapidly.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
raindrops68
Tropical Low
Tropical Low
Posts: 36
Joined: Tue Aug 01, 2006 3:28 pm
Location: Lake Conroe

#14 Postby raindrops68 » Wed Aug 02, 2006 2:46 am

MMMMM Little Debbie I love the Oatmeal Creme Pie oh wait that's not what you are talking about. Dang now I need me a little snack :lol:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Aquawind
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6714
Age: 62
Joined: Mon Jun 16, 2003 10:41 pm
Location: Salisbury, NC
Contact:
Contact Aquawind

#15 Postby Aquawind » Wed Aug 02, 2006 6:32 am

The way the GFS is handling Chris I think it actually is a Oatmeal Creme Pie.. :eek:
0 likes   
Top
Josephine96

#16 Postby Josephine96 » Wed Aug 02, 2006 7:14 am

Chris looks a bit like an oatmeal creme pie with how compact he is :lol:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
x-y-no
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 8359
Age: 65
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2004 12:14 pm
Location: Fort Lauderdale, FL

#17 Postby x-y-no » Wed Aug 02, 2006 7:37 am

That is the system I think is likely to become Debbie ... but I'm not going to get excited about it until it gets past 40W without going poof.

8-)
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
canegrl04
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2486
Joined: Thu Aug 26, 2004 5:37 pm
Location: Texas

#18 Postby canegrl04 » Wed Aug 02, 2006 7:46 am

HOLY..... the tropics are revving up :eek: This could become dastardly Debbie
0 likes   
Top
Josephine96

#19 Postby Josephine96 » Wed Aug 02, 2006 8:09 am

keep the tropics busy.. It's getting to that time of the season :wink:
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:
Contact SouthFloridawx

#20 Postby SouthFloridawx » Wed Aug 02, 2006 8:24 am

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... 7&start=80
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: CourierPR, HeatherAKC and 32 guests