Local S FL Mets

sprink52 · #21 Postby **sprink52** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 6:10 pm

We sure are going to miss Rob Lopicola this year...maybe he'll find out about this board and join us. 8-)

#22 Postby **BocaGirl** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 6:19 pm

sprink52 wrote:We sure are going to miss Rob Lopicola this year...maybe he'll find out about this board and join us.

I noticed he hasn't been on Channel 5......where'd he go?

BocaGirl
Barbara

#23 Postby **fci** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 6:36 pm

Lopicola left Channel 5 in May and has his own company he's launching his own company as a professional public speaker, complete with an eponymous Web site and a self-published book.. "I've opened my own business called RJ Lopicola Enterprises Inc.," Lopicola, 35

#24 Postby **Windtalker1** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 7:00 pm

Channel 4 Miami has started Hourly updates either in person by Brian Norcross or scrolling across the bottom of the TV Screen.

#25 Postby **hiflyer** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 7:19 pm

Dang....here I am in SoCal just recovering from the heat wave we sent to y'all back east...grin. Will be back in SoFla Weds pm..thanks for posting what the talking heads on tv are saying....seems to fit that we have Castro and Chris at the same time. Anyone notice if the birds are disappearing? (don't ask why...they just do as a storm approaches....)

#26 Postby **Windtalker1** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 7:20 pm

hiflyer wrote:Dang....here I am in SoCal just recovering from the heat wave we sent to y'all back east...grin. Will be back in SoFla Weds pm..thanks for posting what the talking heads on tv are saying....seems to fit that we have Castro and Chris at the same time. Anyone notice if the birds are disappearing? (don't ask why...they just do as a storm approaches....)

A few birds here and there but not as many as usual...do they know something we don't?

#27 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 7:34 pm

Windtalker1 wrote:
hiflyer wrote:Dang....here I am in SoCal just recovering from the heat wave we sent to y'all back east...grin. Will be back in SoFla Weds pm..thanks for posting what the talking heads on tv are saying....seems to fit that we have Castro and Chris at the same time. Anyone notice if the birds are disappearing? (don't ask why...they just do as a storm approaches....)
A few birds here and there but not as many as usual...do they know something we don't?

Not as many birds in the air that I have noticed. Actually I was thinkin the same thing this afternoon on my way home from work.

#28 Postby **Windtalker1** » Wed Aug 02, 2006 5:34 am

Channel 6 miami at 5am has a 5 day track they are showing that is no where near Cuba like alot of the previous maps show. Their new map shows an almost direct hit on south Florida. Is this a new track?

#29 Postby **TampaFl** » Wed Aug 02, 2006 6:09 am

Windtalker1 wrote:Channel 6 miami at 5am has a 5 day track they are showing that is no where near Cuba like alot of the previous maps show. Their new map shows an almost direct hit on south Florida. Is this a new track?

Sebastian

Yes it is Sebastian.

[img]

[/quote][/img]

000
WTNT43 KNHC 020858
TCDAT3
TROPICAL STORM CHRIS DISCUSSION NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL032006
500 AM EDT WED AUG 02 2006

THE
GFS...GFS ENSEMBLE...NOGAPS...AND UKMET MODELS HAVE MADE A
SIGNIFICANT NORTHWARD SHIFT AND ARE NOW ON THE RIGHT SIDE OF THE
MODEL GUIDANCE ENVELOPE. THE CANADIAN AND ECMWF MODELS HAVE ALSO
SHIFTED NORTHWARD AND NO LONGER TAKE CHRIS ACROSS THE GREATER
ANTILLES. THE LONE OUTLIER MODEL APPEARS TO BE THE GFDL...WHICH
ALMOST IMMEDIATELY TAKES CHRIS DUE WEST ACROSS THE NORTH COAST OF
PUERTO RICO AND INTO HISPANIOLA. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST TRACK IS A
LITTLE NORTH OF THE PREVIOUS TRACK...AND MUCH FARTHER NORTH THAN
THE MODEL CONSENSUS DUE TO THE GFDL MODEL BEING A LARGE OUTLIER. IT
SHOULD BE POINTED OUT THAT THE GFS...GFS ENSEMBLE...UKMET...AND
NOGAPS CONSENSUS FORECAST PLACES CHRIS VERY NEAR THE SOUTHERN TIP
OF FLORIDA IN 120 HOURS...AND SUBSEQUENT FORECAST TRACKS MAY HAVE
TO SHIFTED A LITTLE FARTHER NORTH IF THOSE MODEL TRENDS CONTINUE.FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 02/0900Z 18.8N 62.6W 50 KT
12HR VT 02/1800Z 19.4N 64.0W 55 KT
24HR VT 03/0600Z 20.0N 65.8W 60 KT
36HR VT 03/1800Z 20.6N 67.6W 65 KT
48HR VT 04/0600Z 21.2N 69.5W 65 KT
72HR VT 05/0600Z 22.2N 73.5W 65 KT
96HR VT 06/0600Z 23.3N 77.5W 70 KT
120HR VT 07/0600Z 24.5N 82.5W 70 KT

$$
FORECASTER STEWART

#30 Postby **Canelaw99** » Wed Aug 02, 2006 10:07 pm

Bryan Norcross on CBS 4 says that the high pressure is forecast to weaken by Saturday and that may allow Chris to wobble back to the north, and the question becomes where Chris is located on Saturday when it weakens. He stresses that today's events are not to be looked upon with complete relief because this was just one day and there are many more questions yet to be answered, so those of us on the tip of the FL peninsula, still in the cone, need to be mindful of this storm and to prepare just in case, basically....

wxwonder12 · #31 Postby **wxwonder12** » Wed Aug 02, 2006 10:10 pm

Brian Norcross is a good meteorologist

#32 Postby **Canelaw99** » Wed Aug 02, 2006 10:12 pm

yes he is, and that's why I pay attention to what he says. When he says to not totally let our guard down, I still pay attention. As he said, it all comes down to timing - timing of where Chris is when the high weakens...it can make all the difference in the world on where he goes, and I, for one, do not believe that Chris is done with the strengthing he's capable of....

jhamps10 · #33 Postby **jhamps10** » Wed Aug 02, 2006 10:13 pm

I think brian said the best words right there, just because of what he did today, s. florida is STILL in the cone, and needs to watch this like it was bearing down right on them, who knows in the morning he could be moving more north and avoid Hispbonla, cuba and be in the straights.

#34 Postby **Canelaw99** » Wed Aug 02, 2006 10:21 pm

Yes, S. FL IS still in the cone, and I'll be honest, just watching Bryan talk about the potential on the air tonight didn't make me believe that he was buying the southerly shift in the track tonight. Maybe I'm overreading things or something, but it just seemed like he was hesitant to even mention in, and he was very strong in cautioning S. FL to watch and prepare, just in case....I've watched him the last couple of years and it seems like in past storms he was more confident in what was occuring in a storm's life than he was tonight. Maybe someone else who watched him tonight could chime in....?

#35 Postby **windycity** » Wed Aug 02, 2006 10:29 pm

Brian is a excellent met with a great track record. With that said,i think hes being conservative in what he says. I think most pro mets do the same.

jusforsean · #36 Postby **jusforsean** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 7:20 am

Funny, channel 7 fox is running the text message below the screen saying that chris has wearkened for now but is still moving wnw and possible a threat for south florida.

#37 Postby **Windtalker1** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 7:51 am

jusforsean wrote:Funny, channel 7 fox is running the text message below the screen saying that chris has wearkened for now but is still moving wnw and possible a threat for south florida.

I wouldn't write Chris off just yet.

#38 Postby **tgenius** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 7:54 am

Windtalker1 wrote:
jusforsean wrote:Funny, channel 7 fox is running the text message below the screen saying that chris has wearkened for now but is still moving wnw and possible a threat for south florida.
I wouldn't write Chris off just yet.

And I would say Chris is as good as dead...and that WSVN with their shock media are trying to save a dead story.

FloridaDiver · #39 Postby **FloridaDiver** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 10:38 am

tgenius wrote:
Windtalker1 wrote:
jusforsean wrote:Funny, channel 7 fox is running the text message below the screen saying that chris has wearkened for now but is still moving wnw and possible a threat for south florida.
I wouldn't write Chris off just yet.

And I would say Chris is as good as dead...and that WSVN with their shock media are trying to save a dead story.

I remember back in the days when news stations just REPORTED the news, not create or hype up the news… South Floridian’s should never forget the images of WSVN’s Rick Sanchez squatting over the floor maps of Iraq several years ago during the first Gulf crisis. If he was still there would he be squatting over a floor map of the Caribbean pointing out the remnants of Chris with one hand and the estimated location of Castro’s hospital bed with the other….very sad state of local TV, all I can say is thank god for satellite TV and the internet (storm2k).

#40 Postby **BocaGirl** » Thu Aug 03, 2006 10:41 am

FloridaDiver wrote:
tgenius wrote:
Windtalker1 wrote:
jusforsean wrote:Funny, channel 7 fox is running the text message below the screen saying that chris has wearkened for now but is still moving wnw and possible a threat for south florida.
I wouldn't write Chris off just yet.

And I would say Chris is as good as dead...and that WSVN with their shock media are trying to save a dead story.

I remember back in the days when news stations just REPORTED the news, not create or hype up the news… South Floridian’s should never forget the images of WSVN’s Rick Sanchez squatting over the floor maps of Iraq several years ago during the first Gulf crisis. If he was still there would he be squatting over a floor map of the Caribbean pointing out the remnants of Chris with one hand and the estimated location of Castro’s hospital bed with the other….very sad state of local TV, all I can say is thank god for satellite TV and the internet (storm2k).

Have you checked out CNN lately? Rick Sanchez is now one their reporters and he was reporting live from Calle Ocho yesterday morning!

BocaGirl
Barbara

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