Tropical Storm Chris

[storms in NC]

Maybe you all are right. I should be safe.

[HouTXmetro]

Is he talking specifically about Houston having a problem, or just using that quote in general context?

I am 99% sure he is talking about Houston as a city. At this point he probably does not mean that this will hit Houston specifically, but I think he is trying to say that the western Gulf could be in trouble if this thing survives the next 5 days.

I don't think he is saying that at all. He says "Houston, we have a problem" a lot...even when he doesn't think soemthing is coming into the western GOM. Chances are...you are wanting Houston to have a problem.

It's a line from the Apollo 13 troubles...being we have a problem. If they would have said "Cleveland..." Joe would have said Cleveland...

If it's able to survive, all indications are that it will be in the Gulf. Secondly from what I'm hearing about a Strong High, the High could possibly push it further west in the Gulf so he could indeed be talking about a threat to our region and Houston is the biggest Metro area in the region.

[wxman57]

Here's a new McIDAS image. Center more exposed and less defined:

http://myweb.cableone.net/nolasue/chris2.gif

[SouthFloridawx]

I am at work so I'm looking forward to the reports coming from you guys.

[ConvergenceZone]

I agree, if it gets into the gulf, it could spell trouble, anywhere else and there's nothing to worry about, as it will probably just be a weak tropical storm at best(if it survives). I finally had the chance to look at all the maps and charts, and now I can see why all the models are dissipating this storm.

[Wthrman13]

Is he talking specifically about Houston having a problem, or just using that quote in general context?

I am 99% sure he is talking about Houston as a city. At this point he probably does not mean that this will hit Houston specifically, but I think he is trying to say that the western Gulf could be in trouble if this thing survives the next 5 days.

I don't think he is saying that at all. He says "Houston, we have a problem" a lot...even when he doesn't think soemthing is coming into the western GOM. Chances are...you are wanting Houston to have a problem.

It's a line from the Apollo 13 troubles...being we have a problem. If they would have said "Cleveland..." Joe would have said Cleveland...

And in that case, (Apollo 13), they really were talking about Houston, because that is where Mission Control was

[Extremeweatherguy]

Is he talking specifically about Houston having a problem, or just using that quote in general context?

I am 99% sure he is talking about Houston as a city. At this point he probably does not mean that this will hit Houston specifically, but I think he is trying to say that the western Gulf could be in trouble if this thing survives the next 5 days.

I don't think he is saying that at all. He says "Houston, we have a problem" a lot...even when he doesn't think soemthing is coming into the western GOM. Chances are...you are wanting Houston to have a problem.

It's a line from the Apollo 13 troubles...being we have a problem. If they would have said "Cleveland..." Joe would have said Cleveland...

The only time he says "Houston, we have a problem" is usually when a system is going to potentially be a threat to the western Gulf. He said the same thing before Rita.

As for you saying that I want Houston to have a problem...that is incorrect. I very much do not want Houston to have a problem. I am just very worried, because this system could potentially be taking a dangerous track that could bring it into the GOM and potentially then toward the west or central Gulf after that (which includes Corpus Christi, Houston, Lake Charles, New Orleans, Biloxi, etc. all of which do not need a storm).

[Aquawind]

Maybe you all are right. I should be safe.

Or maybe not.. keep paying attention like everyone else.

[Zadok]

Tropical Storm Chris to soak Leewards, has potential for something bigger

By Ken Kaye
sun-sentinel.com
Posted August 1 2006, 11:40 AM EDT

MIAMI -- Don't look now, but Tropical Storm Chris emerged in the Atlantic near the Lesser Antilles on Tuesday and its initial path takes it toward South Florida, with the system near our doorstep on Sunday.

The good news: For now, the National Hurricane Center projects that it will remain a tropical storm with maximum winds of 60 mph. Also, long-range predictions hint that the system will turn south just before it reaches South Florida. Several computer models aim the system well to the south, across Cuba.



The bad news: Five-day projections can hold large errors, and it's possible it will continue in this direction and swell into a hurricane.

"Obviously, that can't be ruled out," said Dave Roberts, a Navy meteorologist assigned to the hurricane center, which is in Miami-Dade County.
http://www.sun-sentinel.com/news/local/ ... -news-sfla

[Noles2006]

Doesn't look too healthy.

It'll be a struggle to make it through the day.

[curtadams]

Quickscat last night indicated both areas of convection had storm-relative but NOT formally closed circulations. My guess is that the sheared updraft from the forming storm reactivated the wave axis to its east, which had been quiescent for a day, and that developed into a storm of its own. The SW (and older) circulation is now formally closed, and neither radar nor Quickscat has seen the NE circulation. However, I'm confident that it's still there, which means Chris is really two nearby storms. The two are appear to be Fujiwaraing each other, as the NE circulation started to the south of the old circulation, and I see slow rotation on AVN. WXman57's low is more or less the center of the two storms but there's nothing much going on there. I would guess that the two storms will interfere with each other and so Chris will weaken but maybe somebody actually knows what happens when storms interact like this. Low cloud circulation is weakening rapidly - it's the reverse of the boom yesterday.

[shaggy]

it looks bad and maybe the models have it right and this one is onethat bites it in the end.Lets hope so but if it doesn't its still not likely to be a threat for my area so the rest of you have good luck and hope it misses you too.

[skysummit]

Doesn't look too healthy.

It'll be a struggle to make it through the day.

Yea....that's what the majority said yesterday too.

[Roxy]

Is he talking specifically about Houston having a problem, or just using that quote in general context?

I am 99% sure he is talking about Houston as a city. At this point he probably does not mean that this will hit Houston specifically, but I think he is trying to say that the western Gulf could be in trouble if this thing survives the next 5 days.

I don't think he is saying that at all. He says "Houston, we have a problem" a lot...even when he doesn't think soemthing is coming into the western GOM. Chances are...you are wanting Houston to have a problem.

It's a line from the Apollo 13 troubles...being we have a problem. If they would have said "Cleveland..." Joe would have said Cleveland...

And in that case, (Apollo 13), they really were talking about Houston, because that is where Mission Control was

and still is.

As a Houston resident who works in the Space Biz, I'd be happy to never hear the phrase "Houston we have a problem." again....everyone thinks it's funny....I just find it annoying.

[M_0331]

ULL moving W as predicted

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/nwatl/loop-wv.html

so is that good or bad?

I'm not sure, can somebody else answer?

Bad, It widens the slot for Chris to get thru and less shear. Still looks like
a Floyd wannabee.

[Aquawind]

Doesn't look too healthy.

It'll be a struggle to make it through the day.

It looks like recon will not find a TS..

[Air Force Met]

If it's able to survive, all indications are that it will be in the Gulf. Secondly from what I'm hearing about a Strong High, the High could possibly push it further west in the Gulf so he could indeed be talking about a threat to our region and Houston is the biggest Metro area in the region.

He says "Houston, we have a problem" even when a storm is forecast to maybe not recurve and could hit the east coast. I've heard him.

So what's that explaination?

I have no doubts this could be a GOM player. None. However, reading something more into this than what it is, is foolish...especially when he uses this phrase on systems that might threaten the east coast. That is really reaching.

[Noles2006]

Doesn't look too healthy.

It'll be a struggle to make it through the day.

Yea....that's what the majority said yesterday too.

Nah, the majority said it was getting better organized yesterday.

[HouTXmetro]

Quickscat last night indicated both areas of convection had storm-relative but NOT formally closed circulations. My guess is that the sheared updraft from the forming storm reactivated the wave axis to its east, which had been quiescent for a day, and that developed into a storm of its own. The SW (and older) circulation is now formally closed, and neither radar nor Quickscat has seen the NE circulation. However, I'm confident that it's still there, which means Chris is really two nearby storms. The two are appear to be Fujiwaraing each other, as the NE circulation started to the south of the old circulation, and I see slow rotation on AVN. WXman57's low is more or less the center of the two storms but there's nothing much going on there. I would guess that the two storms will interfere with each other and so Chris will weaken but maybe somebody actually knows what happens when storms interact like this. Low cloud circulation is weakening rapidly - it's the reverse of the boom yesterday.

So you telling me we have Chris and Debby?

[storms in NC]

Maybe you all are right. I should be safe.

Or maybe not.. keep paying attention like everyone else.

Hey my neice lives there. on st luke st