Local reports from Leewards,BVI,USVI and Puerto Rico

#1 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jul 31, 2006 10:26 pm

This thread will be for the members who live in the NE Caribbean islands that include the Leewards,British Virgin Islands,U.S Virgin Islands and Puerto Rico to report their observations as this depression moves thru the NE Caribbean.

#2 Postby **bvigal** » Mon Jul 31, 2006 11:12 pm

SUBJ: TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING
WTNT01 KNGU 010301
1. TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE 03L) WARNING NR 001
01 ACTIVE TROPICAL CYCLONE IN ATLANTIC
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS BASED ON ONE-MINUTE AVERAGE
---
WARNING POSITION:
010000Z --- NEAR 16.4N 58.9W
MOVEMENT PAST SIX HOURS - 295 DEGREES AT 14 KTS
POSITION ACCURATE TO WITHIN 060 NM
POSITION BASED ON CENTER LOCATED BY SATELLITE
PRESENT WIND DISTRIBUTION:
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
REPEAT POSIT: 16.4N 58.9W
---
FORECASTS:
12 HRS, VALID AT:
011200Z --- 17.4N 61.2W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
VECTOR TO 24 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
24 HRS, VALID AT:
020000Z --- 18.3N 63.4W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
VECTOR TO 36 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
36 HRS, VALID AT:
021200Z --- 19.2N 65.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
VECTOR TO 48 HR POSIT: 295 DEG/ 11 KTS
---
EXTENDED OUTLOOK:
48 HRS, VALID AT:
030000Z --- 20.1N 67.7W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 030 KT, GUSTS 040 KT
VECTOR TO 72 HR POSIT: 290 DEG/ 10 KTS
---
72 HRS, VALID AT:
040000Z --- 21.5N 71.5W
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS - 025 KT, GUSTS 030 KT
DISSIPATING
---
REMARKS:
010300Z POSITION NEAR 16.6N3 59.4W8 OR APPROX 412NM ESE
OF SAN JUAN, PUERTO RICO. THERE ARE NO 12FT SEAS.
NEXT WARNINGS AT 010900Z, 011500Z, 012100Z AND 020300Z.//
BT
#0001

#3 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 5:01 am

TROPICAL STORM CHRIS LOCAL STATEMENT
PRZ001>013-VIZ001-002-AMZ710>750-011630-

BULLETIN-EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TROPICAL STORM CHRIS LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE SAN JUAN PR
530 AM AST TUE AUG 1 2006

...TROPICAL DEPRESSION THREE STRENGTHENS INTO TROPICAL STORM CHRIS...
...NEW TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS AND WATCHES ISSUED...

...WATCHES...
TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR PUERTO RICO AND THE U.S.
VIRGIN ISLANDS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
POSSIBLE WITHIN THE WATCH AREA...GENERALLY WITHIN 36 HOURS.

...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT RECOMMENDS ACTIONS TO BE TAKEN BY RESIDENTS AND
VISITORS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND PUERTO RICO.

...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
RESIDENTS AND VISITORS OF THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS PUERTO RICO SHOULD
BEGIN TO MAKE PREPARATIONS FOR POSSIBLE TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS
BEGINNING LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING.

...STORM UPDATE...
AT 500 AM AST...TROPICAL DEPRESSION NUMBER THREE STRENGTHENED TO
TROPICAL STORM CHRIS AND WAS LOCATED AT LATITUDE 16.6
NORTH...LONGITUDE 59.2 WEST...OR ABOUT...175 MILES EAST OF
ANTIGUA...OR ABOUT 345 MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST CROIX OR ABOUT 370
MILES SOUTHEAST OF ST THOMAS OR ABOUT 435 MILES SOUTHEAST OF SAN
JUAN.

THE TROPICAL STORM WAS MOVING WEST NORTHWEST NEAR 9 MPH...WITH THIS
GENERAL MOTION EXPECTED TO CONTINUE FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME
STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. AN
AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT IS SCHEDULED TO
INVESTIGATE THE TROPICAL STORM THIS AFTERNOON.

...WIND IMPACTS...
WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO INCREASE TONIGHT OVER THE U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS...WITH SUSTAINED WINDS FORECAST TO REACH AROUND 50 MPH WITH
HIGHER GUSTS BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING AS TROPICAL STORM CHRIS
APPROACHES THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS.

WINDS OVER PUERTO RICO ARE FORECAST TO INCREASE TO NEAR 60 MPH BY
WEDNSEDAY MORNING WITH STRONGER GUSTS ALONG THE NORTHERN HALF OF THE
ISLAND AND IN HIGHER ELEVATIONS.

...MARINE IMPACTS...
SURF WILL INCREASE ACROSS THE LOCAL ATLANTIC COASTAL WATERS AND
THROUGH THE ANEGADA PASSAGE AND THE ATLANTIC THROUGH WEDNESDAY
AFTERNOON AND WILL LIKELY REACH 8 TO 9 FEET AS TROPICAL STORM CHRIS
PASSES. SMALL CRAFT SHOULD PLAN TO RETURN TO SAFE HARBOR LATER THIS
EVENING AND PLAN TO REMAIN IN PORT THROUGH WEDNESDAY.

...RAINFALL AND FLASH FLOOD POTENTIAL...
SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS ASSOCIATED WITH THE WESTERN FRINGES OF
TROPICAL STORM CHRIS SHOULD BEGIN LATE TONIGHT INTO EARLY WEDNESDAY
ACROSS THE U.S. VIRGIN ISLANDS AND OVER EASTERN SECTIONS OF PUERTO
RICO BY EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING. LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS ARE POSSIBLE AS
THE CENTER OF THE STORM PASSES JUST NORTHEAST OF THE VIRGIN ISLANDS
AND PUERTO RICO ON ITS FORECAST TRACK. RAINFALL TOTALS OF AT LEAST
THREE TO SIX INCHES ARE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE AREA LATE TONIGHT INTO
WEDNESDAY WITH LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS ESPECIALLY ACROSS THE EAST AND
SOUTHEAST INTERIOR SECTIONS OF PUERTO RICO. RIVERS ACROSS PUERTO
RICO COULD EXPERIENCE RAPID RISES WITH SOME RIVERS EXCEEDING
BANKFULL ON WEDNESDAY.

ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON TROPICAL STORM CHRIS CAN BE FOUND IN THE
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER TROPICAL CYCLONE PRODUCTS AND TROPICAL
CYCLONE MARINE ADVISORIES.

...OR VISIT THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE PUERTO RICO AND U.S. VIRGIN
ISLANDS WEBSITE ON THE INTERNET AT (ALL LOWERCASE LETTERS).

HTTP://WWW.SRH.NOAA.GOV/SJU

THE NEXT HURRICANE LOCAL STATEMENT WILL BE ISSUED BY 1130 AM AST
BY YOUR NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORECAST OFFICE IN SAN JUAN PUERTO
RICO.

RGZ

Local statement.

#4 Postby **bvigal** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 6:10 am

5am, location 16.6N, 59.2W, motion 285 degrees, pressure 1009mb, winds 35kt with gusts to 45kt.
Current position places Chris the following distances in nautical miles: Guadeloupe 136 Antigua 153 St. Kitts 206 St. Martin 242 Anegada 320 Spanish Town 319 Road Town 329 St. Croix 330 Roosevelt Roads 384 San Juan 407

HUC · #5 Postby **HUC** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 6:10 am

Obs in Guadeloupe(Basse-Terre);sky mostly cloudy with cirrus and strato-cumulus-winds light,variable.Hope we don't got to much rain!!!!!

caribepr · #6 Postby **caribepr** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 6:17 am

Observations on Culebra are, should I get out of here today and go to San Juan overnight to make sure I can be at the airport on time tomorrow whether or not they fly??

#7 Postby **bvigal** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 6:28 am

Hi MJ!

Gosh, that's a tuff call. If it were me, I think I'd go today and do standby for an earlier flight, if possible, just in case things speed up. Ya know? The tourists will race for the airports and all these people being thrown off boats they are sleeping on who can't get hotel rooms will do the same.

#8 Postby **bvigal** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 6:31 am

HUC wrote:Obs in Guadeloupe(Basse-Terre);sky mostly cloudy with cirrus and strato-cumulus-winds light,variable.Hope we don't got to much rain!!!!!

Good morning, HUC! Your airport has been recording light W or W/SW winds the last few hours. Any showers started yet?

caribepr · #9 Postby **caribepr** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 6:31 am

I know, and agree. I'm going to call Air Flamenco...LUCKILY, the island is pretty empty right now and I'm a local, two points in my favor for getting out today if I go that way. Thanks. #@!*!!!

And right now, it is such a beautiful morning...

Well, that was not so helpful. Air Flamenco says...it's your call, it's too early for us to say, BUT we do have room for on the next two flights out...

Hmmmm :roll:

HUC · #10 Postby **HUC** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 6:50 am

Hello bvigal,no showers in my location(the so tip of Guadeloupe),and as i'am in the leeward side,i got no significant wind at this time In the islands of Los Santos,south of Gpe,and where the anemometer is fon the front sea,the winds are steady from the NO at 8kh.For all of you:you can go to the site smxcyclone.com/ then click over:bulletin meteo,then you can access to automatic weather stations like Les Saintes,Sain tMartin....enjoy.
For me,i'am ggoing to ...work....So long

#11 Postby **bvigal** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 6:55 am

Thanks HUC!

MJ, whatever you do, good luck! And have a nice vaca!! I've got to run to town and do the bottled water, gas, dogfood, cash thing- out of all four. :roll:

Back in time for 11am track update.

caribepr · #12 Postby **caribepr** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 7:27 am

Good luck to all in the path of whatever Chris turns out to be!

#13 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 7:34 am

The goverment of Puerto Rico will hold an emergency meeting this afternoon to draw the plans of emergency in the eventuality Tropical Storm Chris makes a direct landfall in Puerto Rico.

#14 Postby **HurricaneQueen** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:07 am

Good luck to all my friends in the Caribbean. We'll be down there in 3 1/2 weeks for our annual St. Maarten trip. MJ, haven't talked to you in a while but my advise its to get out while you can. Worse case scenario, you spend an extra day in P.R.

Be safe,

Lynn

#15 Postby **bvigal** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:30 am

Luis, Are they doing recon today? National Hurricane Center site STILL has not updated "Plan of the Day" etc, still showing Sunday and Monday. If I go by that, they should have flown at 2am this morning. So did they cancel 2 scheduled flights? Does that mean they go at 2pm today?

#16 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:39 am

bvigal wrote:Luis, Are they doing recon today? National Hurricane Center site STILL has not updated "Plan of the Day" etc, still showing Sunday and Monday. If I go by that, they should have flown at 2am this morning. So did they cancel 2 scheduled flights? Does that mean they go at 2pm today?

They will depart from St Croix at noon.

#17 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:42 am

cycloneye wrote:
bvigal wrote:Luis, Are they doing recon today? National Hurricane Center site STILL has not updated "Plan of the Day" etc, still showing Sunday and Monday. If I go by that, they should have flown at 2am this morning. So did they cancel 2 scheduled flights? Does that mean they go at 2pm today?

They will depart from St Croix at noon.

i though all flights were being sent out of biloxi?

x-y-no · #18 Postby **x-y-no** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 8:44 am

fact789 wrote:
cycloneye wrote:
bvigal wrote:Luis, Are they doing recon today? National Hurricane Center site STILL has not updated "Plan of the Day" etc, still showing Sunday and Monday. If I go by that, they should have flown at 2am this morning. So did they cancel 2 scheduled flights? Does that mean they go at 2pm today?

They will depart from St Croix at noon.

i though all flights were being sent out of biloxi?

No, they frequently forward post a plane in St. Croix when there's a system in the MDR.

caribepr · #19 Postby **caribepr** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 9:37 am

Plans made - leaving here at 3:30 for San Juan, spending the night at the Green Isle (Luis, somewhere in Condado - but cheap! If I didn't think you'd be glued to the screen, I'd suggest meeting up, but I'll be in front of a television somewhere myself), I want sushi!
Hopefully the flight for Montreal will go as scheduled, but at least I'll be there to find out! Is it really not even 11 a.m. yet???
Luis, Barb and Gloria (and of course, all the rest but you three I know more), best of luck, hope it's a no show, a non-event, a warning rather than the reality. It's REALLY hard to be leaving:(

#20 Postby **msbee** » Tue Aug 01, 2006 9:51 am

hey neighbors.
It's Barbara and I am in Boston dying in this heat wave up here.
Hope CHris dpoesn't cause anyone too much trouble.
I have my spies in St. Maarten reporting in to me on a reghular basis.
Good luck everyone!

MJ. I know what you mean that it's hard to be leaving. I feel like a fish out of water up here. I would rather be home and supervising everything

Local reports from Leewards,BVI,USVI and Puerto Rico

Local reports from Leewards,BVI,USVI and Puerto Rico

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