Invest 90L E of Carolina's,Comments,Sat Pics Etc

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brunota2003
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Invest 90L E of Carolina's,Comments,Sat Pics Etc

#1 Postby brunota2003 » Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:53 am

I didnt see a thread on it yet...let me pull up NRL links...
Invest 90L
Navy has it at 25 knots...
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#2 Postby JonathanBelles » Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:57 am

it had td strength winds already??? wow
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#3 Postby Bane » Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:58 am

That was quick.
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#4 Postby Stormavoider » Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:58 am

Thanks brunota
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#5 Postby Thunder44 » Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:59 am

I can't get to the NRL site now. But it's on the backup site now:

http://tcweb.fnmoc.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi
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#6 Postby Thunder44 » Mon Jul 31, 2006 7:59 am

fact789 wrote:it had td strength winds already??? wow


Buoy 41002 in the convection last hour reported a 23kt sustained wind and a 31kt wind gust.

http://ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=41002
Last edited by Thunder44 on Mon Jul 31, 2006 8:04 am, edited 2 times in total.
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#7 Postby brunota2003 » Mon Jul 31, 2006 8:02 am

Stormavoider wrote:Thanks brunota
you are welcome...I woke up, fed the dogs and popped on for a couple of minutes, go to see the NRL page and look at 99L and it has freaking 90L on it :lol: so I come here and see you guys hadnt started anything on it...It looks fairly impressive IMO, now lets just hope it stays out there and goes away from land...
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#8 Postby Thunder44 » Mon Jul 31, 2006 8:02 am

801
WHXX01 KWBC 311257
CHGHUR

DISCLAIMER...NUMERICAL MODELS ARE SUBJECT TO LARGE ERRORS.
PLEASE REFER TO TPC/NHC OFFICIAL FORECASTS FOR TROPICAL CYCLONES.

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

DISTURBANCE INVEST (AL902006) ON 20060731 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060731 1200 060801 0000 060801 1200 060802 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 34.3N 73.2W 32.8N 73.2W 31.9N 74.5W 31.5N 76.3W
BAMM 34.3N 73.2W 33.5N 71.9W 32.9N 71.7W 32.4N 71.9W
A98E 34.3N 73.2W 34.1N 71.4W 33.5N 70.3W 32.6N 70.0W
LBAR 34.3N 73.2W 33.6N 71.7W 33.4N 70.4W 33.3N 69.6W
SHIP 25KTS 26KTS 27KTS 27KTS
DSHP 25KTS 26KTS 27KTS 27KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
060802 1200 060803 1200 060804 1200 060805 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 31.5N 78.3W 32.2N 81.7W 33.5N 84.5W 35.3N 86.6W
BAMM 32.3N 72.7W 33.2N 73.4W 33.7N 71.5W 32.8N 69.5W
A98E 32.4N 69.6W 30.9N 68.4W 30.4N 68.2W 29.6N 71.8W
LBAR 32.8N 69.4W 32.1N 67.5W 33.4N 64.6W 36.2N 59.3W
SHIP 25KTS 24KTS 26KTS 23KTS
DSHP 25KTS 24KTS 26KTS 23KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 34.3N LONCUR = 73.2W DIRCUR = 110DEG SPDCUR = 8KT
LATM12 = 35.3N LONM12 = 75.0W DIRM12 = 145DEG SPDM12 = 8KT
LATM24 = 36.9N LONM24 = 76.2W
WNDCUR = 25KT RMAXWD = 0NM WNDM12 = 25KT
CENPRS = 1010MB OUTPRS = 1012MB OUTRAD = 120NM SDEPTH = D
RD34NE = 0NM RD34SE = 0NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM

$$
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#9 Postby NDG » Mon Jul 31, 2006 8:10 am

Just as I thought, it is going to make a loop back to the SE US.
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#10 Postby ThunderMate » Mon Jul 31, 2006 8:12 am

JEANNE??? :eek: lol
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#11 Postby brunota2003 » Mon Jul 31, 2006 8:22 am

ok...pressure from NRL finally out, the pressure is 1010 millibars
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#12 Postby El Nino » Mon Jul 31, 2006 8:30 am

Quite ragged, no ?
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#13 Postby JonathanBelles » Mon Jul 31, 2006 8:51 am

ThunderMate wrote:JEANNE??? :eek: lol


shhhh!!!
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#14 Postby seaswing » Mon Jul 31, 2006 8:53 am

It seemed like (I can't remember exactly) that it took Jeanne 2 weeks before she decided to go for a landfall....just looped out there for a long time!
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#15 Postby Scorpion » Mon Jul 31, 2006 9:05 am

Any GFDL runs on this?
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#16 Postby skysummit » Mon Jul 31, 2006 9:05 am

Image
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#17 Postby BensonTCwatcher » Mon Jul 31, 2006 9:08 am

http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/storm_at_image21/latest_at_0.html

QS pass looks much improved. Guidance and shear seem to be the watchwords on this little homebrew for a while....
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#18 Postby WindRunner » Mon Jul 31, 2006 9:11 am

Don't you love model guidance like that . . . looks like each model just spun the compass and said "Looks good!"
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#19 Postby EDR1222 » Mon Jul 31, 2006 9:12 am

Well, this sure happened fast, and model runs are definately not in agreement. I wonder if this is going to be one of those systems that stays in the same general area for a while.
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#20 Postby seaswing » Mon Jul 31, 2006 9:14 am

Like Jeanne :roll:
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