98L invest,W.GOM,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #3

#421 Postby **jasons2k** » Wed Jul 26, 2006 8:33 pm

Yeah, Matagorda is getting it bad and these new storms forming from Jackson to Colorado counties as night approaches is potenitally not a good sign for Houston later tonight.

StormScanWx · #422 Postby **StormScanWx** » Wed Jul 26, 2006 8:33 pm

HouTXmetro wrote:
jschlitz wrote:Hey Stratosphere,

Thanks for the info. It just seems to me most of the convection is moving around the 500mb low which is keeping the rains south and east of here. I just don't see how it will get drawn up here again. But hey I could be wrong, at least according to NWS I am....

Not so quick, these storms are building SW of Houston.

Where did you get that radar image from?

HouTXmetro · #423 Postby **HouTXmetro** » Wed Jul 26, 2006 8:35 pm

StormScanWx wrote:
HouTXmetro wrote:
jschlitz wrote:Hey Stratosphere,

Thanks for the info. It just seems to me most of the convection is moving around the 500mb low which is keeping the rains south and east of here. I just don't see how it will get drawn up here again. But hey I could be wrong, at least according to NWS I am....

Not so quick, these storms are building SW of Houston.

Where did you get that radar image from?

http://www.abc13.com

#424 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Wed Jul 26, 2006 8:37 pm

#425 Postby **jasons2k** » Wed Jul 26, 2006 8:39 pm

Galveston is about to get more.

HouTXmetro · #426 Postby **HouTXmetro** » Wed Jul 26, 2006 8:39 pm

There are also some weak echos popping back up in Brazoria County And a new T storm cell. Things might start to get interesting in Houston Metro area. I guess NWS knew what they were talking about.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #427 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Wed Jul 26, 2006 8:39 pm

Looks like alot of rain is falling...

Stratosphere747 · #428 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Wed Jul 26, 2006 8:40 pm

Has anyone tracked the low recently? Will be the key to our overnight rains..

Still surprised about the ULL that popped up near San Antonio. South Texas is getting pounded as well right now..

Might be time to ponder the first retirement of an invest...

HouTXmetro · #429 Postby **HouTXmetro** » Wed Jul 26, 2006 8:42 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:Has anyone tracked the low recently? Will be the key to our overnight rains..

Still surprised about the ULL that popped up near San Antonio. South Texas is getting pounded as well right now..

Might be time to ponder the first retirement of an invest...

LOL, notice I even have 98L in my avatar.

Looks like a Tropical storm or Hurricane.

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #430 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Wed Jul 26, 2006 8:47 pm

It did have a well defined LLC. But it formed over land. Which is weird. I know india gets tropical systems to form over land. Called land depressions. Also how much rain has fallen.

I think if you wented to look into it this was not much different from a tropical cyclone.

#431 Postby **jasons2k** » Wed Jul 26, 2006 8:49 pm

Lot of rain in Matagorda:

#432 Postby **JonathanBelles** » Wed Jul 26, 2006 8:49 pm

area sw of gavelston and areas sw and south of alexandria, la are getting it hard.

am i right that some area have had 14+ inches of rain?

HouTXmetro · #433 Postby **HouTXmetro** » Wed Jul 26, 2006 8:50 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:Has anyone tracked the low recently? Will be the key to our overnight rains..

Still surprised about the ULL that popped up near San Antonio. South Texas is getting pounded as well right now..

Might be time to ponder the first retirement of an invest...

does any NWS mention an ULL near san antonio or is this just your observation?

Stratosphere747 · #434 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Wed Jul 26, 2006 8:54 pm

HouTXmetro wrote:
Stratosphere747 wrote:Has anyone tracked the low recently? Will be the key to our overnight rains..

Still surprised about the ULL that popped up near San Antonio. South Texas is getting pounded as well right now..

Might be time to ponder the first retirement of an invest...

does any NWS mention an ULL near san antonio or is this just your observation?

From Corpus' afternoon SWS...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN TONIGHT...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL COMBINE WITH COPIOUS TROPICAL
MOISTURE AND HIGH INSTABILITY TO PRODUCE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS...COASTAL BEND AND VICTORIA CROSSROADS
REGION TONIGHT.

Almost postive this was not our old 98L as you could plainly see the ULL near San Antonio on visible earlier....

#435 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Wed Jul 26, 2006 8:56 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:
HouTXmetro wrote:
Stratosphere747 wrote:Has anyone tracked the low recently? Will be the key to our overnight rains..

Still surprised about the ULL that popped up near San Antonio. South Texas is getting pounded as well right now..

Might be time to ponder the first retirement of an invest...

does any NWS mention an ULL near san antonio or is this just your observation?

From Corpus' afternoon SWS...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN TONIGHT...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL COMBINE WITH COPIOUS TROPICAL
MOISTURE AND HIGH INSTABILITY TO PRODUCE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS...COASTAL BEND AND VICTORIA CROSSROADS
REGION TONIGHT.

Almost postive this was not our old 98L as you could plainly see the ULL near San Antonio on visible earlier....

Well with the old broad circulation over land and the ULL causing more uplifting this is not a good sign either.
http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... _ls_0.html

HouTXmetro · #436 Postby **HouTXmetro** » Wed Jul 26, 2006 8:56 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:
HouTXmetro wrote:
Stratosphere747 wrote:Has anyone tracked the low recently? Will be the key to our overnight rains..

Still surprised about the ULL that popped up near San Antonio. South Texas is getting pounded as well right now..

Might be time to ponder the first retirement of an invest...

does any NWS mention an ULL near san antonio or is this just your observation?

From Corpus' afternoon SWS...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL PRODUCE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
WITH LOCALLY HEAVY RAIN TONIGHT...

AN UPPER LEVEL DISTURBANCE WILL COMBINE WITH COPIOUS TROPICAL
MOISTURE AND HIGH INSTABILITY TO PRODUCE SCATTERED THUNDERSTORMS
ACROSS THE COASTAL PLAINS...COASTAL BEND AND VICTORIA CROSSROADS
REGION TONIGHT.

Almost postive this was not our old 98L as you could plainly see the ULL near San Antonio on visible earlier....

thanks, if im not mistaken the ULL is progged to move North so we may dodge a bullet, unless it moves toward us and follow 98L

#437 Postby **jasons2k** » Wed Jul 26, 2006 8:59 pm

Interesting:

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
840 PM CDT WED JUL 26 2006

.UPDATE...
THE MID/UPPER LOW OVER SOUTHEAST TEXAS EARLY THIS EVENING...IS
FORECAST TO MOVE NORTHWARD OVERNIGHT...AND SHOULD BE IN NORTHEAST
TEXAS BY DAYBREAK.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE CORPUS CHRISTI TX
625 PM CDT WED JUL 26 2006

DEEP TROPICAL MOISTURE ALONG WITH A DISTINCT UPR LOW
NORTH OF UVALDE PROVIDING UPR LVL DIFLUENCE WL PROVIDE FOR
CONTINUED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION...UPDATED
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE FORT WORTH TX
536 PM CDT WED JUL 26 2006

.AVIATION...
TROPICAL ORIGIN CIRCULATION OVER SOUTHEAST TEXAS WILL CONTINUE
MOVING NORTHEAST AT 10 KT OVERNIGHT AND INTO LOUISIANA THURSDAY.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BROWNSVILLE TX
528 PM CDT WED JUL 26 2006

.UPDATE...UPPER LOW JUST NORTH OF LAREDO IS HELPING CONVECTION TO
FORM AND BACK BUILD ALONG THE CORPUS CHRISTI AND BROWNSVILLE CWA BORDER.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE AUSTIN/SAN ANTONIO TX
329 PM CDT WED JUL 26 2006

.DISCUSSION...
WEAK SFC LOW ACROSS WESTERN SOUTH CENTRAL TEXAS AND UPPER LEVEL
LOW ALONG THE UPPER TEXAS COAST CONTINUE TO GENERATE CONVECTIVE
ACTIVITY IN SOUTHEAST TEXAS.

AREA FORECAST DISCUSSION
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HOUSTON/GALVESTON TX
303 PM CDT WED JUL 26 2006

500MB LOW ACROSS EAST TX WITH A WEAK SURFACE LOW
DRAPED ACROSS EXTREME WESTERN PORTIONS OF SOUTHEAST TX.

Everyone follow that? :lol:

Stratosphere747 · #438 Postby **Stratosphere747** » Wed Jul 26, 2006 9:08 pm

Good find J...

Need 57 to step in and set us straight....

HouTXmetro · #439 Postby **HouTXmetro** » Wed Jul 26, 2006 9:09 pm

They lost me

Matt-hurricanewatcher · #440 Postby **Matt-hurricanewatcher** » Wed Jul 26, 2006 9:11 pm

Its a tropical distrabance! Also is this setting up like Alison in any way?

98L invest,W.GOM,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #3

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