98L invest,W.GOM,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #3

[hial2]

yeah...she was just found not guilty...unbelievable![/quote]

Not guilty by reason of insanity. Big difference. No doubt she was insane. Anyone who could do that to her kids HAS to be mentally ill. No doubt about it.[/quote]

You can argue the same about Hitler and Fidel Castro..Just replace 'those of the Jewish faith' and 'Cubans' for 'her kids"..I couldn"t help myself..I promise no more talk abou this on this forum!!!

[Air Force Met]

Looks to me like the worst has already moved east of Houston.

You are correct. There is some moderate rain with the alto stratus deck yet to move thru....but the bulk of it is going into southern Brazoria, Galveston, Chambers counties...and east of there.

[jasons2k]

Looks to me like the worst has already moved east of Houston.

You are correct. There is some moderate rain with the alto stratus deck yet to move thru....but the bulk of it is going into southern Brazoria, Galveston, Chambers counties...and east of there.

Hey AFM, thanks for the little defense in the previous page.

It was pretty obvious on the loops the offshore stuff will miss us, and we're just left with some leftover light-mod. rain for the duration.

[HouTXmetro]

sorry you guys in south/middle tX didn't get much rain. You all really needed it down there, not us.

[Air Force Met]

AFM or other mets, what can we expect as far as rainfall here in south central Louisiana (Lafayette). The leading squall line is about to reach us but it looks like some of the activity over SE Texas might make it's way to our area later. Are we out of the woods flooding wise this system yet or not?

I think you guys will make out with an inch or two max. Most of it should move northwest and north of you.

[beachbum_al]

NHC will never call this a TS because it doesn't meet their definition. Even if they change their definition someday (which I doubt) I don't see them backdating the change. The storm off Cape Cod might be called an unnamed storm eventually but not this.
The NHC isn't for keeping records, it's for predicting and warning about the most dangerous type of storm out there. As the storm came in, the NWS is perfectly suited to handling this storm. Whether this is called a TD or not doesn't affect the ability of the NHC to warn the public. Although I do wish there were a name besides "tropical storm" IMO it's very odd that we are always getting storms that are tropical but not tropical storms.

It's good now-a-days that th NHC is big on classifying sub-tropical storms. I remember a storm back in the mid-80s...can't remember the year...but it was in Oct/Nov...that was clearly a subtropical storm/hybrid...that now a days would be classified...which did not get attention from the NHC back then. It was putting down 50 mph wind gusts along the coast and tides 3-4' above normal. Pressures were in the 1002 mb range (long time ago...hard to remember right). Today it would be given a proper designation. Back then...there were gale warning out...and the local guys covered it...but that was it...and we waited to see if it would turn tropical.

Anyone remember that event?

I remember something in the early 80s that drop a large amount of rain on Alabama but I don't remember when it happen or what tiem of the year. I just remember the rain.

[NYCHurr06]

KHOU-TV is reporting that:

- The White Oak Bayou was near bankfull
- Officials are closely watching Langham Creek at West Little York and Bear Creek at Clay Road.
- Greenhouse Bayou at Mayde Creek is reported to be out of its bank, according to Harris County.

Also, NWS HGX has issued flood warnings for the Tres Palacios River near Midfield affecting Matagorda and Wharton counties. They expect moderate flooding there. A flood warning has also been issued for the Pine Island Bayou, where they expect minor flooding.

Stay safe everyone!

Edited to add link to KHOU story: http://www.khou.com/topstories/stories/ ... b38ee.html

[beachbum_al]

Will this rain stay mostly over the TX and LA area?

[CajunMama]

AFM or other mets, what can we expect as far as rainfall here in south central Louisiana (Lafayette). The leading squall line is about to reach us but it looks like some of the activity over SE Texas might make it's way to our area later. Are we out of the woods flooding wise this system yet or not?

I think you guys will make out with an inch or two max. Most of it should move northwest and north of you.

It's breaking up right before it gets to lafayette parish. Sigh....better get my sprinkler out.

[Air Force Met]

Will this rain stay mostly over the TX and LA area?

Arkansas should also see some action from it eventually.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

The LLC seems to be near 31 north/97.5 west moving northward. The surface cumulus clouds on visible support this. And also surface obs. So chances for development are close to zero this morning....This looks to be a fairly strong LLC in if they upgraded LLC over land who knows.

[PTrackerLA]

AFM or other mets, what can we expect as far as rainfall here in south central Louisiana (Lafayette). The leading squall line is about to reach us but it looks like some of the activity over SE Texas might make it's way to our area later. Are we out of the woods flooding wise this system yet or not?

I think you guys will make out with an inch or two max. Most of it should move northwest and north of you.

It's breaking up right before it gets to lafayette parish. Sigh....better get my sprinkler out.

No kidding huh? The local mets and even NWS hyped up this event alot with regards to rainfall totals and we've MAYBE had an inch since the weekend. I thought we would pretty much end the drought this week but that doesn't appear to be the case. Things dry out big time starting tomorrow and we're left with the slim 20-30% chances for the next week. EVERY time we have a 70-80% chance of rain it's a big time bust around here.

[NYCHurr06]

The LLC seems to be near 31 north/97.5 west moving northward. The surface cumulus clouds on visible support this. And also surface obs. So chances for development are close to zero this morning....This looks to be a fairly strong LLC in if they upgraded LLC over land who knows.

Chances for development are ZERO

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Very much so...

[GeneratorPower]

The chances are never exactly zero.

[GeneratorPower]

Although, close enough

[NYCHurr06]

The chances are never exactly zero.

They are if it is over land

[Air Force Met]

The chances are never exactly zero.

They are if it is over land

...and moving north.

[NYCHurr06]

http://www.khou.com/slideshows/wedflooding060726/1.html

Slideshow of the flooding in Houston.

[mvtrucking]

We have been getting rain here in Monroe. (A line of thunderstorms just went through with very high winds and raining very hard. Looks like it will continue most of the day at least, as we are NE of the system.(The farmers sure can use it)