98L invest,W.GOM,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #3

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stormie_skies
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#201 Postby stormie_skies » Tue Jul 25, 2006 11:00 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Believe me I went this to become Christ but its not likely. In becoming less with every moment.


Yeah, nice looking as it is, I don't think its the second coming....

:lol:
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#202 Postby Stormavoider » Tue Jul 25, 2006 11:00 pm

vaffie wrote:It will be very interesting to watch this buoy overnight as it is almost in the center of the most powerful ball of convection ENE of Brownsville. It's pressure has dropped to 29.81 inches now. Usually, because of diurnal changes, the pressure rises and falls throughout the course of the day, but over the last few hours, this buoy's pressure variations have been changing so that whereas normally the pressure should have been rising for the last two or three hours, it has been holding steady--signalling perhaps a large pressure fall overnight.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/station_page.php?station=42020


Great point on the pressure. Here's a graphic.

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/show_plot.php?station=42020&meas=pres&uom=E
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#203 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Tue Jul 25, 2006 11:03 pm

Come on 98L become something so Chris can be crossed off on my map.
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#204 Postby Stratosphere747 » Tue Jul 25, 2006 11:03 pm

Updated Houston disco...

DISCUSSION...
BAND OF SHOWERS FROM GULF MOVING RAPIDLY TOWARD EASTERN BRAZORIA
AND GALVESTON COUNTIES. IR LOOP INDICATE CLOUD TOPS ABOUT -55 C.
STRONGER CLUSTER OF CONVECTION WITH CLOUD NEAR -70 C JUST OFFSHORE
FROM BETWEEN BROWNSVILLE AND CORPUS CHRISTI. ANALYZED 00Z RAOB
DATA INDICATE CIRCULATION FROM 850 TO 500 MB. 00Z INITIALIZED NAM
INDICATE THIS CIRCULATION MOVING NORTH NEAR OUR SW ZONES BY 12Z
TOMORROW AND TO OUR NORTHERN ZONES BY 21Z.
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#205 Postby stormtruth » Tue Jul 25, 2006 11:05 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Believe me I went this to become Christ but its not likely. In becoming less with every moment.


Do not use the name of the Lord in Storm :D
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#206 Postby LaBreeze » Tue Jul 25, 2006 11:08 pm

Two local mets mentioned that we should not be surprised to find a tropical depression or even "Chris" by morning. We'll see. We had some pretty heavy rainbands move across the area late this afternoon and this evening.
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#207 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Tue Jul 25, 2006 11:09 pm

stormtruth wrote:
Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Believe me I went this to become Christ but its not likely. In becoming less with every moment.


Do not use the name of the Lord in Storm :D


:roflmao: :roflmao: :roflmao: :uarrow: You shall not worship any other storms besides me.
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#208 Postby mobilebay » Tue Jul 25, 2006 11:13 pm

HurricaneHunter914 wrote:
stormtruth wrote:
Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Believe me I went this to become Christ but its not likely. In becoming less with every moment.


Do not use the name of the Lord in Storm :D


:roflmao: :roflmao: :roflmao: :uarrow: You shall not worship any other storms besides me.

someone please PM this poor guy. He has been calling the next storm Christ for a weak now. It offends some people and he don't know he is doing it.
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#209 Postby Stormavoider » Tue Jul 25, 2006 11:16 pm

stormtruth wrote:
Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Believe me I went this to become Christ but its not likely. In becoming less with every moment.


Do not use the name of the Lord in Storm :D


It's no error. Ever since Beryl faded Matt-hurricanewatcher has insisted on calling the next one Christ. Many have tried to express there feelings of repulsion and disgust. He continues.
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Mike Doran

#210 Postby Mike Doran » Tue Jul 25, 2006 11:16 pm

Wait til he gets to the 'J' storm.
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#211 Postby Grease Monkey » Tue Jul 25, 2006 11:16 pm

It was clearly a type error. Matt would never do such a thing on purpose. :wink:
Last edited by Grease Monkey on Tue Jul 25, 2006 11:18 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#212 Postby Grease Monkey » Tue Jul 25, 2006 11:17 pm

Mike Doran wrote:Wait til he gets to the 'J' storm.


:lol:
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#213 Postby JonathanBelles » Tue Jul 25, 2006 11:17 pm

Grease Monkey wrote:It was clearly a type error. :wink:


he's done it a couple times now
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#214 Postby Grease Monkey » Tue Jul 25, 2006 11:19 pm

Maybe the poor guy has parkinson's. Lets try to be considerate.
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#215 Postby mobilebay » Tue Jul 25, 2006 11:23 pm

This is a typo. I have been following Matt's posts from when he became a member here. He has come a long way in the tropical field from where he started. However, he continues to make numerous typos. In that very sentence he spelled want went.
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#216 Postby HouTXmetro » Tue Jul 25, 2006 11:26 pm

back on topic please!
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[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]

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#217 Postby HouTXmetro » Tue Jul 25, 2006 11:31 pm

Anyone think there is a possibility an LLC could form under the new blow up of convection?

Image
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#218 Postby Stratosphere747 » Tue Jul 25, 2006 11:34 pm

Doubt it HouTx...

Maybe under the bigger area of convection, being it is close to Baffin Bay..

Still amazed that this area has hardly moved in the last 3/4 hours. Thank goodness this area was not onshore.
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Mike Doran

#219 Postby Mike Doran » Tue Jul 25, 2006 11:36 pm

REM: Here's a truck stop instead of St. Peter's.

+++++++++++

There doesn't have to be a surface low in order to get the convective burst to cause one. Appreciate that there are 20k per hour strikes--plenty of displacement current and then the water in that burst has a strong dielectric constant relative to the air all around it. Then COLD cloud tops have even a higher dielectric constant (air=1, water=80, cold water=88) so you are talking about that blob as very well organized by cloud microphysics differences between what is occurring in the blob and what is occurring just outside of it.
Last edited by Mike Doran on Tue Jul 25, 2006 11:42 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#220 Postby Stratosphere747 » Tue Jul 25, 2006 11:40 pm

Not worried about the electric component of either blob there Mike...

Just trying to figure out if and where a closed low forms, and who might be in the line of the highest rainfall rates...
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