98L invest,W.GOM,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #2

[Meso]

Not sure how I wrote Sipper, L and R are on opposite sides of the keyboard, lol

Starting to type with an asian accent ?

[Stormcenter]

Could be 5, 10, or over 15 inches in some parts of the mid to upper TX coast tomorrow as we get into the north-south oriented bands rather than today's east-west bands.

Why would you not include parts of southern LA on the heavy rainfall as well? I think that Cameron Parish in SW LA could also see at least 5" of rain, they already had at least 3" w/more on the way.

I actually think LA. will feel the brunt of this disturbance.

[Buck]

Not sure how I wrote Sipper, L and R are on opposite sides of the keyboard, lol

Starting to type with an asian accent ?

Engrish!

[GalvestonDuck]

Could be 5, 10, or over 15 inches in some parts of the mid to upper TX coast tomorrow as we get into the north-south oriented bands rather than today's east-west bands.

Why would you not include parts of southern LA on the heavy rainfall as well? I think that Cameron Parish in SW LA could also see at least 5" of rain, they already had at least 3" w/more on the way.

I actually think LA. will feel the brunt of this disturbance.

It certainly looks like they're getting more to the east than we are here on the island.

[PTrackerLA]

Could be 5, 10, or over 15 inches in some parts of the mid to upper TX coast tomorrow as we get into the north-south oriented bands rather than today's east-west bands.

Why would you not include parts of southern LA on the heavy rainfall as well? I think that Cameron Parish in SW LA could also see at least 5" of rain, they already had at least 3" w/more on the way.

I actually think LA. will feel the brunt of this disturbance.

Based on what's going on out there right now I'd have to agree. Although the NWS seems to think the worst will be west of here. The rain is welcome as long as there are no major flooding problems.

[KFDM Meteorologist]

The mid level circulation is northeast of Brownsville. We'll see if it can get down to the surface.

[ROCK]

The mid level circulation is northeast of Brownsville. We'll see if it can get down to the surface.

I agree. Looks to me for the vis that the suspect LLC moved off to the west on shore only to be pulled back off shore with the little blow up of convection off the coast. Not much time though to get to the surface. We shall see. I got to give it credit. It doesn't want to die.

[NONAME]

The mid level circulation is northeast of Brownsville. We'll see if it can get down to the surface.

How long would it take for it to gett down to the surface from the Mid level and how far is that exactly.

[Stormcenter]

The mid level circulation is northeast of Brownsville. We'll see if it can get down to the surface.

I agree. Looks to me for the vis that the suspect LLC moved off to the west on shore only to be pulled back off shore with the little blow up of convection off the coast. Not much time though to get to the surface. We shall see. I got to give it credit. It doesn't want to die.

It has all the time in the world as long as it doesn't move and it hasn't been doing much of that lately.

[Aric Dunn]

Bouy, satellite and radar data show the center redeveloping under the midlevel circulation east of Kennedy county.. not from The NHC...

form own data colltected...

[Aquawind]

Let's see it Aric.. Share with us IPR buddy! Trying to be all mysterious an stuff.. Bring on the Data

[Thunder44]

487
ABNT20 KNHC 252111
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT TUE JUL 25 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS BETWEEN
EDINBURG AND HARLINGEN IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. THIS
SYSTEM IS GENERATING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS...THUNDERSTORMS AND
STRONG GUSTY WINDS IN SQUALLS OVER PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN GULF OF
MEXICO AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL AREAS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS HAVE
BECOME SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO
DEVELOP...BUT ONLY IF THE SYSTEM CENTER MOVES OR REFORMS OFFSHORE
OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. REGARDLESS OF WHETHER A TROPICAL CYCLONE
FORMS...THIS SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TO
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS...THE TEXAS COASTAL BEND REGION...AND
SOUTHERN LOUISIANA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

FORECASTER STEWART

[Stormcenter]

487
ABNT20 KNHC 252111
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT TUE JUL 25 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A SURFACE LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED OVER SOUTHERN TEXAS BETWEEN
EDINBURG AND HARLINGEN IS MOVING NORTHWARD AT 5 TO 10 MPH. THIS
SYSTEM IS GENERATING A LARGE AREA OF SHOWERS...THUNDERSTORMS AND
STRONG GUSTY WINDS IN SQUALLS OVER PORTIONS OF THE WESTERN GULF OF
MEXICO AND THE ADJACENT COASTAL AREAS. UPPER-LEVEL WINDS HAVE
BECOME SOMEWHAT MORE FAVORABLE FOR A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TO
DEVELOP...BUT ONLY IF THE SYSTEM CENTER MOVES OR REFORMS OFFSHORE
OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO. REGARDLESS OF WHETHER A TROPICAL CYCLONE
FORMS...THIS SYSTEM IS LIKELY TO BRING LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL TO
PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN TEXAS...THE TEXAS COASTAL BEND REGION...AND
SOUTHERN LOUISIANA DURING THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS.

The key word now being used that wasn't before is "reforms".

[Normandy]

Ugh this is gonna be a mess for Houston

[Hohwxny]

The key word now being used that wasn't before is "reforms".

Yup, it seems that the NHC is now entertaining that possibility.

[Wpwxguy]

I caught that too..........."reforms" I think they've been reading our posts.

[Aric Dunn]

lol... well satellite data.. is obvious ... and radar data is as well .. over the past few hours the LLC that was sw of brownsville has been elongating and drifting.. north.. and has since has been at least from satellite appeared to have fallen apart..

radar out of corpus chrisiti showed very clearly the LLC SW of brownsville but again as of late that has fallen apart and the banding on the south side has changed and pulled north and into the New LLC .. ( that is very clear) as for bouy data ..its a little hard to find becuase of the delay and the fact that most of the reporting stations have no reprots.. but here is what i found.. one sec

[PTrackerLA]

There are spiral banding features developing on radar offshore between Corpus and Brownsville. I'm gonna go out on a limb and say that a depression is forming here.

[southerngale]

I caught that too..........."reforms" I think they've been reading our posts.

Isn't this where EVERYBODY gets their weather info?

[Hohwxny]

There are spiral banding features developing on radar offshore between Corpus and Brownsville. I'm gonna go out on a limb and say that a depression is forming here.

Hey, do you have a link to the radar? I'm not on my regular computer. Thanks!