98L invest,W.GOM,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #2

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brunota2003
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98L invest,W.GOM,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #2

#1 Postby brunota2003 » Mon Jul 24, 2006 2:23 pm

Here is the second thread...
Thread #1:
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=87149

I really havent been watching the area...has it done much since the last TWO was put out?
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#2 Postby PTrackerLA » Mon Jul 24, 2006 2:30 pm

The Brownsville long rage radar shows hints of circulation off the coast of Mexico. http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... RO&loop=no
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#3 Postby Stratosphere747 » Mon Jul 24, 2006 2:32 pm

Well even though my question was never answered last night, it sure does look like the energy from Emilia spilled over from the EPAC.

This area in the Gulf looks quite a bit like what was branching off of Emilia late last night...
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#4 Postby Frank2 » Mon Jul 24, 2006 2:32 pm

Here's the mid-afternoon visible loop - the small circulation center is right on the coast, and appears to be moving NNW, so...

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html
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#5 Postby Yankeegirl » Mon Jul 24, 2006 2:39 pm

http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weathe ... orm_98.gif


They have shifted again... Looks like it is centered on Mexico??
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#6 Postby Frank2 » Mon Jul 24, 2006 2:40 pm

Yes, they appear to have picked up on the NNW track...
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#7 Postby wxman57 » Mon Jul 24, 2006 2:41 pm

PTrackerLA wrote:The Brownsville long rage radar shows hints of circulation off the coast of Mexico. http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... RO&loop=no


Remember, at such long range (274 miles), Brownsville radar is looking over 30,000 feet up above the surface. So any circulation you might be able to pick up on BRO radar isn't necessarily at the surface.
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#8 Postby Yankeegirl » Mon Jul 24, 2006 2:42 pm

OK.. well if its already over land, I guess I am going to have to write it off....
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#9 Postby Stormcenter » Mon Jul 24, 2006 2:42 pm

Yankeegirl wrote:http://www.sfwmd.gov/org/omd/ops/weather/plots/storm_98.gif


They have shifted again... Looks like it is centered on Mexico??


Looks like the GDFL is the only one that has a good fix on it.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html
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#10 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Mon Jul 24, 2006 2:42 pm

Yeah thats the low just on the coast or just inland. It has no chance at all of developing. The possible area of interest at 24/97 is what is most needed to look at...
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#11 Postby Stormcenter » Mon Jul 24, 2006 2:43 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Yeah thats the low just on the coast or just inland. It has no chance at all of developing. The possible area of interest at 24/97 is what is most needed to look at...


Yes, I noticed that area too.
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#12 Postby Thunder44 » Mon Jul 24, 2006 2:47 pm

Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Yeah thats the low just on the coast or just inland. It has no chance at all of developing. The possible area of interest at 24/97 is what is most needed to look at...


I doubt another low will develop further north closer to the convection. This looks like it will be an eliptical system and if it doesn't further develop, that will be for development here.
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#13 Postby wxforecaster » Mon Jul 24, 2006 2:57 pm

If you want to see what the winds are doing under the complex, just goto http://www.wxforecaster.com/hurricane/ and then click on "Suface and Bouy data" and then click on "Gulf of Mexico" and there you go. Updated Every hour at 35 past the hour!
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#14 Postby SouthFloridawx » Mon Jul 24, 2006 2:58 pm

wxforecaster wrote:If you want to see what the winds are doing under the complex, just goto http://www.wxforecaster.com/hurricane/ and then click on "Suface and Bouy data" and then click on "Gulf of Mexico" and there you go. Updated Every hour at 35 past the hour!


I go there a lot actually it is really cool, it is pretty easy to use.
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#15 Postby JonathanBelles » Mon Jul 24, 2006 3:03 pm

wow i like that page
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#16 Postby dixiebreeze » Mon Jul 24, 2006 3:17 pm

Thunder44 wrote:
Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Yeah thats the low just on the coast or just inland. It has no chance at all of developing. The possible area of interest at 24/97 is what is most needed to look at...


I doubt another low will develop further north closer to the convection. This looks like it will be an eliptical system and if it doesn't further develop, that will be for development here.


I don't know -- look at this:

http://tinyurl.com/jw7z9
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#17 Postby southerngale » Mon Jul 24, 2006 3:24 pm

Whoa dixie...that link makes ya scroll 6 miles to read every line on the page. lol
I fixed it for you. Try http://tinyurl.com/ :)
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#18 Postby Stormcenter » Mon Jul 24, 2006 3:24 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:
Thunder44 wrote:
Matt-hurricanewatcher wrote:Yeah thats the low just on the coast or just inland. It has no chance at all of developing. The possible area of interest at 24/97 is what is most needed to look at...


I doubt another low will develop further north closer to the convection. This looks like it will be an eliptical system and if it doesn't further develop, that will be for development here.


I don't know -- look at this:

http://tinyurl.com/jw7z9



Hmmmmm.
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#19 Postby SouthFloridawx » Mon Jul 24, 2006 3:26 pm

Image

Some very gusty winds out there though.
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#20 Postby Stratosphere747 » Mon Jul 24, 2006 3:29 pm

Houston just came out with a good discussion in regards to our little blob to the south and the potential for a decent rain event...

http://www.srh.noaa.gov/productview.php?pil=HGXAFDHGX
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