98L invest,W.GOM,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread

[Yankeegirl]

LOL!!!

[wxman57]

As far as I can discern, there is no area of low pressure at the surface, and no LLC. Pressures across the western Gulf have actually risen. Any MLC appears to be on the coast of Mexico and moving NNW (inland). Wind shear remains high. Chances of development appear low. That's why recon was cancelled.

However, the system will likely produce heavy squalls into the lower Texas coast by tonight and through Tuesday, spreading northward across much of east Texas late Tue/Wed. Rainfall amounts may top 5-10 inches in coastal sections of Texas over the next few days, maybe more.

[shaggy]

looks good today but still very close to land and it may not have alot of time.I guess a watch and wait approach is the way to go but hopefuly it will bring some rain to places that need it!I see the spin but its really close to the coastline now!

[drezee]

from Discussion:

LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES AND
SURFACE DATA SHOW THAT A SURFACE LOW IS FORMING NEAR TAMPICO IN
MEXICO.

[hicksta]

wx, what about around seabrook think we will get some rain. Just got a new truck and need to get some rain to go mudding

[stormtruth]

Christ!

Almost time to hug your Dad again Matt.

[Weatherfreak000]

As far as I can discern, there is no area of low pressure at the surface, and no LLC. Pressures across the western Gulf have actually risen. Any MLC appears to be on the coast of Mexico and moving NNW (inland). Wind shear remains high. Chances of development appear low. That's why recon was cancelled.

However, the system will likely produce heavy squalls into the lower Texas coast by tonight and through Tuesday, spreading northward across much of east Texas late Tue/Wed. Rainfall amounts may top 5-10 inches in coastal sections of Texas over the next few days, maybe more.

Can you maybe explain to me why you think chances of development are slim when the NHC is liking it now more then ever and the TCFA being issued?


No offense wxman, but I have your word to take about pressures rising and there being no area of low pressure where the NHC's TWO said this had a surface low.


And to be honest that's hard to go against, so is it right for the NHC to say things are that untrue you think? Because i've been noticing your posts for a while and reading the NHC's wording and sometimes I see these differences.

[Derek Ortt]

Any low-pressure appears to be just above the surface.

However, if this were to remain offshore for say 36 hours, a TS Allison (1989 version) would not be impossible. It formed under similar conditions right on the coast

[cheezyWXguy]

Dude...do you know much those very religious people in the country/ world would be offended by naming a hurricane Christ? Some people would say that theyre anti's of each other

[gatorcane]

Any low-pressure appears to be just above the surface.

However, if this were to remain offshore for say 36 hours, a TS Allison (1989 version) would not be impossible. It formed under similar conditions right on the coast

So I take it you don't think the BOC system is garbage anymore?

[Swimdude]

Any low-pressure appears to be just above the surface.

However, if this were to remain offshore for say 36 hours, a TS Allison (1989 version) would not be impossible. It formed under similar conditions right on the coast

So I take it you don't think the BOC system is garbage anymore?

Some of us are just more positive than others. That's all I've got to say.

[HurricaneHunter914]

I'm confused because now I have alot of questions:
Does this have a surface low?
Does this have an LLC?
Are chances for this to become a TC big or small?

The reasons for all these questions is because some people saying one thing about 98L and other people are saying different things.

[gatorcane]

Any low-pressure appears to be just above the surface.

However, if this were to remain offshore for say 36 hours, a TS Allison (1989 version) would not be impossible. It formed under similar conditions right on the coast

So I take it you don't think the BOC system is garbage anymore?

Some of us are just more positive than others. That's all I've got to say.

its amazing how things change. Yesterday at this time I was even writing this off - and suddenly it goes nuts...

I'll take my serving of crow please :eek:

[Derek Ortt]

compared to the threat Daniel ACTUALLY poses to the USA, this is but a waste of time. A sheared TD or a weak TS is going to be given a whole 5 minutes by me, much like Grace/Jimena in 2003

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Christ!

Almost time to hug your Dad again Matt.

Can't

[stormtruth]

compared to the threat Daniel ACTUALLY poses to the USA, this is but a waste of time. A sheared TD or a weak TS is going to be given a whole 5 minutes by me, much like Grace/Jimena in 2003

Allison was a big waste of time too

[GalvestonDuck]

Named storm or not, it's worth my time just to know what the weather is going to be like in my area for the next couple of days.

[Stormcenter]

As far as I can discern, there is no area of low pressure at the surface, and no LLC. Pressures across the western Gulf have actually risen. Any MLC appears to be on the coast of Mexico and moving NNW (inland). Wind shear remains high. Chances of development appear low. That's why recon was cancelled.

However, the system will likely produce heavy squalls into the lower Texas coast by tonight and through Tuesday, spreading northward across much of east Texas late Tue/Wed. Rainfall amounts may top 5-10 inches in coastal sections of Texas over the next few days, maybe more.

So you are disagreeing with the NHC, correct?

LATEST SATELLITE PICTURES AND
SURFACE DATA SHOW THAT A SURFACE LOW IS FORMING NEAR TAMPICO IN
MEXICO.

[gatorcane]

compared to the threat Daniel ACTUALLY poses to the USA, this is but a waste of time. A sheared TD or a weak TS is going to be given a whole 5 minutes by me, much like Grace/Jimena in 2003

Allison was a big waste of time too

Well I can't imagine this system getting very strong since it is so close to land....but I still will eat my crow!

[HurricaneHunter914]

compared to the threat Daniel ACTUALLY poses to the USA, this is but a waste of time. A sheared TD or a weak TS is going to be given a whole 5 minutes by me, much like Grace/Jimena in 2003

Not to be mean but I am getting annoyed by these "This storm is just a waste of time" comments. So far we have seen two of them and IMO those comments are a waste of time. Because to some people these week TDs are NOT a waste of time.