Disturbance near Florida

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Extremeweatherguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 11095
Joined: Mon Oct 10, 2005 8:13 pm
Location: Florida

Disturbance near Florida

#1 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Fri Jul 21, 2006 3:20 pm

This area near Florida is looking more impressive as the day goes on and Floater #2 is located over it. Any thoughts on what may come of this?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t2/loop-vis.html
^^Floater #2 Sat. loop^^

One thing I have noticed is a strong easterly breeze here in Merritt Island today. I wonder if this has anything to do with the disturbance or if it is just a stronger than normal sea breeze.
0 likes   

Stratosphere747
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 3772
Joined: Thu Sep 11, 2003 8:34 pm
Location: Surfside Beach/Freeport Tx
Contact:

#2 Postby Stratosphere747 » Fri Jul 21, 2006 3:24 pm

Floater #2 has been over that area for quite sometime now......
0 likes   

User avatar
SouthFloridawx
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 8346
Age: 46
Joined: Tue Jul 26, 2005 1:16 am
Location: Sarasota, FL
Contact:

#3 Postby SouthFloridawx » Fri Jul 21, 2006 3:34 pm

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... 2&start=20
I started a thread on this last night.
0 likes   

User avatar
Grease Monkey
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 727
Joined: Fri Jun 09, 2006 9:25 pm

#4 Postby Grease Monkey » Fri Jul 21, 2006 3:53 pm

Stratosphere747 wrote:Floater #2 has been over that area for quite sometime now......


So I guess they're expecting something?
0 likes   

Stormcenter
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6685
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:27 am
Location: Houston, TX

#5 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Jul 21, 2006 4:35 pm

0 likes   

User avatar
Thunder44
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5922
Age: 44
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 7:53 pm
Location: New York City

#6 Postby Thunder44 » Fri Jul 21, 2006 4:58 pm

Grease Monkey wrote:
Stratosphere747 wrote:Floater #2 has been over that area for quite sometime now......


So I guess they're expecting something?


No, they are just not moving it.
0 likes   

User avatar
SCMedic
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 333
Joined: Wed Dec 07, 2005 7:05 am
Location: Denver, CO
Contact:

#7 Postby SCMedic » Fri Jul 21, 2006 5:06 pm

If anything, it looks to me like there is a bit of spin off the weast coast tip...The last few frames of the visible definately have a spin to them..


What do I know though? :roll:
0 likes   

Stormcenter
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6685
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:27 am
Location: Houston, TX

#8 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Jul 21, 2006 5:07 pm

Here is another view. I'll be curious to see what it does tonight.

http://adds.aviationweather.gov/satelli ... &itype=vis
0 likes   

Stormcenter
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6685
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:27 am
Location: Houston, TX

#9 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Jul 21, 2006 5:08 pm

SCMedic wrote:If anything, it looks to me like there is a bit of spin off the weast coast tip...The last few frames of the visible definately have a spin to them..


What do I know though? :roll:


I agree the area on the west is the area to watch.
0 likes   

Rainband

#10 Postby Rainband » Fri Jul 21, 2006 5:15 pm

ULL
0 likes   

User avatar
Thunder44
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5922
Age: 44
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 7:53 pm
Location: New York City

#11 Postby Thunder44 » Fri Jul 21, 2006 5:16 pm

Rainband wrote:ULL


Yeah, maybe at mid-level too. Surface pressures are high.
0 likes   

Rainband

#12 Postby Rainband » Fri Jul 21, 2006 5:17 pm

Thunder44 wrote:
Rainband wrote:ULL


Yeah, maybe at mid-level too. Surface pressures are high.
I looked at the floater. It's upper. :D
0 likes   

Stormcenter
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6685
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:27 am
Location: Houston, TX

#13 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Jul 21, 2006 5:21 pm

I would keep an eye on it. Below is what is mentioned of it in the afternoon NHC discussion.

...DISCUSSION...
GULF OF MEXICO...
MAIN FEATURE IN THE GULF THIS AFTERNOON IS UPPER TROF JUST WEST
OF SW FLORIDA IN THE SE GULF OF MEXICO. BUOYS/QUIKSCAT
INDICATING SOME SURFACE REFLECTION WITH TROF AXIS AND CYCLONIC
TURNING OF WINDS EVIDENT. HAVE ANALYZED TROF ACCESS FROM 27N83W
TO 24N85W. SCATTERED MODERATE CONVECTION WITH THIS TROF IS
LOCATED IN THE SW GULF BETWEEN 24/26N AND 84/81W. SCATTERED
MODERATE CONVECTION IS ALSO EXTENDING EAST THROUGH SOUTH FLORIDA
AND THE FAR SW ATLANTIC/BAHAMAS...IN CONNECTION WITH THE TROF IN
THE SW GULF AND A WEAK UPPER RIDGE IN THE AREA EXTENDING SOUTH
THROUGH CUBA. ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION HAS DEVELOPED ON THE
WEST SIDE OF THE TROF AXIS SOUTH OF THE LOUISIANA COAST THROUGH
25N. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION PERSISTS IN
THE BAY OF CAMPECHE DUE TO UPPER RIDGE EXTENDING WEST THROUGH S
MEXICO. ASIDE FROM THE WEAK TROF IN THE SW GULF SFC PATTERN
RELATIVELY QUIET WITH LIGHT WINDS PERSISTING ON THE SW SIDE OF
THE BERMUDA HIGH.
Last edited by Stormcenter on Fri Jul 21, 2006 5:22 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

Stormcenter
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6685
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:27 am
Location: Houston, TX

#14 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Jul 21, 2006 5:22 pm

Rainband wrote:
Thunder44 wrote:
Rainband wrote:ULL


Yeah, maybe at mid-level too. Surface pressures are high.
I looked at the floater. It's upper. :D


Read the discussion from the NHC and you may change your mind about it being entirely upper only.
0 likes   

User avatar
Thunder44
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 5922
Age: 44
Joined: Mon Jun 09, 2003 7:53 pm
Location: New York City

#15 Postby Thunder44 » Fri Jul 21, 2006 5:24 pm

Stormcenter wrote:
Rainband wrote:
Thunder44 wrote:
Rainband wrote:ULL


Yeah, maybe at mid-level too. Surface pressures are high.
I looked at the floater. It's upper. :D


Read the discussion from the NHC and you may change your mind about it being entirely upper only.


I did see some SW winds on the west coast of florida, but pressures are like 1014mb to 1015mb. There's does appear to be a surface trough

HPC surface analysis:

http://www.hpc.ncep.noaa.gov/html/sfc2.shtml
0 likes   

rockyman
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 1967
Joined: Thu Jun 26, 2003 12:24 pm
Location: Dauphin Island, AL

#16 Postby rockyman » Fri Jul 21, 2006 5:35 pm

Key West radar is looking a little more interesting this evening:

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes
0 likes   

User avatar
Extremeweatherguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 11095
Joined: Mon Oct 10, 2005 8:13 pm
Location: Florida

#17 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Fri Jul 21, 2006 5:37 pm

If something did develop off the west coast; would it move ashore into FL? or would it go north toward the panhandle? or would it go west?
0 likes   

JonathanBelles
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 11430
Age: 35
Joined: Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:00 pm
Location: School: Florida State University (Tallahassee, FL) Home: St. Petersburg, Florida
Contact:

#18 Postby JonathanBelles » Fri Jul 21, 2006 5:38 pm

titan shows an alberto like path
0 likes   

User avatar
Extremeweatherguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 11095
Joined: Mon Oct 10, 2005 8:13 pm
Location: Florida

#19 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Fri Jul 21, 2006 5:39 pm

rockyman wrote:Key West radar is looking a little more interesting this evening:

http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?rid= ... 1&loop=yes
wow. nice spin off to the WSW of Naples.
Last edited by Extremeweatherguy on Fri Jul 21, 2006 5:39 pm, edited 1 time in total.
0 likes   

Stormcenter
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 6685
Joined: Wed Sep 03, 2003 11:27 am
Location: Houston, TX

#20 Postby Stormcenter » Fri Jul 21, 2006 5:39 pm

fact789 wrote:titan shows an alberto like path



I'm sorry but what is "titan"?
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: cainjamin, Google Adsense [Bot], Jr0d, Kingarabian, Landy and 55 guests