Let's Watch Eastern GOM

duris · #21 Postby **duris** » Thu Jul 20, 2006 11:39 am

Don't remember exactly what they said, but New Orleans AFD mentioned tropical moisture within the next few days or week but nothing that sounded serious. We are feast or famine now. Weeks or months of drought then lots of rain, though it usually passes through quickly. Noticed street flooding in odd places last night probably because of debris clogging drains. As someone else posted, between pumps, levees and this debris, we can do without even minor systems, though I don't sit around and worry about it. As long as nothing messes up my new floor, or it comes before my walls and cabinets. :-)

White Cap · #22 Postby **White Cap** » Thu Jul 20, 2006 12:10 pm

Speaking of New Orleans, I wonder how quickly some areas will now flood due to closing the flood gates. At what point will the flood gates be ordered to be closed? Anyone have any insight to this?

duris · #23 Postby **duris** » Thu Jul 20, 2006 12:24 pm

the corps web page has some info on where will flood with what amounts. not sure what it says about timing.

HurricaneHunter914 · #24 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Thu Jul 20, 2006 12:25 pm

Guys, this isn't even a TC yet and we're already talking about how bad this would be for New Orleans?

#25 Postby **tailgater** » Thu Jul 20, 2006 1:21 pm

HurricaneHunter914 wrote:Guys, this isn't even a TC yet and we're already talking about how bad this would be for New Orleans?

When I started this thread, I meant that there COULD be something to watch with the weak wave/ trough @ 75 miles west of Key West if look hard enough on GHCC vis loop you'll see the twist. The upper air conditions weren't that bad for something to try and form, over the next 2 or 3 days but with the lack of convection near the axis it is very doubtful much will come of this. Although it is mentioned in the latest TWD
SMALL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS OVER THE NE GULF NEAR 26N88W.
CYCLONIC FLOW WITH MOISTURE IS WITHIN 180 NM RADIUS OF THE
CENTER.

#26 Postby **gatorcane** » Thu Jul 20, 2006 1:23 pm

1143 views and I don't even see anything...just a few scattered cumulus and :lol:

#27 Postby **Stormcenter** » Thu Jul 20, 2006 1:35 pm

gatorcane wrote:1143 views and I don't even see anything...just a few scattered cumulus and

That right there tells you things are slow in the Tropics right now.

Have you seen all of the Beryl posts and threads?

Can you imagine how it will be when we get a strong hurricane close
to the East coast or in the GOM.

conestogo_flood · #28 Postby **conestogo_flood** » Thu Jul 20, 2006 2:34 pm

Stormcenter wrote:Can you imagine how it will be when we get a strong hurricane close
to the East coast or in the GOM.

Do they lock the 25th thread? :lol:

UptownMary · #29 Postby **UptownMary** » Thu Jul 20, 2006 4:32 pm

White Cap wrote:Speaking of New Orleans, I wonder how quickly some areas will now flood due to closing the flood gates. At what point will the flood gates be ordered to be closed? Anyone have any insight to this?

I heard on TV some weeks ago that they won't actually close the gates unless there is a threat of a surge of 5ft or more in the canals. And the same report I'm remembering was quick to note that that has only happened once in the last 40 or more years. Katrina?? I don't know, but that's what I heard. The upshot of the report was that, yes, we now have these floodgates and yes, their closing will affect pumps' ability to drain the city, BUT it's not very likely they will have to close the gates in the first place. So......I don't know where that leaves us.

Yes, I'm confused too!

Opal storm · #30 Postby **Opal storm** » Thu Jul 20, 2006 5:28 pm

Well a local met from Mobile just said that he will be keeping an eye on the Gulf becuase some models do form a low and track it into the area.Despite whether anything develops or not he said there will be much moisture streaming in from the Gulf,and our rain chances will be much higher next week.

I'm sure glad we will see more rain,looks like that ridge will give us a break from the heat and dryness.

#31 Postby **tailgater** » Thu Jul 20, 2006 5:46 pm

I don't see it happening but here's the 1800 NAM
http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... loop.shtml
The best vortexity looks like the area over SW Fla.

Cyclenall · #32 Postby **Cyclenall** » Thu Jul 20, 2006 5:50 pm

gatorcane wrote:1143 views and I don't even see anything...just a few scattered cumulus and

It's even more sad when there is a crazy monster in the East pacific that looks like Hurricane Katrina and few care.

duris · #33 Postby **duris** » Thu Jul 20, 2006 8:07 pm

Cyclenall wrote:
gatorcane wrote:1143 views and I don't even see anything...just a few scattered cumulus and

It's even more sad when there is a crazy monster in the East pacific that looks like Hurricane Katrina and few care.

Sorry, but under the circumstances, I care a little more about any legitimate indicator of potential development in the GOM.

Grease Monkey · #34 Postby **Grease Monkey** » Thu Jul 20, 2006 8:15 pm

Cyclenall wrote:
gatorcane wrote:1143 views and I don't even see anything...just a few scattered cumulus and

It's even more sad when there is a crazy monster in the East pacific that looks like Hurricane Katrina and few care.

It's probably because the storm is expected to eventually weaken soon and affect no land.

Opal storm · #35 Postby **Opal storm** » Thu Jul 20, 2006 8:19 pm

Cyclenall wrote:
gatorcane wrote:1143 views and I don't even see anything...just a few scattered cumulus and

It's even more sad when there is a crazy monster in the East pacific that looks like Hurricane Katrina and few care.

That's becuase it's going harmlessly out to sea,most people here are concerned about things closer to home.

Let's Watch Eastern GOM

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