Let's Watch Eastern GOM

[tailgater]

Globals models see a little weakness but don't develop anything.
Keywest radar
http://www.intellicast.com/WeatherImg/R ... e_anim.gif
Wind Shear chart, 5 to 10 knots
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... wg8shr.GIF
Just a little something else to watch maybe.

[Stormavoider]

I agree. This blob over the keys is really blowing up this morning on the visible. In fact all around the Florida peninsula convection is blossoming.

[Stormavoider]

I think there's a LL rotation in the central gulf 91N 25W. There's no convection with it.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-vis.html

[JonathanBelles]

this is not something to wake up to in the morning

[conestogo_flood]

This could be a tropical wave developing?

[cheezyWXguy]

I think there's a LL rotation in the central gulf 91N 25W. There's no convection with it.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-vis.html

You have ur N and W mixed up...if it were 91N(which I dont think even exists) Id think u guys were crazy

[Stormcenter]

Globals models see a little weakness but don't develop anything.
Keywest radar
http://www.intellicast.com/WeatherImg/R ... e_anim.gif
Wind Shear chart, 5 to 10 knots
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... wg8shr.GIF
Just a little something else to watch maybe.

Why not watch it. There is nothing else out there going on except for Beryl.

[Stormavoider]

I think there's a LL rotation in the central gulf 91N 25W. There's no convection with it.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-vis.html

You have ur N and W mixed up...if it were 91N(which I dont think even exists) Id think u guys were crazy

You knew what I meant. sorry
Make that 25N 91W

[White Cap]

That is too close for comfort should it quickly develop. Has the NHC shown any interest in this area yet?

[teal61]

The 12z NAM sees it..

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... loop.shtml

Doesn't do a whole lot with it but eventually take the moisture up to Louisiana by Monday. It does seem to briefly close it off in the central Gulf before heading north to Louisiana.

Also of note is something in the extreme southern BOC at 00z Monday. JB has talked about this as being an area to watch, although on this run it looks like it would head into Mexico.

[White Cap]

Oh yikes! I don't like the looks of that run. We had flooding in areas of New Orleans and Metairie last night from the heavy rains. A heavy tropical downpour could cause major problems right now.

[HurricaneHunter914]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/avn-l.jpg

The Eastern GOM wave is small potatoes compared to the EPAC.

[cpdaman]

that depends on your perspective hurricane hunter

those epac storms are fish storms nice to look at , but almost meaningless ( real small potatoes as far as impacts on people's lives) unless your a boat captain in the pacific or a surfer

anyone i see what your saying, and if there is a correlation between epac storms and caribean gulf activity i would become more intrested in epac

[Nimbus]

Almost looks like a little convection wrap just of Ft Myers. Are the surface pressures low?

[White Cap]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/avn-l.jpg

The Eastern GOM wave is small potatoes compared to the EPAC.

Well even small potatoes can make a big mess is southeastern LA right now.

[Opal storm]

I don't see anything in the Gulf that's worth watching right now.That little blow up over the keys is about the size of a typical afternoon thunderstorm.Once I see a larger more persistent area of convection then I will be more interested,right now there's nothing out there.

[Stormcenter]

I don't see anything in the Gulf that's worth watching right now.That little blow up over the keys is about the size of a typical afternoon thunderstorm.Once I see a larger more persistent area of convection then I will be more interested,right now there's nothing out there.

There is definitely a "small" spin with a little convection in the central GOM.
But really not much there right now at all.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-vis.html

[SouthFloridawx]

...DISCUSSION...
GULF OF MEXICO...
AN UPPER LOW IN THE W ATLC EXTENDS A TROUGH ACROSS FLORIDA NEAR
JACKSONVILLE WSW THROUGH A SECOND UPPER LOW ALONG THE COAST OF
TEXAS NEAR CORPUS CHRISTI ACROSS INTO N MEXICO. BROAD UPPER HIGH
OVER THE CENTRAL US EXTENDS TO THE N GULF COAST. AN UPPER RIDGE
EXTENDS FROM THE YUCATAN PENINSULA ACROSS S FLORIDA INTO THE W
ATLC GENERATING SHOWERS/THUNDERSTORMS FROM 24N-26N E OF 83W TO
INLAND OVER S FLORIDA AND THE FLORIDA KEYS. SCATTERED SHOWERS/
ISOLATED THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 25N-30N BETWEEN THE FLORIDA W
COAST AND 88W. SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS
ACROSS THE BAY OF CAMPECHE S OF 20N.

[Eyewall]

I think you guys are looking too hard..lol
although the area near FL should be watched the area has been there for a while and the convection looks like its getting more clustered

[fwbbreeze]

pressues are still pretty high in the eastern Gulf of Mexico, persistance is the key!!

fwbbreeze