Atlantic Tropical Waves,Comments,Sat Pics Thread #2

Patrick99 · #381 Postby **Patrick99** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 7:03 pm

I still like the wave out there in the deep tropics that emerged from Africa Sunday. Not a lot of convection, but it's still rotating, and in a big envelope at that - I look at the water vapor and I don't see all this dry air you guys are claiming is out there. Still think this one has a chance.

#382 Postby **abajan** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 7:23 pm

cheezywxman wrote:they might...but you cant tell that from the TWO...the TWO is said the way its meant to be read...theres no "read between the lines" thing, at least not in this, especially when they think that development is possible, although not significant

The TWOs don't mention every wave - only the ones that have at least a reasonable potential for development. So, there is a "read between the lines" aspect to all of this, IMO.

#383 Postby **SouthFloridawx** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 7:24 pm

That's about it right now. GFS hasn't updated since yesterday on the cyclone phase page.

#384 Postby **abajan** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 7:52 pm

Patrick99 wrote:I still like the wave out there in the deep tropics that emerged from Africa Sunday. Not a lot of convection, but it's still rotating, and in a big envelope at that - I look at the water vapor and I don't see all this dry air you guys are claiming is out there. Still think this one has a chance.

I agree, Patrick99. This wave definetly has potential.

Extremeweatherguy · #385 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 8:49 pm

Patrick99 wrote:I still like the wave out there in the deep tropics that emerged from Africa Sunday. Not a lot of convection, but it's still rotating, and in a big envelope at that - I look at the water vapor and I don't see all this dry air you guys are claiming is out there. Still think this one has a chance.

I agree. I think once it gets closer to the islands it may quickly spin up. The question after that is does it have enough to become a TS? and where does it go?

HurricaneHunter914 · #386 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 8:53 pm

It will probably continue a westward track which should move it into a favorable area for development.

boca · #387 Postby **boca** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 9:59 pm

The wave moved off Africa 36 hours ago and looked great,then it started to lose convection. I think once it gets to 55W it will probably explode baring no shear problems in the caribbean to rip it apart. Yes Patrick99 this has my attention.

HurricaneHunter914 · #388 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Tue Jul 18, 2006 11:15 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/avn-l.jpg

Tropical Wave south of PR.

Eyewall · #389 Postby **Eyewall** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 8:24 am

lets face it, NOTHING IS GONNA FORM TILL AUGUST
too much shear 8-)

#390 Postby **skysummit** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 8:26 am

Eyewall wrote:lets face it, NOTHING IS GONNA FORM TILL AUGUST
too much shear

Uh...I really hope you're just joking around.

#391 Postby **MBismyPlayground** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 8:30 am

Eyewall wrote:lets face it, NOTHING IS GONNA FORM TILL AUGUST
too much shear

NOTHING is a pretty big word when discussing mother nature.... :raincloud:

Eyewall · #392 Postby **Eyewall** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 8:31 am

No I'm pretty sure that things are a bit too turbulent for much to happen
and in the areas were the shear is low, theres tons of dry air..

but hey things change fast so who knows
im just tired of following these waves with no convection and almost no circulation..

#393 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 8:31 am

Eyewall wrote:lets face it, NOTHING IS GONNA FORM TILL AUGUST
too much shear

I remember some who said that nothing would form until mid august but here we are on July 19th with Beryl.

Eyewall · #394 Postby **Eyewall** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 8:34 am

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/sat-bin/disp ... LATEST.jpg

look how far north this convection coming off Africa is!!
wow

#395 Postby **skysummit** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 8:49 am

Yea....please don't say "NOTHING" will form when we're tracking a Tropical Storm.

#396 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 10:35 am

Hear the Monkey

:uarrow:

Here is our friend the monkey.Hear what he has to say.By the way if you move your mouse up,down and left or right,you will see his head move.Enjoy it.

#397 Postby **angelwing** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 10:41 am

#398 Postby **gatorcane** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 11:11 am

the monkey is so funny!!!

#399 Postby **O Town** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 11:17 am

Love the monkey Luis! :lol:

HurricaneHunter914 · #400 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Wed Jul 19, 2006 11:17 am

Love the monkey!

Atlantic Tropical Waves,Comments,Sat Pics Thread #2

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