Impressive system SW of Cape Verde Islands

This is the general tropical discussion area. Anyone can take their shot at predicting a storms path.

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Forum rules

The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.

Help Support Storm2K
Message
Author
User avatar
Tampa_God
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 333
Age: 35
Joined: Wed May 31, 2006 7:27 pm
Location: New Port Richey/Trinity, FL

#121 Postby Tampa_God » Tue Jul 18, 2006 4:09 pm

I really wnat to call this 98L. You know what, I will.

98L looks better than this morning and as I said, it has reformed convention. Nice outflow as well. I give this 2 days for TD, and bets? :D
0 likes   

User avatar
cycloneye
Admin
Admin
Posts: 146196
Age: 69
Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico

#122 Postby cycloneye » Tue Jul 18, 2006 4:20 pm

ABNT20 KNHC 182107
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT TUE JUL 18 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER IS ISSUING ADVISORIES ON RECENTLY
UPGRADED TROPICAL STORM BERYL...LOCATED ABOUT 180 MILES SOUTHEAST
OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS BETWEEN THE LEEWARD ISLANDS AND BERMUDA HAVE
DIMINISHED.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH
WEDNESDAY.

PUBLIC ADVISORIES ON TROPICAL STORM BERYL ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO
HEADER WTNT32 KNHC AND UNDER AWIPS HEADER MIATCPAT2.
FORECAST/ADVISORIES ARE ISSUED UNDER WMO HEADER WTNT22 AND UNDER
AWIPS HEADER MIATCMAT2.

$$

FORECASTER AVILA


No mention of wave at this 5:30 PM TWO.
0 likes   
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here

User avatar
Grease Monkey
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 727
Joined: Fri Jun 09, 2006 9:25 pm

#123 Postby Grease Monkey » Tue Jul 18, 2006 4:22 pm

On the weather channel they said they don't expect the wave to turn into anything.
0 likes   

User avatar
AnnularCane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2879
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:18 am
Location: Wytheville, VA

#124 Postby AnnularCane » Tue Jul 18, 2006 4:35 pm

Grease Monkey wrote:On the weather channel they said they don't expect the wave to turn into anything.



The weather channel also said, about an hour or so before Beryl was upgraded, that the recon had already left and said she was still a TD.
0 likes   

curtadams
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 1122
Joined: Sun Aug 28, 2005 7:57 pm
Location: Orange, California
Contact:

#125 Postby curtadams » Tue Jul 18, 2006 5:22 pm

The center is becoming visible on the Central Atlantic view http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/loop-avn.html Looks a little weak but better than the one last week.
0 likes   

User avatar
SWFLA_CANE
Tropical Storm
Tropical Storm
Posts: 196
Joined: Tue Jun 06, 2006 6:41 pm
Location: Naples, Florida

#126 Postby SWFLA_CANE » Tue Jul 18, 2006 8:11 pm

It has lost convection but on water vapor it appears as if the dry air that was around when it left Africa has moistened. If it can maintain convection it may have a shot to develop in the next 3 to 5 days.
0 likes   

User avatar
boca
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6372
Age: 60
Joined: Mon Dec 15, 2003 8:49 am
Location: Boca Raton,FL

#127 Postby boca » Tue Jul 18, 2006 10:17 pm

I'm not writing this one off yet it still has curature even though convection is on the wane, wait till it gets to 55W with warmer SST's.
0 likes   

Steve H.
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2149
Joined: Sat Oct 19, 2002 9:06 am
Location: Palm Bay, Florida

#128 Postby Steve H. » Tue Jul 18, 2006 10:32 pm

I agree Boca, this one looks to be developing a decent circulation and is firing up some more convection, if I'm looking at the latest Dundee sat pix. We'll see in the coming days.
0 likes   

Frank2
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4061
Joined: Mon Jul 25, 2005 12:47 pm

#129 Postby Frank2 » Wed Jul 19, 2006 7:28 am

As predicted by someone else here the other day, the wave dissipated once it reached an area of very dry air (the NHC has since dropped it from the TWO)...

Frank
0 likes   

User avatar
cheezyWXguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6132
Joined: Mon Feb 13, 2006 12:29 am
Location: Dallas, TX

#130 Postby cheezyWXguy » Wed Jul 19, 2006 7:29 am

it hasnt dissipated...its still there, but lacking convection
0 likes   

Eyewall

#131 Postby Eyewall » Wed Jul 19, 2006 8:01 am

Nothing but dry air in front of it :(

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/wv-l.jpg

I'd say its got almost no chance.
0 likes   

User avatar
cheezyWXguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6132
Joined: Mon Feb 13, 2006 12:29 am
Location: Dallas, TX

#132 Postby cheezyWXguy » Wed Jul 19, 2006 8:02 am

If it holds together through the dry air it could develop in the carribean
0 likes   

Frank2
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4061
Joined: Mon Jul 25, 2005 12:47 pm

#133 Postby Frank2 » Wed Jul 19, 2006 8:30 am

True, the wave axis is there - minus the convection...
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23693
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#134 Postby gatorcane » Wed Jul 19, 2006 11:05 am

Frank2 wrote:True, the wave axis is there - minus the convection...


Dry air gets yet another one folks:

:blowup:
0 likes   

HurricaneHunter914
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4439
Age: 31
Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
Location: College Station, TX

#135 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Wed Jul 19, 2006 11:21 am

At least it lasted longer, but a poof is a poof.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Matt-hurricanewatcher

#136 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed Jul 19, 2006 11:34 am

:cry:
0 likes   

User avatar
cheezyWXguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6132
Joined: Mon Feb 13, 2006 12:29 am
Location: Dallas, TX

#137 Postby cheezyWXguy » Wed Jul 19, 2006 11:49 am

no poof...its not dead..the circulation is still there. Just no convection
0 likes   

User avatar
AnnularCane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2879
Joined: Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:18 am
Location: Wytheville, VA

#138 Postby AnnularCane » Wed Jul 19, 2006 11:54 am

He could blow up again later and surprise us all. :P
0 likes   

Eyewall

#139 Postby Eyewall » Wed Jul 19, 2006 12:12 pm

its gone
just accept it... 8-)
0 likes   

User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23693
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#140 Postby gatorcane » Wed Jul 19, 2006 12:14 pm

let's play that song in memory of this now defunct wave:

"another one bites the dust!!!"

no pun intended!!! lol
0 likes   


Return to “Talkin' Tropics”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: dl20415, IcyTundra, riapal, wileytheartist and 56 guests