TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
1130 AM EDT TUE JUL 18 2006
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH ISSUED FOR PARTS OF EASTERN NORTH CAROLINA...
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FOLLOWING AREAS:
CARTERET...DARE AND HYDE.
...WATCHES...
AT 11 AM EDT A TROPICAL STORM WATCH HAS BEEN ISSUED ALONG THE
COAST FROM NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT TO SOUTH OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT.
...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 1100 AM EDT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED
NEAR LATITUDE 32.5 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.4 WEST OR ABOUT 220
MILES...SOUTH SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA. THE
DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH. A SLOW TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR LATER
TONIGHT OR WEDNESDAY.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
COASTAL RESIDENTS FROM CARTERET COUNTY NORTH ALONG THE OUTER BANKS
ARE URGED TO TAKE ACTION NOW TO PROTECT ANY PROPERTY THAT MAY BE
THREATENED BY TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS.
...WIND IMPACTS...
BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST...WINDS WILL START TO REACH TROPICAL
STORM FORCE ALONG THE COAST NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT LATER WEDNESDAY
EVENING AND CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY. AT THIS POINT WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO REACH 40 TO 50 MPH...MAINLY OVER THE OUTER BANKS.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 3 PM.
Beryl=Local and NHC Advisories
Moderator: S2k Moderators
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dixiebreeze
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Beryl=Local and NHC Advisories
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cycloneye
- Admin
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- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
TCPAT2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006
200 PM EDT TUE JUL 18 2006
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED OFF THE NORTH
CAROLINA COAST...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF NORTH
CAROLINA FROM NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF CURRITUCK
BEACH LIGHT.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.4 WEST OR ABOUT 210
MILES...340 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH. A SLOW TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR LATER
TONIGHT OR WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT CURRENTLY
INVESTIGATING THE DEPRESSION WILL PROVIDE A BETTER ASSESSMENT OF
ITS LOCATION AND STRENGTH LATER TODAY.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.85 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...32.8 N...73.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 500 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
This thread will be for Local advisories and for NHC advisories.
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 1A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006
200 PM EDT TUE JUL 18 2006
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION GETTING BETTER ORGANIZED OFF THE NORTH
CAROLINA COAST...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF NORTH
CAROLINA FROM NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF CURRITUCK
BEACH LIGHT.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 200 PM EDT...1800Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.4 WEST OR ABOUT 210
MILES...340 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH. A SLOW TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST OR NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR LATER
TONIGHT OR WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT. AN AIR FORCE RESERVE RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT CURRENTLY
INVESTIGATING THE DEPRESSION WILL PROVIDE A BETTER ASSESSMENT OF
ITS LOCATION AND STRENGTH LATER TODAY.
THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1011 MB...29.85 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 200 PM EDT POSITION...32.8 N...73.4 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 5 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1011 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 500 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
This thread will be for Local advisories and for NHC advisories.
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brunota2003
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 9476
- Age: 34
- Joined: Sat Jul 30, 2005 9:56 pm
- Location: Stanton, KY...formerly Havelock, NC
- Contact:
Hurricane Local Statement
TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT
AMZ150-152-154-156-NCZ095-103-182230-
TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
245 PM EDT TUE JUL 18 2006
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR PARTS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA...
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FOLLOWING AREAS:
CARTERET...DARE AND HYDE.
...WATCHES...
AT 2 PM EDT A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES ALONG THE
COAST FROM NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT TO SOUTH OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT.
...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 200 PM EDT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.4 WEST OR ABOUT 210 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH. A SLOW TURN TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST
OR NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR LATER TONIGHT OR WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
COASTAL RESIDENTS FROM CARTERET COUNTY NORTH ALONG THE OUTER BANKS
ARE URGED TO TAKE ACTION NOW TO PROTECT ANY PROPERTY THAT MAY BE
THREATENED BY TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS.
...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
AS WINDS INCREASE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY WATER LEVELS WILL
BEGIN TO INCREASE ALONG THE COAST ESPECIALLY FROM CAPE HATTERAS
NORTH. WATER LEVEL INCREASES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHERN OUTER BANKS. AS WINDS SHIFT TO THE
NORTHWEST LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY WATER LEVELS WILL
INCREASE ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE PAMLICO SOUND...WITH MINOR
SOUNDSIDE FLOODING POSSIBLE OVER OCRACOKE AND HATTERAS ISLANDS AS
WATER LEVELS INCREASE TO 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL.
...WIND IMPACTS...
BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST...WINDS WILL START TO REACH TROPICAL
STORM FORCE ALONG THE COAST NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT LATER WEDNESDAY
EVENING AND CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY. AT THIS POINT WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO REACH 40 TO 50 MPH...MAINLY OVER THE OUTER BANKS.
...RIP CURRENT IMPACTS...
THE THREAT FOR DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL INCREASE ALONG THE EAST
FACING BEACHES NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT LATE WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUE
INTO THURSDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 6 PM.
$$
RF
TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT
AMZ150-152-154-156-NCZ095-103-182230-
TROPICAL STORM LOCAL STATEMENT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEWPORT/MOREHEAD CITY NC
245 PM EDT TUE JUL 18 2006
...TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES FOR PARTS OF EASTERN NORTH
CAROLINA...
...AREAS AFFECTED...
THIS STATEMENT IS FOR RESIDENTS OF THE FOLLOWING AREAS:
CARTERET...DARE AND HYDE.
...WATCHES...
AT 2 PM EDT A TROPICAL STORM WATCH CONTINUES ALONG THE
COAST FROM NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT TO SOUTH OF CURRITUCK BEACH LIGHT.
...STORM INFORMATION...
AT 200 PM EDT THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS LOCATED NEAR
LATITUDE 32.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.4 WEST OR ABOUT 210 MILES
SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA. THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING
TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 5 MPH. A SLOW TURN TOWARD THE NORTH NORTHWEST
OR NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR LATER TONIGHT OR WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH.
...PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...
COASTAL RESIDENTS FROM CARTERET COUNTY NORTH ALONG THE OUTER BANKS
ARE URGED TO TAKE ACTION NOW TO PROTECT ANY PROPERTY THAT MAY BE
THREATENED BY TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS.
...STORM SURGE FLOOD AND STORM TIDE IMPACTS...
AS WINDS INCREASE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY WATER LEVELS WILL
BEGIN TO INCREASE ALONG THE COAST ESPECIALLY FROM CAPE HATTERAS
NORTH. WATER LEVEL INCREASES OF 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL WILL BE
POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHERN OUTER BANKS. AS WINDS SHIFT TO THE
NORTHWEST LATE WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY WATER LEVELS WILL
INCREASE ON THE EAST SIDE OF THE PAMLICO SOUND...WITH MINOR
SOUNDSIDE FLOODING POSSIBLE OVER OCRACOKE AND HATTERAS ISLANDS AS
WATER LEVELS INCREASE TO 2 TO 4 FEET ABOVE NORMAL.
...WIND IMPACTS...
BASED ON THE CURRENT FORECAST...WINDS WILL START TO REACH TROPICAL
STORM FORCE ALONG THE COAST NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT LATER WEDNESDAY
EVENING AND CONTINUE INTO THURSDAY. AT THIS POINT WINDS ARE
EXPECTED TO REACH 40 TO 50 MPH...MAINLY OVER THE OUTER BANKS.
...RIP CURRENT IMPACTS...
THE THREAT FOR DANGEROUS RIP CURRENTS WILL INCREASE ALONG THE EAST
FACING BEACHES NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT LATE WEDNESDAY AND CONTINUE
INTO THURSDAY.
...NEXT UPDATE...
THE NEXT UPDATE WILL BE ISSUED AROUND 6 PM.
$$
RF
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cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 146196
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
In the nest few minutes the debate will be over about if TD2 has been upgraded or not.
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Brent
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 38117
- Age: 37
- Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
- Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
- Contact:
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006
2100 UTC TUE JUL 18 2006
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF NORTH
CAROLINA FROM NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF CURRITUCK
BEACH LIGHT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 73.3W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 73.3W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 73.3W
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 33.7N 73.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 34.4N 74.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 35.2N 74.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 36.0N 74.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 10SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 37.4N 73.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 10SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 39.5N 68.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 42.5N 60.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.3N 73.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006
2100 UTC TUE JUL 18 2006
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF NORTH
CAROLINA FROM NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF CURRITUCK
BEACH LIGHT.
TROPICAL DEPRESSION CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 73.3W AT 18/2100Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 20 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH OR 360 DEGREES AT 5 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1008 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 30 KT WITH GUSTS TO 40 KT.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 33.3N 73.3W AT 18/2100Z
AT 18/1800Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 33.0N 73.3W
FORECAST VALID 19/0600Z 33.7N 73.7W
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 20SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 19/1800Z 34.4N 74.2W
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 30SW 40NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/0600Z 35.2N 74.6W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 20NE 20SE 0SW 20NW.
34 KT... 50NE 50SE 40SW 50NW.
FORECAST VALID 20/1800Z 36.0N 74.6W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 10SW 25NW.
34 KT... 60NE 60SE 50SW 60NW.
FORECAST VALID 21/1800Z 37.4N 73.4W
MAX WIND 55 KT...GUSTS 65 KT.
50 KT... 25NE 25SE 10SW 25NW.
34 KT... 70NE 70SE 50SW 60NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 22/1800Z 39.5N 68.5W
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 23/1800Z 42.5N 60.0W...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 33.3N 73.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 19/0300Z
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
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#neversummer
-
WindRunner
- Category 5
- Posts: 5806
- Age: 34
- Joined: Fri Jul 29, 2005 8:07 pm
- Location: Warrenton, VA, but Albany, NY for school
- Contact:
-
Brent
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 38117
- Age: 37
- Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
- Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
- Contact:
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006
500 PM EDT TUE JUL 18 2006
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION VERY NEAR TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF NORTH
CAROLINA FROM NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF CURRITUCK
BEACH LIGHT.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.3 WEST OR ABOUT 180
MILES...290 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH. A SLOW TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR LATER TONIGHT OR
WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...33.3 N...73.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO ADVISORY NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006
500 PM EDT TUE JUL 18 2006
...TROPICAL DEPRESSION VERY NEAR TROPICAL STORM STRENGTH...
A TROPICAL STORM WATCH IS IN EFFECT FOR THE EASTERN COAST OF NORTH
CAROLINA FROM NORTH OF CAPE LOOKOUT NORTHWARD TO SOUTH OF CURRITUCK
BEACH LIGHT.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 500 PM EDT...2100Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 33.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 73.3 WEST OR ABOUT 180
MILES...290 KM...SOUTHEAST OF CAPE HATTERAS NORTH CAROLINA.
THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH NEAR 6 MPH. A SLOW TURN
TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHWEST IS EXPECTED TO OCCUR LATER TONIGHT OR
WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 35 MPH...55 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS. STRENGTHENING IS FORECAST DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS... AND
THE DEPRESSION COULD BECOME A TROPICAL STORM LATER TODAY OR
TONIGHT.
THE MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.
REPEATING THE 500 PM EDT POSITION...33.3 N...73.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH NEAR 6 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...35 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 800 PM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 1100
PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
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#neversummer
-
Brent
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 38117
- Age: 37
- Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
- Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
- Contact:
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO DISCUSSION NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006
500 PM EDT TUE JUL 18 2006
RECONNAISSANCE DATA AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE DEPRESSION
HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. RECENT DATA FROM THE
AIRCRAFT THAT CAME IN AFTER SOME OF THE FORECAST PRODUCTS WERE
ISSUED INDICATE 1000 FT FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF 46 KT IN THE
SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT AND A PRESSURE OF 1007 MB. THIS CORRESPONDS
TO AT LEAST 35 KT SURFACE WINDS...AND A TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE...
OR TCU PRODUCT... WILL ISSUED SHORTLY INDICATING THAT THE CYCLONE IS
NOW TROPICAL STORM BERYL.
THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 360/05. THE GLOBAL MODELS AT 12Z
AGAIN DID NOT INITIALIZE THE CYCLONE VERY WELL AND...AS A
RESULT ...GRADUALLY SHEAR OUT A VERY WEAK SYSTEM NORTHWARD THROUGH
36-48 HOURS...AND THEN TURN GRADUALLY TURN IT NORTHEASTWARD. UNTIL
THE MODELS SHOW THAT THEY HAVE A BETTER HANDLE ON THE INITIAL STATE
OF THIS SYSTEM...I AM LEANING MORE TOWARD THE ECMWF...GFDL...AND
THE BAM MODELS ON THE CYCLONE MAKING A SLIGHT S-BEND IN THE
FORECAST TRACK THROUGH 48-72 HOURS. THIS SCENARIO IS SUPPORTED BY
ALL THE MODELS WHICH INDICATE A SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER THE
GREAT LAKES DIGGING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AND ERODING THE EASTERN
PORTION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES. THE
MODELS ALSO AGREE THAT THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST OF THE
CYCLONE WILL BUILD WESTWARD SLIGHTLY...WHICH APPEARS TO BE ONGOING
RIGHT NOW BASED ON TRENDS NOTED IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. THE
COMBINATION OF MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS TO THE WEST AND HEIGHT RISES
TO THE EAST SHOULD IS EXPECTED TO NUDGE THE CYCLONE ON A
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGH 48 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST
TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK...BUT WAS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY
TO THE EAST.
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW CONTINUES TO IMPROVE AND BECOME MORE
SYMMETRICAL. THE SHIPS MODEL INDICATES THE VERTICAL SHEAR IS
FORECAST TO BE ONLY 1 KT IN 24 HOURS...WHICH WOULD FAVOR
SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING IN MOST CASES. ALTHOUGH SSTS APPEAR TO BE
WARMER THAN WHAT THE SHIPS MODEL IS USING...DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT IN
THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE MAY MODULATE THE NORMAL INTENSIFICATION
TREND FOR A SYSTEM LIKE THIS. THE SHIPS MODEL NOW BRINGS THE
CYCLONE UP TO 50 KT IN 36 HOURS...AND THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY
FORECAST REMAINS SLIGHTLY HIGHER.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 18/2100Z 33.3N 73.3W 30 KT
12HR VT 19/0600Z 33.7N 73.7W 40 KT
24HR VT 19/1800Z 34.4N 74.2W 45 KT
36HR VT 20/0600Z 35.2N 74.6W 50 KT
48HR VT 20/1800Z 36.0N 74.6W 55 KT
72HR VT 21/1800Z 37.4N 73.4W 55 KT
96HR VT 22/1800Z 39.5N 68.5W 50 KT
120HR VT 23/1800Z 42.5N 60.0W 40 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006
500 PM EDT TUE JUL 18 2006
RECONNAISSANCE DATA AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE DEPRESSION
HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. RECENT DATA FROM THE
AIRCRAFT THAT CAME IN AFTER SOME OF THE FORECAST PRODUCTS WERE
ISSUED INDICATE 1000 FT FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF 46 KT IN THE
SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT AND A PRESSURE OF 1007 MB. THIS CORRESPONDS
TO AT LEAST 35 KT SURFACE WINDS...AND A TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE...
OR TCU PRODUCT... WILL ISSUED SHORTLY INDICATING THAT THE CYCLONE IS
NOW TROPICAL STORM BERYL.
THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 360/05. THE GLOBAL MODELS AT 12Z
AGAIN DID NOT INITIALIZE THE CYCLONE VERY WELL AND...AS A
RESULT ...GRADUALLY SHEAR OUT A VERY WEAK SYSTEM NORTHWARD THROUGH
36-48 HOURS...AND THEN TURN GRADUALLY TURN IT NORTHEASTWARD. UNTIL
THE MODELS SHOW THAT THEY HAVE A BETTER HANDLE ON THE INITIAL STATE
OF THIS SYSTEM...I AM LEANING MORE TOWARD THE ECMWF...GFDL...AND
THE BAM MODELS ON THE CYCLONE MAKING A SLIGHT S-BEND IN THE
FORECAST TRACK THROUGH 48-72 HOURS. THIS SCENARIO IS SUPPORTED BY
ALL THE MODELS WHICH INDICATE A SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER THE
GREAT LAKES DIGGING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AND ERODING THE EASTERN
PORTION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES. THE
MODELS ALSO AGREE THAT THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST OF THE
CYCLONE WILL BUILD WESTWARD SLIGHTLY...WHICH APPEARS TO BE ONGOING
RIGHT NOW BASED ON TRENDS NOTED IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. THE
COMBINATION OF MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS TO THE WEST AND HEIGHT RISES
TO THE EAST SHOULD IS EXPECTED TO NUDGE THE CYCLONE ON A
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGH 48 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST
TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK...BUT WAS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY
TO THE EAST.
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW CONTINUES TO IMPROVE AND BECOME MORE
SYMMETRICAL. THE SHIPS MODEL INDICATES THE VERTICAL SHEAR IS
FORECAST TO BE ONLY 1 KT IN 24 HOURS...WHICH WOULD FAVOR
SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING IN MOST CASES. ALTHOUGH SSTS APPEAR TO BE
WARMER THAN WHAT THE SHIPS MODEL IS USING...DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT IN
THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE MAY MODULATE THE NORMAL INTENSIFICATION
TREND FOR A SYSTEM LIKE THIS. THE SHIPS MODEL NOW BRINGS THE
CYCLONE UP TO 50 KT IN 36 HOURS...AND THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY
FORECAST REMAINS SLIGHTLY HIGHER.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 18/2100Z 33.3N 73.3W 30 KT
12HR VT 19/0600Z 33.7N 73.7W 40 KT
24HR VT 19/1800Z 34.4N 74.2W 45 KT
36HR VT 20/0600Z 35.2N 74.6W 50 KT
48HR VT 20/1800Z 36.0N 74.6W 55 KT
72HR VT 21/1800Z 37.4N 73.4W 55 KT
96HR VT 22/1800Z 39.5N 68.5W 50 KT
120HR VT 23/1800Z 42.5N 60.0W 40 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
0 likes
#neversummer
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 146196
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
820
WTNT42 KNHC 182050
TCDAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO DISCUSSION NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006
500 PM EDT TUE JUL 18 2006
RECONNAISSANCE DATA AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE DEPRESSION
HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. RECENT DATA FROM THE
AIRCRAFT THAT CAME IN AFTER SOME OF THE FORECAST PRODUCTS WERE
ISSUED INDICATE 1000 FT FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF 46 KT IN THE
SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT AND A PRESSURE OF 1007 MB. THIS CORRESPONDS
TO AT LEAST 35 KT SURFACE WINDS...AND A TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE...
OR TCU PRODUCT... WILL ISSUED SHORTLY INDICATING THAT THE CYCLONE IS
NOW TROPICAL STORM BERYL.
THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 360/05. THE GLOBAL MODELS AT 12Z
AGAIN DID NOT INITIALIZE THE CYCLONE VERY WELL AND...AS A
RESULT ...GRADUALLY SHEAR OUT A VERY WEAK SYSTEM NORTHWARD THROUGH
36-48 HOURS...AND THEN TURN GRADUALLY TURN IT NORTHEASTWARD. UNTIL
THE MODELS SHOW THAT THEY HAVE A BETTER HANDLE ON THE INITIAL STATE
OF THIS SYSTEM...I AM LEANING MORE TOWARD THE ECMWF...GFDL...AND
THE BAM MODELS ON THE CYCLONE MAKING A SLIGHT S-BEND IN THE
FORECAST TRACK THROUGH 48-72 HOURS. THIS SCENARIO IS SUPPORTED BY
ALL THE MODELS WHICH INDICATE A SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER THE
GREAT LAKES DIGGING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AND ERODING THE EASTERN
PORTION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES. THE
MODELS ALSO AGREE THAT THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST OF THE
CYCLONE WILL BUILD WESTWARD SLIGHTLY...WHICH APPEARS TO BE ONGOING
RIGHT NOW BASED ON TRENDS NOTED IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. THE
COMBINATION OF MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS TO THE WEST AND HEIGHT RISES
TO THE EAST SHOULD IS EXPECTED TO NUDGE THE CYCLONE ON A
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGH 48 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST
TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK...BUT WAS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY
TO THE EAST.
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW CONTINUES TO IMPROVE AND BECOME MORE
SYMMETRICAL. THE SHIPS MODEL INDICATES THE VERTICAL SHEAR IS
FORECAST TO BE ONLY 1 KT IN 24 HOURS...WHICH WOULD FAVOR
SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING IN MOST CASES. ALTHOUGH SSTS APPEAR TO BE
WARMER THAN WHAT THE SHIPS MODEL IS USING...DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT IN
THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE MAY MODULATE THE NORMAL INTENSIFICATION
TREND FOR A SYSTEM LIKE THIS. THE SHIPS MODEL NOW BRINGS THE
CYCLONE UP TO 50 KT IN 36 HOURS...AND THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY
FORECAST REMAINS SLIGHTLY HIGHER.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 18/2100Z 33.3N 73.3W 30 KT
12HR VT 19/0600Z 33.7N 73.7W 40 KT
24HR VT 19/1800Z 34.4N 74.2W 45 KT
36HR VT 20/0600Z 35.2N 74.6W 50 KT
48HR VT 20/1800Z 36.0N 74.6W 55 KT
72HR VT 21/1800Z 37.4N 73.4W 55 KT
96HR VT 22/1800Z 39.5N 68.5W 50 KT
120HR VT 23/1800Z 42.5N 60.0W 40 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
WTNT42 KNHC 182050
TCDAT2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO DISCUSSION NUMBER 2
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006
500 PM EDT TUE JUL 18 2006
RECONNAISSANCE DATA AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE DEPRESSION
HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. RECENT DATA FROM THE
AIRCRAFT THAT CAME IN AFTER SOME OF THE FORECAST PRODUCTS WERE
ISSUED INDICATE 1000 FT FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF 46 KT IN THE
SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT AND A PRESSURE OF 1007 MB. THIS CORRESPONDS
TO AT LEAST 35 KT SURFACE WINDS...AND A TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE...
OR TCU PRODUCT... WILL ISSUED SHORTLY INDICATING THAT THE CYCLONE IS
NOW TROPICAL STORM BERYL.
THE INITIAL MOTION ESTIMATE IS 360/05. THE GLOBAL MODELS AT 12Z
AGAIN DID NOT INITIALIZE THE CYCLONE VERY WELL AND...AS A
RESULT ...GRADUALLY SHEAR OUT A VERY WEAK SYSTEM NORTHWARD THROUGH
36-48 HOURS...AND THEN TURN GRADUALLY TURN IT NORTHEASTWARD. UNTIL
THE MODELS SHOW THAT THEY HAVE A BETTER HANDLE ON THE INITIAL STATE
OF THIS SYSTEM...I AM LEANING MORE TOWARD THE ECMWF...GFDL...AND
THE BAM MODELS ON THE CYCLONE MAKING A SLIGHT S-BEND IN THE
FORECAST TRACK THROUGH 48-72 HOURS. THIS SCENARIO IS SUPPORTED BY
ALL THE MODELS WHICH INDICATE A SHORTWAVE TROUGH CURRENTLY OVER THE
GREAT LAKES DIGGING EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD AND ERODING THE EASTERN
PORTION OF THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE ALONG THE MID-ATLANTIC STATES. THE
MODELS ALSO AGREE THAT THE SUBTROPICAL RIDGE TO THE EAST OF THE
CYCLONE WILL BUILD WESTWARD SLIGHTLY...WHICH APPEARS TO BE ONGOING
RIGHT NOW BASED ON TRENDS NOTED IN WATER VAPOR IMAGERY. THE
COMBINATION OF MID-LEVEL HEIGHT FALLS TO THE WEST AND HEIGHT RISES
TO THE EAST SHOULD IS EXPECTED TO NUDGE THE CYCLONE ON A
NORTH-NORTHWESTWARD TRACK THROUGH 48 HOURS. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST
TRACK IS SIMILAR TO THE PREVIOUS TRACK...BUT WAS SHIFTED SLIGHTLY
TO THE EAST.
UPPER-LEVEL OUTFLOW CONTINUES TO IMPROVE AND BECOME MORE
SYMMETRICAL. THE SHIPS MODEL INDICATES THE VERTICAL SHEAR IS
FORECAST TO BE ONLY 1 KT IN 24 HOURS...WHICH WOULD FAVOR
SIGNIFICANT STRENGTHENING IN MOST CASES. ALTHOUGH SSTS APPEAR TO BE
WARMER THAN WHAT THE SHIPS MODEL IS USING...DRY AIR ENTRAINMENT IN
THE WESTERN SEMICIRCLE MAY MODULATE THE NORMAL INTENSIFICATION
TREND FOR A SYSTEM LIKE THIS. THE SHIPS MODEL NOW BRINGS THE
CYCLONE UP TO 50 KT IN 36 HOURS...AND THE OFFICIAL INTENSITY
FORECAST REMAINS SLIGHTLY HIGHER.
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 18/2100Z 33.3N 73.3W 30 KT
12HR VT 19/0600Z 33.7N 73.7W 40 KT
24HR VT 19/1800Z 34.4N 74.2W 45 KT
36HR VT 20/0600Z 35.2N 74.6W 50 KT
48HR VT 20/1800Z 36.0N 74.6W 55 KT
72HR VT 21/1800Z 37.4N 73.4W 55 KT
96HR VT 22/1800Z 39.5N 68.5W 50 KT
120HR VT 23/1800Z 42.5N 60.0W 40 KT...BECOMING EXTRATROPICAL
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 146196
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
RECONNAISSANCE DATA AND SATELLITE IMAGERY INDICATE THE DEPRESSION
HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. RECENT DATA FROM THE
AIRCRAFT THAT CAME IN AFTER SOME OF THE FORECAST PRODUCTS WERE
ISSUED INDICATE 1000 FT FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF 46 KT IN THE
SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT AND A PRESSURE OF 1007 MB. THIS CORRESPONDS
TO AT LEAST 35 KT SURFACE WINDS...AND A TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE...
OR TCU PRODUCT... WILL ISSUED SHORTLY INDICATING THAT THE CYCLONE IS
NOW TROPICAL STORM BERYL.
BERYL!!!!
HAS CONTINUED TO BECOME BETTER ORGANIZED. RECENT DATA FROM THE
AIRCRAFT THAT CAME IN AFTER SOME OF THE FORECAST PRODUCTS WERE
ISSUED INDICATE 1000 FT FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF 46 KT IN THE
SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT AND A PRESSURE OF 1007 MB. THIS CORRESPONDS
TO AT LEAST 35 KT SURFACE WINDS...AND A TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE...
OR TCU PRODUCT... WILL ISSUED SHORTLY INDICATING THAT THE CYCLONE IS
NOW TROPICAL STORM BERYL.
BERYL!!!!
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
000
WTNT62 KNHC 182056
TCUAT2
TROPICAL STORM BERYL TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006
455 PM EDT TUE JUL 18 2006
...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT DATA INDICATES THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWO HAS REACHED TROPICAL STORM STATUS...
SHORTLY BEFORE 445 PM CDT...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATED
FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF 46-47 KT IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT...ALONG
WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1007 MB...OR 29.74 INCHES. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS IN CYCLOEN ARE NOW ESTIMATED TO BE AT LEAST 40 MPH
IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE...AND THE SYSTEM IS BEING DESIGNATED
TROPICAL STORM BERYL. THIS NEW STORM STATUS WILL BE REFLECTED IN
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER GRAPHICS PRODUCTS AND ALSO IN THE NEXT
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED AT 8 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
WTNT62 KNHC 182056
TCUAT2
TROPICAL STORM BERYL TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006
455 PM EDT TUE JUL 18 2006
...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT DATA INDICATES THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWO HAS REACHED TROPICAL STORM STATUS...
SHORTLY BEFORE 445 PM CDT...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATED
FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF 46-47 KT IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT...ALONG
WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1007 MB...OR 29.74 INCHES. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS IN CYCLOEN ARE NOW ESTIMATED TO BE AT LEAST 40 MPH
IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE...AND THE SYSTEM IS BEING DESIGNATED
TROPICAL STORM BERYL. THIS NEW STORM STATUS WILL BE REFLECTED IN
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER GRAPHICS PRODUCTS AND ALSO IN THE NEXT
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED AT 8 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
0 likes
-
Aric Dunn
- Category 5
- Posts: 21238
- Age: 42
- Joined: Sun Sep 19, 2004 9:58 pm
- Location: Ready for the Chase.
- Contact:
083
WTNT62 KNHC 182056
TCUAT2
TROPICAL STORM BERYL TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006
455 PM EDT TUE JUL 18 2006
...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT DATA INDICATES THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWO HAS REACHED TROPICAL STORM STATUS...
SHORTLY BEFORE 445 PM CDT...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATED
FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF 46-47 KT IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT...ALONG
WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1007 MB...OR 29.74 INCHES. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS IN CYCLOEN ARE NOW ESTIMATED TO BE AT LEAST 40 MPH
IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE...AND THE SYSTEM IS BEING DESIGNATED
TROPICAL STORM BERYL. THIS NEW STORM STATUS WILL BE REFLECTED IN
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER GRAPHICS PRODUCTS AND ALSO IN THE NEXT
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED AT 8 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
WTNT62 KNHC 182056
TCUAT2
TROPICAL STORM BERYL TROPICAL CYCLONE UPDATE
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL022006
455 PM EDT TUE JUL 18 2006
...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT DATA INDICATES THAT TROPICAL DEPRESSION
TWO HAS REACHED TROPICAL STORM STATUS...
SHORTLY BEFORE 445 PM CDT...RECONNAISSANCE AIRCRAFT INDICATED
FLIGHT-LEVEL WINDS OF 46-47 KT IN THE SOUTHEASTERN QUADRANT...ALONG
WITH A CENTRAL PRESSURE OF 1007 MB...OR 29.74 INCHES. MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED WINDS IN CYCLOEN ARE NOW ESTIMATED TO BE AT LEAST 40 MPH
IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE...AND THE SYSTEM IS BEING DESIGNATED
TROPICAL STORM BERYL. THIS NEW STORM STATUS WILL BE REFLECTED IN
NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER GRAPHICS PRODUCTS AND ALSO IN THE NEXT
INTERMEDIATE PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED AT 8 PM EDT.
$$
FORECASTER STEWART
0 likes
X12. They call it a tropical depression at the top only to say it's a topical storm in the write up!-
brunota2003
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 9476
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WindRunner
- Category 5
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conestogo_flood
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whereverwx
- Category 5
- Posts: 1109
- Joined: Mon May 31, 2004 10:15 pm
conestogo_flood wrote:brunota2003 wrote:wow...1 knot of shear in 24 hours??? never seen that mentioned before...
How much would that be in kms or miles?
1 knot = 1.15077945 mph
Last edited by whereverwx on Tue Jul 18, 2006 4:12 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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