Atlantic Tropical Waves,Comments,Sat Pics Thread #2

[wxman57]

The water below is cold.. 64W 41N

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb/atl_anal.gif

This is a bit better image. Shows several warm eddies in its path of 23-25C. Cooler than 27C, sure, but not too different from SSTs where several of those late season hurricanes formed. I agree that it's probably not purely tropical, but it doesn't look extratropical:

https://128.160.23.54/products/OFA/gsncofa.gif

[SouthFloridawx]

Not to beat a dead horse but, yet another Tropical wave with what appears to be cyclonic turning after it leaves the African coast. I guess my point being that I am dreading when the Cape Verde Season starts rolling along.

205 TWD

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 24W S OF 15N MOVING W AT 10-15 KT. A CLUSTER
OF MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION HAS MOVED OFF THE W AFRICA COAST E
OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 17W AND 21W.




FYI on the Navy site if you want 30 minute sat pics in GIF/JAVA you can highlight the frames you want to and then hit animate. You can also right click on the image if you create an GIF then save it to your computer. I have done this in the past so I have an archive of some of the waves in case they develop, then I have loops of thier birth.

http://tinyurl.com/gjemu

[Extremeweatherguy]

Not to beat a dead horse but, yet another Tropical wave with what appears to be cyclonic turning after it leaves the African coast. I guess my point being that I am dreading when the Cape Verde Season starts rolling along.

205 TWD

...TROPICAL WAVES...
TROPICAL WAVE ALONG 24W S OF 15N MOVING W AT 10-15 KT. A CLUSTER
OF MODERATE/STRONG CONVECTION HAS MOVED OFF THE W AFRICA COAST E
OF THE WAVE AXIS FROM 10N TO 14N BETWEEN 17W AND 21W.




FYI on the Navy site if you want 30 minute sat pics in GIF/JAVA you can highlight the frames you want to and then hit animate. You can also right click on the image if you create an GIF then save it to your computer. I have done this in the past so I have an archive of some of the waves in case they develop, then I have loops of thier birth.

http://tinyurl.com/gjemu

If this hangs on for a few days, then I wouldn't be surprised if it becomes the first CV storm of 2006.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

Once pass 25 west that dry air will really start getting into it. I would wait another 2 weeks for the first cape verde storm.

[abajan]

HFloyd, that is so cute! Where in the world did you find that cartoon? (and do they have more weather humor?)

Good morning, aBajan! Did the current wave pass right over you during the night, with only a wind shift to show for itself?

Good evening, bvigal!

The passage of that wave was hardly noticeable. We got a few brief showers and, like you said, a wind shift but nothing else.

[curtadams]

Not to beat a dead horse but, yet another Tropical wave with what appears to be cyclonic turning after it leaves the African coast. I guess my point being that I am dreading when the Cape Verde Season starts rolling along.

I expect mild water/dry air will snuff this one just like they did the similarly impressive one last week. But, I agree the strength of the Atlantic high plus the vigor of these waves is disturbing.

[SouthFloridawx]

Accuwx

There is one other tropical wave to track that recently emerged from Africa, currently near 20 west south of 15 north. This wave is moving west at about 12 knots. There is a cluster of thunderstorms southeast of the Cape Verde Islands along the wave centered near 13 north, 20 west, and an apparent twisting of the cloud pattern in this area as well. The waters in the wave's path are warm enough to support a tropical cyclone now, and there is no shear to limit development, but a fresh burst of dry air and Saharan dust is moving westward just to the north of this wave, which should slow any development. This is an area to watch carefully as it drifts westward over the next few days.

[SouthFloridawx]

Accuweather on the other wave that is currently east of the islands.

Another tropical wave is present along 62 west south of 28 north. This wave is progressing westward at about 12 knots. Squally weather has been occurring in the Lesser Antilles today from thunderstorms along the wave, and there have been some intense thunderstorms along the northern part of the wave over the Atlantic. However, there is currently no sign of organization along this wave right now, and there is substantial shearing over the wave caused by upper-level westerly winds. No development is imminent along this wave, but that could occur in a few days when the wave moves farther west and reaches the area off the Southeast coast..


BTW the area of convection to the north of the wave is associated with an Upper Level Low.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8vor1.html

[Recurve]

The Caribbean wave is interesting, weather discussions are currently saying it passes far south enough to not affect Florida, perhaps an increase in low-level moisture at the same time. But a little northward movement could change things. Not expecting development, but our weather seems to be mainly waves this summer. Most concerned about one of these parking nearby and then developing slowly.

[skysummit]

I count a possbile 6 waves following this one!

[skysummit]

Play the Name That Swirl Game!

[brunota2003]

the Accuwx blog sounds almost exactly like what Jeff Masters posted earlier...just thought that was interesting...otherwise I dont expect any development from the ULL ATTM...

[SouthFloridawx]

Play the Name That Swirl Game!

Here you go

[cycloneye]

Play the Name That Swirl Game!

Here you go

SouthFlorida,good work,however only one correction.92E invest is more to the left of what you have there.

[SouthFloridawx]

Perhaps we'll see invest 93 E soon..

[skysummit]

SouthFlorida,good work,however only one correction.92E invest is more to the left of what you have there.

Yea...that area is actually the wave in the western Carribean. It looks pretty impressive on that sat! Good work though!

[SouthFloridawx]

What I am seeing in the forecast models is that there seems to be a general consensus that Windshear is going to lighten up across the atlantic in the next few days.

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/cmctc2.c ... =Animation

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/gfstc2.c ... =Animation

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/cgi-bin/nogapstc ... =Animation

[Stormavoider]

Look at this water vapor loop. At 27N 66N you can see an obvious rotational center. It's also detectable on visible and IR but not so clearly. It seems to be taking a left. What do you guys think about it?

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/eaus/loop-wv.html

[bvigal]

From this morning's 5:30am TWO:
A TROPICAL WAVE IS LOCATED OVER THE FAR EASTERN TROPICAL ATLANTIC... JUST TO THE SOUTH OF THE CAPE VERDE ISLANDS. SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS NOT LIKELY OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS IT MOVES WESTWARD AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

Interesting them mentioning it in TWO... think they expect some development after a "couple of days"?

[cheezyWXguy]

they might...but you cant tell that from the TWO...the TWO is said the way its meant to be read...theres no "read between the lines" thing, at least not in this, especially when they think that development is possible, although not significant