SW/NW Carribean & N.GOM?

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Stormcenter
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SW/NW Carribean & N.GOM?

#1 Postby Stormcenter » Mon Jul 17, 2006 1:58 pm

I know most of the attention today is focused on the East coast disturbance but what about the SW/NW Carribean & N.GOM?



http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-avn.html
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#2 Postby gatorcane » Mon Jul 17, 2006 2:05 pm

I think you are covering a 5000-mile area with this topic - so something is bound to form somewhere lol. :lol:
Last edited by gatorcane on Mon Jul 17, 2006 2:07 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#3 Postby WindRunner » Mon Jul 17, 2006 2:07 pm

The northern gulf of Mexico is a decaying thunderstorm complex . . . nothing to worry about there.

The western Caribbean is a tropical wave producing a lot of convection. It's unlikely that it would develop on this side of the continent, but still something to watch. It is probably the least likely to develop something of the 4 areas of interest in the Atlantic right now.
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#4 Postby Stormcenter » Mon Jul 17, 2006 2:14 pm

gatorcane wrote:I think you are covering a 5000-mile area with this topic - so something is bound to form somewhere lol. :lol:


I think your exaggerrating a bit my fellow poster.
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#5 Postby gatorcane » Mon Jul 17, 2006 2:15 pm

Stormcenter wrote:
gatorcane wrote:I think you are covering a 5000-mile area with this topic - so something is bound to form somewhere lol. :lol:


I think your exaggerrating a bit my fellow poster.


Sure I am, I'm actually glad you posted this topic because there is alot of shower and thunderstorm activity in the SW Caribbean....it's always something to watch although it *should* not develop into anything :D
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#6 Postby ammmyjjjj » Mon Jul 17, 2006 6:00 pm

Am I imagining things, or do those decaying thunderstorm in the northern gulf seem to be spinning a little? What causes this appearance?
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#7 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Mon Jul 17, 2006 6:03 pm

ammmyjjjj wrote:Am I imagining things, or do those decaying thunderstorm in the northern gulf seem to be spinning a little? What causes this appearance?
This is a quote from JB's evening discussion which mentions this:

I am even a little concerned about the vort max spinning south off the Louisiana coast. Remember how Alicia got started. Let's not go there yet, okay, but I am hoping tomorrow at this time, it's just a laughable feature rather than thunderstorms with established outflow over the northern gulf.


You can read more about JB's ideas on the tropics in my JB thread.
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#8 Postby TS Zack » Mon Jul 17, 2006 6:06 pm

Very broad low located over SE La. Nothing really showing anything close to a organized disturbance but hey, something to watch.
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#9 Postby zoeyann » Mon Jul 17, 2006 6:29 pm

:D Got plenty of rain here in a short amount of time I guess from the instability from this combined with the heat. Funny thing is it stopped raining outside, but it is still raining inside. Oh well we need it.
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#10 Postby skysummit » Mon Jul 17, 2006 6:38 pm

Well, this would explain the 89mph winds along the Louisiana coast! LOL

HAHHAHAHAHAHAHA.....

Image
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#11 Postby Stormcenter » Mon Jul 17, 2006 11:41 pm

NW/SW Carribean continues to look interesting.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-avn.html
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#12 Postby rockyman » Tue Jul 18, 2006 10:37 am

There continues to be an area of rotation over Honduras moving slowly northward toward the Gulf of Honduras...let's see what happens when/if this area makes it back out over water....
Wind shear is quite low in this region:http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real-time/atlantic/winds/wg8shr.html
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#13 Postby Tampa_God » Tue Jul 18, 2006 10:43 am

Wasn't there a forecast last week saying there will be a low in the southern GOM?
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#14 Postby HouTXmetro » Tue Jul 18, 2006 10:53 am

Heavy Storms in NW gulf but probably too close to land for any development.
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[Disclaimer: My Amateur Opinion, please defer to your local authorities or the NHC for Guidance.]

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#15 Postby Stormcenter » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:15 pm

Keep an eye on this area in the central GOM.


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-avn.html
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#16 Postby southerngale » Tue Jul 18, 2006 2:56 pm

Stormcenter wrote:Keep an eye on this area in the central GOM.


http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-avn.html


Why? Is something supposed to happen there? The biggest blob is over land in Texas.
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#17 Postby tailgater » Tue Jul 18, 2006 4:22 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:
ammmyjjjj wrote:Am I imagining things, or do those decaying thunderstorm in the northern gulf seem to be spinning a little? What causes this appearance?
This is a quote from JB's evening discussion which mentions this:

I am even a little concerned about the vort max spinning south off the Louisiana coast. Remember how Alicia got started. Let's not go there yet, okay, but I am hoping tomorrow at this time, it's just a laughable feature rather than thunderstorms with established outflow over the northern gulf.


You can read more about JB's ideas on the tropics in my JB thread.

Vort Max yesterday was over S/E LA and Southern Miss. I can't really make it out today so I guess it's washing out.
But look how much the wind shear has died down in the last 2 days
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... wg8sht.GIF
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