Little Bahama Mama in the Gulf

[Stormcenter]

ULL forming in North Fla. will probably increase shear.

I don't see it.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8vor1.GIF

Where is it on this map?

[SouthFloridawx]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-rgb.html

[tailgater]

ULL forming in North Fla. will probably increase shear.

I don't see it.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8vor1.GIF

Where is it on this map?

The yellow and red areas are ULL's or upper troughs, you can also may them out on Water vapor. loops.http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east ... op-wv.html
The little CCW spin SSW of JAX.

[SouthFloridawx]

I also like this loop of the water vapor.

http://hadar.cira.colostate.edu/ramsdis ... _ls_0.html

[HurricaneHunter914]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/avn-l.jpg

A blob of convection off the Yucatan Peninsula is the only thing area of deep convection with this ULL.

[Stormcenter]

ULL forming in North Fla. will probably increase shear.

I don't see it.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... g8vor1.GIF

Where is it on this map?

The yellow and red areas are ULL's or upper troughs, you can also may them out on Water vapor. loops.http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east ... op-wv.html
The little CCW spin SSW of JAX.

Now I see what you are referring to. It's just not very obvious like the one in the western GOM.

[Extremeweatherguy]

Looks like all the convection has faded again tonight (like last night). I guess we wait to see if it fires back up tomorrow and sustains itself. Everything seems to be in place for development.

[Stormavoider]

I think I see two low level spins. One is between Key West And Naples and the other is just north of the west end of Cuba. Yes??????

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-ir2.html

[beachbum_al]

000
AXNT20 KNHC 141111
TWDAT

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
805 AM EDT FRI JUL 14 2006

...DISCUSSION...
THE GULF OF MEXICO...
MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW NOW COVERS EVERYTHING FROM
16N TO 32N BETWEEN 88W AND 104W...FROM THE GULF WATERS TO
INTERIOR MEXICO. THE LOW CENTER IS NEAR 24N97W. SHOWERS AND
THUNDERSTORMS ARE IN MEXICO SOUTH OF 20N WEST OF THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA. THE WEATHER PATTERN TO THE EAST OF 88W IS FILLED
WITH A MIXTURE OF UPPER LEVEL NORTHERLY FLOW FROM RESIDUAL
ANTICYCLONIC FLOW...A NORTHERN FLORIDA MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL
LOW CENTER...AND A POSSIBLY-FORMING MIDDLE LEVEL LOW CENTER IN
THE STRAITS OF FLORIDA. ISOLATED SHOWERS AND SOME DISSIPATING
PRECIPITATION OCCUR EAST OF 89W OVER THE GULF WATERS.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/text/refresh/MIATWDAT+shtml/141111.shtml?

The convection around the wave has died down from what I can tell on the sate but with today's heat building up I wonder if we will see more thunderstorms. Our local mets are basically saying the same thing as they said yesterday. A chance of thunderstorms but for certain areas. Another words pop up showers.

[skysummit]

Our local mets are telling us to be prepared for a LOT of rain today and early tomorrow. They're saying some areas will receive numerous inches of rainfall....however, right now there's not a cloud in the sky! LOL (that's how it usually starts off down here though) I guess that wave will be pushing moisture onshore today. There are a few showers just south of Mobile.

[O Town]

I think high pressure is moving into Fl and pushing that mess away, because todays rain chances are only at 10%! Yayyyyyy, finally a rainless day. I think I will fill the kids pool up and bake in the sun for a few hours.

[beachbum_al]

It sounded like LA and MS would get more of a chance of rain then us here in Alabama this morning when the local mets were talking about it.

[HouTXmetro]

Clear MLC just off the cuban coast. the big question is if it will gain convection.

[beachbum_al]

Clear MLC just off the cuban coast. the big question is if it will gain convection.

Not meaning to sound stupid but what is a MLC? I am not going to learn if I don't ask. Thanks.

[T-man]

Mid level circulation? A guess from here.

[jabber]

I think it Mid Level Circulation



Not meaning to sound stupid but what is a MLC? I am not going to learn if I don't ask. Thanks.[/quote]

[beachbum_al]

Thank you T-Man

[HouTXmetro]

yeah, mid level circulation

[HurricaneHunter914]

000
ABNT20 KNHC 140904
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT FRI JUL 14 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND EASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO HAS DIMINISHED.

TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY.

$$

FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB

Bahama mama is gone

[HouTXmetro]

000
ABNT20 KNHC 140904
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 AM EDT FRI JUL 14 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER THE EASTERN CARIBBEAN AND EASTERN GULF OF
MEXICO HAS DIMINISHED.

TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH SATURDAY.

$$

FORECASTER BLAKE/KNABB

Bahama mama is gone

But I loved her with all my heart.