Ex-96L Invest,Comments

[HURAKAN]

TWD 8:05 AM EDT:

...TROPICAL WAVES...
AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 56W/57W SOUTH OF 15N
MOVING WEST 15 KT. THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER FROM SIX HOURS AGO
NO LONGER IS ALONG THE WAVE. SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS TO
ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN
55W AND 57W.

[NDG]

I guarantee you that if 96L was to stop moving westward so fast, a true west wind will had been visible.
This system does not want to give up, everytime the NHC says "development unlikely" it gets thunderstorms near its what appears to be LLC.

[cycloneye]

Floater



Impressive comeback despite all the negative enviromental conditions.

[Thunder44]

Interesting 12z ship report not too far south from that cluster of storms. This will probably need to go through QC first. It's reported SSW sustained winds at 36.9 kts with a pressure of 29.71 inches.

SHIP 12 11.2 55.5 200 36.9 - 8.2 3.0 29.71 -0.03

Edit: Ignore this report. This is in the Indian Ocean.

[skysummit]

TWD 8:05 AM EDT:

...TROPICAL WAVES...
AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 56W/57W SOUTH OF 15N
MOVING WEST 15 KT. THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER FROM SIX HOURS AGO
NO LONGER IS ALONG THE WAVE. SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS TO
ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN
55W AND 57W.

Well then I wonder where it is? Because visible clearly shows a low pressure center.

11:45z:

[HURAKAN]

TWD 8:05 AM EDT:

...TROPICAL WAVES...
AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 56W/57W SOUTH OF 15N
MOVING WEST 15 KT. THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER FROM SIX HOURS AGO
NO LONGER IS ALONG THE WAVE. SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS TO
ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN
55W AND 57W.

Well then I wonder where it is? Because visible clearly shows a low pressure center.

11:45z:

I agree. The system is looking better now, but according to them, there is no LLC anymore.

[DESTRUCTION5]

TWD 8:05 AM EDT:

...TROPICAL WAVES...
AN ATLANTIC OCEAN TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 56W/57W SOUTH OF 15N
MOVING WEST 15 KT. THE LOW PRESSURE CENTER FROM SIX HOURS AGO
NO LONGER IS ALONG THE WAVE. SCATTERED MODERATE SHOWERS TO
ISOLATED STRONG THUNDERSTORMS ARE FROM 12N TO 14N BETWEEN
55W AND 57W.

Well then I wonder where it is? Because visible clearly shows a low pressure center.

11:45z:

Sure Does Sky...Tiny though it looks like it deserves some Attention this morn

[HURAKAN]

Remember TD 7 from 2002!!!

[bvigal]

The swirl that had been designated a low, along 11N, had pulled ahead of the wave early this morning and then went 'poof', naked on satellite so easy to see. Anyone seen a scat view this morning? That would help to see if any circulation associated with this convection at 13N.

still can't pull up http://manati.orbit.nesdis.noaa.gov/ at all

[cycloneye]

The swirl that had been designated a low, along 11N, had pulled ahead of the wave early this morning and then went 'poof', naked on satellite so easy to see. Anyone seen a scat view this morning? That would help to see if any circulation associated with this convection at 13N.

I know that wxman57 has those great images and will come to post them.

[NDG]

Convergence has really increased in it this morning compared through the past 24 hrs.

[Thunder44]

Barbados is still reporting east winds this morning, so the LLC may not be closed yet.

http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/TBPB.html

I don't see much low-level inflow on the west side yet.

[tailgater]

Barbados is still reporting east winds this morning, so the LLC may not be closed yet.

http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/TBPB.html

I don't see much low-level inflow on the west side yet.

It's a very small system thus far.

http://152.80.49.216/tc_thumbs/20060712 ... N.558W.jpg
BVIgal the latest pass missed it of course.

[NDG]

Barbados is still reporting east winds this morning, so the LLC may not be closed yet.

http://weather.noaa.gov/weather/current/TBPB.html

I don't see much low-level inflow on the west side yet.

I would not expect that Barbados will report a northerly wind, but as 96L gets closer, which right now is about 120 miles ESE of them, I would expect at least a NE wind, because the easterly trade winds are so dominating. Barbados should be getting some of this convection, if it holds, in approximately 5-6 hrs from now.

[bvigal]

Thanks tailgater!!
Buoy to the north had very little drop in pressure, now rising again (8am)

[NDG]

The wind shear keeps decreasing just ahead of 96L, 12 hrs ago wind shear between the island of Barabados & the island of Tobago was around 20-30kts, now is between 10-20kts, it has decreased enough to at least keep its identity through the next 12-24 hrs.

[drezee]

Interesting 12z ship report not too far south from that cluster of storms. This will probably need to go through QC first. It's reported SSW sustained winds at 36.9 kts with a pressure of 29.71 inches.

SHIP 12 11.2 55.5 200 36.9 - 8.2 3.0 29.71 -0.03

That is located in the Indian Ocean. The Atlantic would be -55.5....

[Thunder44]

Interesting 12z ship report not too far south from that cluster of storms. This will probably need to go through QC first. It's reported SSW sustained winds at 36.9 kts with a pressure of 29.71 inches.

SHIP 12 11.2 55.5 200 36.9 - 8.2 3.0 29.71 -0.03

That is located in the Indian Ocean. The Atlantic would be -55.5....

I missed that sorry!

[drezee]

Interesting 12z ship report not too far south from that cluster of storms. This will probably need to go through QC first. It's reported SSW sustained winds at 36.9 kts with a pressure of 29.71 inches.

SHIP 12 11.2 55.5 200 36.9 - 8.2 3.0 29.71 -0.03

That is located in the Indian Ocean. The Atlantic would be -55.5....

I missed that sorry!

No need to apologize, just wanted to let you know.

[beachbum_al]

On this link

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=86752

Is this blob going toward LA later on actually 96L? It starts out near where 96L is located and moves through Cuba, etc and into the GOM and then up toward LA. What do you think?