tailgater wrote:Tampa Bay Hurricane wrote:I am interested in an area of convection just south of Cuba that is
being fueled in part by this low pressure area (upper level low).
It has persisted for almost 24 hours...is it just storminess convection?
Could it develop seperately once the upper-level low moving
over Florida gets accelerated Northward? I'm just a small bit
concerned because it has been rather persistent:
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... xirg8n.GIF
There's a tropical over Jamica and Southern Cuba and it forecast to keep chugging along almost due west. Probably to much going on for anything to develop in the near future. ULL over Texas(heading SE), Frontal boundry(heading South)ULL over S FLA.(heading NW),Trough over FLA. headed west,and LOTS of northerly shear over almost the entire Gulf. Buts that's just me.
Yes thanks for the response...that explains it- until the ULLs and
TUTT trough plus shear lessen or go away conditions will
remain relatively unfavorable for development.
There sure are a lot of features to deal with as you
have listed...predicting what will come out of all this mess
with the cold front, ULL, trough, shear, convection will be quite
tricky...but with the shear the way it is development has been
hindered and will remain hindered for some time.