#323 Postby Tampa Bay Hurricane » Wed Jul 05, 2006 8:23 pm
The window of timing for development seems to be closing...though
development is certainly not impossible, it is unlikely.
This low pressure will enhance convection tomorrow over
Florida and lead to more thunderstorms. It almost looks
as if it is moving over Florida.
As far as development is concerned, a piece of convection and energy
does seem to be breaking off/separating from the ULL's overall region
of convection, just near Cuba...if the ULL gets pushed north/northeastward
and accelerated towards the Carolinas and up the east coast, could the
convection and pieces of energy that remain over the Bahamas and/or
Cuba still develop? Time will tell...persistence of convection and reduction
in shear is necessary. For now though, I see no imminent development.
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