This area near the Bahamas is impressive

[stormtruth]

The spin just south of Florida is moving WNW.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

[The Hurricaner]

The spin just south of Florida is moving WNW.
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

The TWO says the wave is moving NW but ok. Anyways, starting to rain here.

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

South of key west is the ULL...With the surface trough over the east coast of Florida. All the convection is being caused from the eastern side of the ULL/surface trough forcing air up.

[Extremeweatherguy]

Here is a statment made by JB (in all caps) about this system:

TUESDAY 4:30 PM
ROGUE/TROPICAL THREAT INCREASING CONCERN FOR MARITIMES AND PERHAPS SOUTHEASTERN NEW ENGLAND OVER WEEKEND. COASTAL CAROLINAS MAY SEE FIRST EFFECTS FRIDAY INTO SATURDAY. POST THIS EVENING.

[tgenius]

New England?! I don't see from where...

[CHRISTY]

My thoughts right now on the ULL

On this visible loop u can very clearly see the ULL moving NW into florida also this low is cold-cored, and in my opinion its trying to make a slow transition to a warm-cored system. The system needs to have a warm core in order to develop into a tropical system. It typically takes three or more days sitting over warm water for this process to happen.I would say this is day 2,also wind shear is down to 5-10 knots and sst's are very favorable at about 28-29 C.However at the this present time their is very little thunderstorm activity near the center which is located SE of keylargo.Iam thinkin right now this the low eventually is going to get picked up by a strong trough of low pressure emerging off the East Coast Friday then it will get swepted up the coast this weekend.

PS!If it emerges into the Gulf of mexico or stays of the coast of florida we may see a tropical or subtropical depression form.The GFS and the UKMET predict that the low may bring tropical storm winds to the NC outer banks and maybe areas around capcode on sunday.This situation reminds me of what occured at the end of june to when we almost had beryl moving into NC.

Here this VISIBLE LOOP....
http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/loops/satloop.master.pl?Carribbean

Here's a map on my thinkin right now.

[Taffy]

chuckle... My Mom tells me this morning there is a Tropical Depression coming up from Cuba and it is gonna start raining today. I said, " Mom, I just Storm2K last night and nothing was noticed or mentioned of any tropical anything. How can something just pop up like that overnight from no where? " She says " watch the news! " That sums it up. The media freaks out and I come HERE to get the HONEST facts.
Thanks to all of you for being here!

[cycloneye]

Christy,to correct your statement about Alberto at the end of your post=TS Alberto 10-14 June, not at the end of June.

[Thunder44]

Here's another article today on this system. This time less hype for a TS.

http://www.bradenton.com/mld/bradenton/ ... 970872.htm

[CHRISTY]

Christy,to correct your statement about Alberto at the end of your post=TS ALBERTO 10-14 JUNE not at the end of June.

Thanks luis....all these invest have me going crazy.i already edited it. christy

[HurricaneHunter914]

chuckle... My Mom tells me this morning there is a Tropical Depression coming up from Cuba and it is gonna start raining today. I said, " Mom, I just Storm2K last night and nothing was noticed or mentioned of any tropical anything. How can something just pop up like that overnight from no where? " She says " watch the news! " That sums it up. The media freaks out and I come HERE to get the HONEST facts.
Thanks to all of you for being here!

My dad just asks,"Is that a tropical depression?" and I tell him,"No, just a big rainmaker for us but it could become one." That's why I love my family, they always ask me what the weather will be like. Its like I'm the teenage Met.

[hiflyer]

ahhh...always trust water vapor...grin. Nice range of cells coming off Cuba plus those out in the GulfStream turning very nicely around the whatever low it is getting ready to come in on the coast. While this 'system' isn't going anywhere for now it is fun to watch!!!!

Look out Tavernier and Key Largo!!...(great place down there unlimited stone crabs for 30 bucks...Ballyhoo!)

[mvtrucking]

My thoughts right now on the ULL

On this visible loop u can very clearly see the ULL moving NW into florida also this low is cold-cored, and in my opinion its trying to make a slow transition to a warm-cored system. The system needs to have a warm core in order to develop into a tropical system. It typically takes three or more days sitting over warm water for this process to happen.I would say this is day 2,also wind shear is down to 5-10 knots and sst's are very favorable at about 28-29 C.However at the this present time their is very little thunderstorm activity near the center which is located SE of keylargo.Iam thinkin right now this the low eventually is going to get picked up by a strong trough of low pressure emerging off the East Coast Friday then it will get swepted up the coast this weekend.

PS!If it emerges into the Gulf of mexico or stays of the coast of florida we may see a tropical or subtropical depression form.The GFS and the UKMET predict that the low may bring tropical storm winds to the NC outer banks and maybe areas around capcode on sunday.This situation reminds me of what occured at the end of june to when we almost had beryl moving into NC.

Here this VISIBLE LOOP....
http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/loops/satloop.master.pl?Carribbean

You and Dr. Jeff Masters have similar thoughts on this system. You sure you guys don't talk?

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMa ... amp=200607

[jabber]

Yeah... it looks like it might be a wet night in SF. Pretty windy, normally dies off around 6:00 or so. Fun to watch this UUL spin into SF.

[no advance]

Copying someone work can get in alot of trouble. If my teacher saw what I see without quoting I would be heading to the shed. This ull is fun to watch. Better than nothing. This yr has been an exciting yr in the tropics so far.

[HurricaneHunter914]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/avn.jpg

I'll be looking foreward to that big blob that over Cuba, which is part of the ULL. Its going to bring alot of rain to FL.

[O Town]

My thoughts right now on the ULL

On this visible loop u can very clearly see the ULL moving NW into florida also this low is cold-cored, and in my opinion its trying to make a slow transition to a warm-cored system. The system needs to have a warm core in order to develop into a tropical system. It typically takes three or more days sitting over warm water for this process to happen.I would say this is day 2,also wind shear is down to 5-10 knots and sst's are very favorable at about 28-29 C.However at the this present time their is very little thunderstorm activity near the center which is located SE of keylargo.Iam thinkin right now this the low eventually is going to get picked up by a strong trough of low pressure emerging off the East Coast Friday then it will get swepted up the coast this weekend.

PS!If it emerges into the Gulf of mexico or stays of the coast of florida we may see a tropical or subtropical depression form.The GFS and the UKMET predict that the low may bring tropical storm winds to the NC outer banks and maybe areas around capcode on sunday.This situation reminds me of what occured at the end of june to when we almost had beryl moving into NC.

Here this VISIBLE LOOP....
http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/loops/satloop.master.pl?Carribbean

You and Dr. Jeff Masters have similar thoughts on this system. You sure you guys don't talk?

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMa ... amp=200607

*cough, cough*

[CHRISTY]

My thoughts right now on the ULL

On this visible loop u can very clearly see the ULL moving NW into florida also this low is cold-cored, and in my opinion its trying to make a slow transition to a warm-cored system. The system needs to have a warm core in order to develop into a tropical system. It typically takes three or more days sitting over warm water for this process to happen.I would say this is day 2,also wind shear is down to 5-10 knots and sst's are very favorable at about 28-29 C.However at the this present time their is very little thunderstorm activity near the center which is located SE of keylargo.Iam thinkin right now this the low eventually is going to get picked up by a strong trough of low pressure emerging off the East Coast Friday then it will get swepted up the coast this weekend.


PS!If it emerges into the Gulf of mexico or stays of the coast of florida we may see a tropical or subtropical depression form.The GFS and the UKMET predict that the low may bring tropical storm winds to the NC outer banks and maybe areas around capcode on sunday.This situation reminds me of what occured at the end of june to when we almost had beryl moving into NC.

Here this VISIBLE LOOP....
http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/loops/satloop.master.pl?Carribbean

You and Dr. Jeff Masters have similar thoughts on this system. You sure you guys don't talk?

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMa ... amp=200607

actually i love jeff masters and ive been a member of his website for 3 years .i just went threw his latest update and tryed to make my own quick summary.but yes iam thinkin the same thing he is right as far as what this system is going to do.it clearly is moving nw or wnw into florida then into the gulf of mexico and it will most likely get picked up my a strong trough of low pressure.

[CHRISTY]

actually i love jeff masters and ive been a member of his website for 3 years .i just went threw his latest update and tryed to make my own quick summary.but yes iam thinkin the same thing he is right as far as what this system is going to do.it clearly is moving nw or wnw into florida then into the gulf of mexico and it will most likely get picked up my a strong trough of low pressure.

[whereverwx]

My thoughts right now on the ULL

On this visible loop u can very clearly see the ULL moving NW into florida also this low is cold-cored, and in my opinion its trying to make a slow transition to a warm-cored system. The system needs to have a warm core in order to develop into a tropical system. It typically takes three or more days sitting over warm water for this process to happen.I would say this is day 2,also wind shear is down to 5-10 knots and sst's are very favorable at about 28-29 C.However at the this present time their is very little thunderstorm activity near the center which is located SE of keylargo.Iam thinkin right now this the low eventually is going to get picked up by a strong trough of low pressure emerging off the East Coast Friday then it will get swepted up the coast this weekend.

PS!If it emerges into the Gulf of mexico or stays of the coast of florida we may see a tropical or subtropical depression form.The GFS and the UKMET predict that the low may bring tropical storm winds to the NC outer banks and maybe areas around capcode on sunday.This situation reminds me of what occured at the end of june to when we almost had beryl moving into NC.

Here this VISIBLE LOOP....
http://weather.cod.edu/analysis/loops/satloop.master.pl?Carribbean

You and Dr. Jeff Masters have similar thoughts on this system. You sure you guys don't talk?

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMa ... amp=200607

*cough, cough*

Makes me wonder...