Atlantic Tropical Waves,Comments,Sat Pics Thread #2

kjun · #41 Postby **kjun** » Mon Jul 03, 2006 8:33 am

Did JB post anything on the tropics this AM??

#42 Postby **mvtrucking** » Mon Jul 03, 2006 9:10 am

Are these two area's anything? Almost looks like a ULL in the upper area and the lower not sure. Still learning everyday.

#43 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jul 03, 2006 9:19 am

mvtrucking wrote:

Are these two area's anything? Almost looks like a ULL in the upper area and the lower not sure. Still learning everyday.

A big upper low and TUTT trough comming down from that as you circled up in the image is causing that the wave down in the Islands can't develop because of strong upper shear.

cheezyWXguy · #44 Postby **cheezyWXguy** » Mon Jul 03, 2006 12:53 pm

Theres a wave off the coast of africa that has just gotten my attention...its not particularly well or ganized but it does have scattered deep convection that it has maintained since it left africa,and the sal has retreated north as a big blob of sal has moved to west and it may be tough for this wave to catch up w/ the sal.

sat pic:
http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/met8/eatl/rb-l.jpg

sal map
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... split.html

#45 Postby **mvtrucking** » Mon Jul 03, 2006 12:53 pm

cycloneye wrote:
mvtrucking wrote:

Are these two area's anything? Almost looks like a ULL in the upper area and the lower not sure. Still learning everyday.

A big upper low and TUTT trough comming down from that as you circled up in the image is causing that the wave down in the Islands can't develop because of strong upper shear.

Thanks Luis.

Aquawind · #46 Postby **Aquawind** » Mon Jul 03, 2006 2:52 pm

I think we are going to be talking alot more TUTT this season versus last for sure.. Heck we already have.. :lol:

shaggy · #47 Postby **shaggy** » Mon Jul 03, 2006 3:07 pm

TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT MON JUL 03 2006

i never like to see any kind of mid-level or upper level low hanging out in the SW atlantic makes me a little nervous because on occassion they do make it to the surface!Lots of shear around though

A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTER HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 30N77W...
WITH A TROUGH DIGGING FROM THE CENTER TO THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.

#48 Postby **mvtrucking** » Mon Jul 03, 2006 4:33 pm

ncdowneast wrote:TROPICAL WEATHER DISCUSSION
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
205 PM EDT MON JUL 03 2006

i never like to see any kind of mid-level or upper level low hanging out in the SW atlantic makes me a little nervous because on occassion they do make it to the surface!Lots of shear around though

A MIDDLE TO UPPER LEVEL LOW CENTER HAS DEVELOPED NEAR 30N77W...
WITH A TROUGH DIGGING FROM THE CENTER TO THE CENTRAL BAHAMAS.

#49 Postby **cycloneye** » Mon Jul 03, 2006 7:35 pm

LSU Atlantic Image

:uarrow:

Nothing impressive in the Atlantic that is a candidate for development right now.However the wet phase of MJO will penetrate the Atlantic in the next couple of weeks allowing for more favorable conditions to take place.

#50 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Jul 04, 2006 7:00 am

E ATLC TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 26W S OF THE CAPE VERDES MOVING W
10 KT. A BROAD SURFACE CIRCULATION IS NOTED. CONVECTION HAS
DISSIPATED WITH THE WAVE WITH ONLY ISOLATED SHOWERS REMAINING
FROM 8N-15N BETWEEN 20W-30W.

Above is the 8 AM discussion about this wave.The wave has to deal with african dust in the area,however mainly to the north of wave.It has a weak broad circulation without deep convection.

cheezyWXguy · #51 Postby **cheezyWXguy** » Tue Jul 04, 2006 9:22 am

if that thing can hold together long enough to get into the carribean or bahamasit may have a chance at development...it already has the circulation

#52 Postby **windycity** » Tue Jul 04, 2006 9:57 am

tutt is a common feature for this time of the year, lets see what happens later on in the season. Sept and Oct. is when we will probably see it dissipate.

Anthonyl · #53 Postby **Anthonyl** » Tue Jul 04, 2006 4:43 pm

I have been watching the wave at 25W from the time it left the COA and it has maintained a rather large broad circulation accompanied by some persistant flares of precipitation. I am not entirely sure what the forecast with the present SAL is like in the Atlantic, but mark my words, if the wave can escape the dry air, and find itself logged along a line of lower shear values to the periphery of the islands we may have a tropical cyclone to deal with come Monday of next week.

#54 Postby **cycloneye** » Tue Jul 04, 2006 7:01 pm

E ATLC TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 28W/29W S OF 15N MOVING W 10-15
KT. IT IS DIFFICULT TO PINPOINT ANY AXIS WITHIN A LARGE AREA OF
ANOMALOUS LOW-LEVEL CYCLONIC FLOW FROM 20W-35W AND THE WAVE IS
PUT AT THE LEADING EDGE OF THICKER MID/UPPER LEVEL CLOUDINESS.
ISOLATED MODERATE CONVECTION IS WITHIN 60 NM OF LINE 8N22W
6N32W. THE GFS FORECASTS THE WAVE TO AFFECT THE LESSER ANTILLES
ON SUN WITH SHOWERS/TSTMS.

Above is the discussion about the wave most close to Africa.

#55 Postby **cycloneye** » Wed Jul 05, 2006 6:46 am

Atlantic Image

:uarrow:

Some convection has formed with the wave around 33w.Let's follow it as it tracks westward but nothing imminent about development.

#56 Postby **bvigal** » Wed Jul 05, 2006 7:05 am

dust view

This sat pic, when animated, gives a good view of the African dust in the tropical Atlantic this morning.

#57 Postby **skysummit** » Wed Jul 05, 2006 10:28 am

This wave is looking pretty decent this morning with convection on the increase in the past couple hours.

HurricaneHunter914 · #58 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Wed Jul 05, 2006 10:37 am

That doesn't look too bad. Looks like we have 2 big tropical waves to look at now (the one near FL and now this Eastern Atlantic Wave).

NONAME · #59 Postby **NONAME** » Wed Jul 05, 2006 10:41 am

There isn't one near flordia that is a Upper low.

HurricaneHunter914 · #60 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Wed Jul 05, 2006 12:22 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/avn-l.jpg

Looks like something has entered the Southern Caribbean. Is it a tropical wave?

Atlantic Tropical Waves,Comments,Sat Pics Thread #2

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