Invest 95L,E of Bahamas,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #1

[Opal storm]

I think this will be our Beryl

LOL,that's what I heard with 91L then 93L and then 94L,so far no Beryl yet.

[clfenwi]

Anyone has an archieve on how 2005 was in terms of the number of invests vs 2006 around the end of June?

A few nights ago I was looking at that... The first Invest 95 last year was what became Bret...96 was classified on July 2 and became Cindy... and 97 was classified on July 4 and became Dennis.

[WxGuy1]

Christy,why those emoctions?

cause the NHC and my local news were sayin no development from none of the 2 systems.and then BOOM!95L

LOL I'm not sure I'd say "BOOM". It doesn't take a whole lot for a tropical wave or convective area to become an INVEST... We see many INVESTs each year, with only a fraction ever amounting to anything worth talking about. Certainly nothing to be alarmed about yet...

[cycloneye]

Anyone has an archieve on how 2005 was in terms of the number of invests vs 2006 around the end of June?

A few nights ago I was looking at that... The first Invest 95 last year was what became Bret...96 was classified on July 2 and became Cindy... and 97 was classified on July 4 and became Dennis.

Thanks clfenwi for the answer.Almost the 2006 95L was issued with the 2005 95L by two days.

[Grease Monkey]

95L looks like it's beginning to rip apart?

[cycloneye]

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

NRL now has the correct position 24.0n-67.0w and the pressure is 1009 mbs.

[skufful]

So, is this, or is this not the blob we have been referring to in the other thread?

[CHRISTY]

Looks pretty good on this visible...

[ronjon]

Wow, 1009 mb already. Seems like the NHC should start thinking about a RECON mission soon. The ULL west of Haiti which was shearing the system intially now appears to be aiding outflow as an anti-cyclone has built over the top of the system. I don't see shear as being a problem with the system now. If you want to see shear, just look to the eastern GOM.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-wv.html

[skysummit]

Local Met on Fox8 just said no concerns for 95L. It'll just move northward and shouldn've affect anyone.

[Emmett_Brown]

Any model plots for this invest yet?

[JamesFromMaine2]

Local Met on Fox8 just said no concerns for 95L. It'll just move northward and shouldn've affect anyone.

wouldn't count on it yet! Its still developing and anything can still happen. everyone along the east coast should keep a close eye on it until we are sure what its going to do!

[ronjon]

Local Met on Fox8 just said no concerns for 95L. It'll just move northward and shouldn've affect anyone.

Hmmm....and move northward into the heart of a 1024-1028 mb ridge. Doesn't seem likely to me.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... BW_sm3.gif

[skysummit]

Local Met on Fox8 just said no concerns for 95L. It'll just move northward and shouldn've affect anyone.

Hmmm....and move northward into the heart of a 1024-1028 mb ridge. Doesn't seem likely to me.

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... BW_sm3.gif

Hey...I know. It's just what he said. Gonna be interesting to see what the BAM brothers think.

[CHRISTY]

[skysummit]

I don't see anything there...just a super potent ridge.

[CHRISTY]

I don't see anything there...just a super potent ridge.

yep....

[caneman]

Wow, 1009 mb already. Seems like the NHC should start thinking about a RECON mission soon. The ULL west of Haiti which was shearing the system intially now appears to be aiding outflow as an anti-cyclone has built over the top of the system. I don't see shear as being a problem with the system now. If you want to see shear, just look to the eastern GOM.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-wv.html

Agreed and well said. Been reading the naysayers posts all day. Doesn't take a rocket scientist to see that it looked like it was developing and coming together and with a ridge building down. Really would like to see the pros get more into the potential set up etc...rather than just discount everything.

[skysummit]

Wow, 1009 mb already. Seems like the NHC should start thinking about a RECON mission soon. The ULL west of Haiti which was shearing the system intially now appears to be aiding outflow as an anti-cyclone has built over the top of the system. I don't see shear as being a problem with the system now. If you want to see shear, just look to the eastern GOM.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/loop-wv.html

Agreed and well said. Been reading the naysayers posts all day. Doesn't take a rocket scientist to see that it looked like it was developing and coming together and with a ridge building down. Really would like to see the pros get more into the potential set up etc...rather than just discount everything.

Well, there is a nice weakness to its north so it may just go north! Can't wait to see the BAM brothers.

[CHRISTY]