94L Invest (B0C),Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #1

HurricaneHunter914 · #321 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Fri Jun 30, 2006 12:06 am

tailgater wrote:
skysummit wrote:
boca wrote:
Skysummit you have a good eye. Let's see if it explodes.

LOL...I want to go to bed, but I'm so interested to see what happens. So far it's still expanding (that T-storm, that is).

Skysummit if your eye explodes it's gonna be hard to see anything.

LOL...too funny! I've been watching so many satellite views tonight, I feel like it's going to explode.

:roflmao:

CHRISTY · #322 Postby **CHRISTY** » Fri Jun 30, 2006 12:10 am

southerngale · #323 Postby **southerngale** » Fri Jun 30, 2006 12:25 am

On the local news at 10:00 that I watched, the met didn't specifically mention the BOC system. He just said that the upper low in Mexico should track eastward and stall out in South Central Texas, and the moisture from the GOM should start to lift into our area, increasing our rain chances significantly this weekend. He did not mention development at all regarding it, but said some of the showers could be quite heavy and our rain chances had gone up a lot for Saturday through at least Tuesday (as far as the 5-day forecast went) and he said they could go up even more.

Anyway, just posting what a local here said.

hicksta · #324 Postby **hicksta** » Fri Jun 30, 2006 12:28 am

dang, threw the weekend?

vaffie · #325 Postby **vaffie** » Fri Jun 30, 2006 12:51 am

It could very well blow up around 3-5 am. Tonight may be a very determining moment. By tomorrow afternoon a TD, by the following afternoon a hurricane?

#326 Postby **skysummit** » Fri Jun 30, 2006 12:53 am

Well, that's it for me tonight. It looks like thunderstorms are continuing to increase in the same area I pointed out earlier. I can't wait to see what it looks like in the morning.

#327 Postby **Starburst** » Fri Jun 30, 2006 12:55 am

Is it just me or does it seem to be blowing up again and it looks to be pulling moisture from everywhere in the gulf, some of the carribean and some of the Pacific.

#328 Postby **Starburst** » Fri Jun 30, 2006 12:57 am

Goodnight Skysummit go rest your good eye we will need it tomorrow :ggreen:

vaffie · #329 Postby **vaffie** » Fri Jun 30, 2006 1:04 am

Yeah, Skysummit, I see it, I see it.

If you look at the loop, though, (http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/gmex/loop-ir2.html), the center is northwest of there, and that cluster you're pointing at is moving east as it is on the southern side of the storm, so it is not over the center persay, which is what this thing needs to really fire off. It is a sign of things to come, I must grant you though--it's a sign that the area is ready to explode in a very short time and that there is strong convergence in the area. If you look at the loop you will see a lot of clouds swirling into the center, and in two to four hours it may blow up over the center, and this time, it may hang around indefinitely, resulting in a steady pressure-fall and organization into a strong tropical storm within the next 24 hours.

HouTXmetro · #330 Postby **HouTXmetro** » Fri Jun 30, 2006 1:05 am

Convection starting to reintensify.... I thought someone said this would probably pulse down at night?

At what point should we see a more northward component to the movement?

Cyclenall · #331 Postby **Cyclenall** » Fri Jun 30, 2006 1:12 am

vaffie wrote:It is a sign of things to come, I must grant you though--it's a sign that the area is ready to explode in a very short time and that there is strong convergence in the area. If you look at the loop you will see a lot of clouds swirling into the center, and in two to four hours it may blow up over the center, and this time, it may hang around indefinitely, resulting in a steady pressure-fall and organization into a strong tropical storm within the next 24 hours.

So how confident are you on that statement? We don't want to have to serve any crow tomorrow at all.

Grease Monkey · #332 Postby **Grease Monkey** » Fri Jun 30, 2006 1:15 am

Also those that are confident enough to write it off from it forming into a TD+, speak now. We can call this the crow game.

Cyclenall · #333 Postby **Cyclenall** » Fri Jun 30, 2006 1:20 am

I have no comments on this Invest. I have no idea what it will do.

southerngale · #334 Postby **southerngale** » Fri Jun 30, 2006 1:22 am

Cyclenall wrote:I have no comments on this Invest. I have no idea what it will do.

Then why make a post saying you have no comments? :?:

Cyclenall · #335 Postby **Cyclenall** » Fri Jun 30, 2006 1:30 am

southerngale wrote:
Cyclenall wrote:I have no comments on this Invest. I have no idea what it will do.

Then why make a post saying you have no comments?

Good question :lol:

. BTW, can you un-lock that TWO and TWD topic that you locked because it will be useful for next year. It would be a archive because the NHC doesn't save them.

Website · #336 Postby **Brent** » Fri Jun 30, 2006 1:37 am

Cyclenall wrote:
southerngale wrote:
Cyclenall wrote:I have no comments on this Invest. I have no idea what it will do.

Then why make a post saying you have no comments?

Good question . BTW, can you un-lock that TWO and TWD topic that you locked because it will be useful for next year. It would be a archive because the NHC doesn't save them.

Save them on your computer if you really want them.

southerngale · #337 Postby **southerngale** » Fri Jun 30, 2006 1:38 am

Cyclenall wrote:
southerngale wrote:
Cyclenall wrote:I have no comments on this Invest. I have no idea what it will do.

Then why make a post saying you have no comments?

Good question . BTW, can you un-lock that TWO and TWD topic that you locked because it will be useful for next year. It would be a archive because the NHC doesn't save them.

Post counts are gone.

No, we decided as staff that the thread was useless and a waste of space since the information is readily available at the top of any Storm2k page. If you'd like an archive of them, you can subscribe to the NHC email alerts and they'll send them to you, and you can save them all on your computer.

Cyclenall · #338 Postby **Cyclenall** » Fri Jun 30, 2006 1:42 am

Save them on your computer if you really want them.

If i'm away for some time I could miss some.

No, we decided as staff that the thread was useless and a waste of space since the information is readily available at the top of any Storm2k page. If you'd like an archive of them, you can subscribe to the NHC email alerts and they'll send them to you, and you can save them all on your computer.

Ok.

#339 Postby **skysummit** » Fri Jun 30, 2006 5:56 am

I had to wake up to see what the baby was doing, and sure enough, convection is still increasing. A large area of colder cloud tops formed over the last few hours. Now, within that area, new areas of even colder cloud tops are forming. There is good divergence and some convergence in the area. The only player against it right now is 20 - 30kts of wind shear.

#340 Postby **wxman57** » Fri Jun 30, 2006 6:12 am

Doesn't look like this disturbance will do anything but spread rain up the coast of Mexico today and across souterrn and coastal areas of Texas through the weekend. Convection is scattered all over the place, no focus, and wind shear is increasing. I'm not very concerned about it developing, but I am concerned about a rain-out here in Houston this weekend.

Sounds like a lot of posters here predicted some very high numbers for the season. ;-)

94L Invest (B0C),Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #1

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