94L Invest (B0C),Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #1

[HurricaneHunter914]

IMO 94L is going to get sucked into 93L, not the other way around.

[southerngale]

Guys, when you quote others, please make sure to make your comments below all of the nested quotes. I've edited several posts to fix what someone was trying to say. Thanks.

[gatorcane]

IMO 94L is going to get sucked into 93L, not the other way around.

What? 93L convection is sustaining and getting stronger this evening while 94L is dying at the moment

[HurricaneHunter914]

I know what I meant was 93L is going to absorb 94L.

[HouTXmetro]

The bottom line is heavy rain for much of the Texas coast and South Texas.

[Opal storm]

IMO 94L is going to get sucked into 93L, not the other way around.

How?93L is like a thousand miles away from 94L and once 93L gets into the gulf 94L should be well inland and out of the picture.

[Extremeweatherguy]

I doubt 94L will still even be around once 93L reaches that area. The wave I was referring to that could add an extra spark is very weak and in the western Caribbean.

[Grease Monkey]

So now that 93L seems to be king of the hill again, when is the thread replies going to start racking up?

[Extremeweatherguy]

So now that 93L seems to be king of the hill again, when is the thread replies going to start racking up?

how is it the king of the hill again? 94L should be of more concern because it is a much more immediate threat to the U.S.

[Opal storm]

So now that 93L seems to be king of the hill again, when is the thread replies going to start racking up?

94L is a little closer to home,we still have days to watch 93L.

[gatorcane]

So now that 93L seems to be king of the hill again, when is the thread replies going to start racking up?

how is it the king of the hill again? 94L should be of more concern because it is a much more immediate threat to the U.S.

Here is the latest shear map. How do you expect 94L to develop with 30K of WSW shear?

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... wg8shr.GIF

[stormtruth]

Are you two having a battle over which invest is better?

[skysummit]

So now that 93L seems to be king of the hill again, when is the thread replies going to start racking up?

how is it the king of the hill again? 94L should be of more concern because it is a much more immediate threat to the U.S.

Here is the latest shear map. How do you expect 94L to develop with 30K of WSW shear?

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... wg8shr.GIF

Depending on how long 94 stays down there, the ridge will build in from the east and shear should begin to relax. It all depends where it is at the time that happens.

[HurricaneHunter914]

Once 94L is gone 93L will get back the attention. I'm suprised at the come back 93L made. NHC hopefully will make a note of the increase of storms and at least say that this storm could slowly develop because right now it has a better chance than 94L.

[CHRISTY]

guys here is a great loop....
http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SATATL_FLOAT1/anim8vis.html

[Extremeweatherguy]

So now that 93L seems to be king of the hill again, when is the thread replies going to start racking up?

how is it the king of the hill again? 94L should be of more concern because it is a much more immediate threat to the U.S.

Here is the latest shear map. How do you expect 94L to develop with 30K of WSW shear?

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... wg8shr.GIF

Well if JB is right then this shear is going to die off soon. JB even said in his thread tonight, "anyone can look at what is happening now and say, there is shear, no development", but his whole thing is that a trough split will occur allowing a ridge to build in and bring in favorable shear and good outflow by the weekend.

[gatorcane]

so why does the NHC negate any possibility of development over the next couple of days?

[Extremeweatherguy]

so why does the NHC negate any possibility of development over the next couple of days?

As of 5:30pm, they didn't.

000
ABNT20 KNHC 292114
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT THU JUN 29 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A SMALL AREA OF SHOWERS AND THUNDERSTORMS HAS DEVELOPED IN THE BAY
OF CAMPECHE THIS AFTERNOON. SURFACE PRESSURES IN THE AREA ARE HIGH
AND DEVELOPMENT...IF ANY...IS EXPECTED TO BE SLOW TO OCCUR.

CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ACROSS THE LESSER ANTILLES ARE ASSOCIATED
WITH A TROPICAL WAVE INTERACTING WITH AN UPPER-LEVEL TROUGH.
UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BE UNFAVORABLE FOR DEVELOPMENT
OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS AS THE SYSTEM MOVES WEST-NORTHWESTWARD
AT 15 TO 20 MPH.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.

[HouTXmetro]

So now that 93L seems to be king of the hill again, when is the thread replies going to start racking up?

how is it the king of the hill again? 94L should be of more concern because it is a much more immediate threat to the U.S.

Here is the latest shear map. How do you expect 94L to develop with 30K of WSW shear?

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... wg8shr.GIF

Well if JB is right then this shear is going to die off soon. JB even said in his thread tonight, "anyone can look at what is happening now and say, there is shear, no development", but his whole thing is that a trough split will occur allowing a ridge to build in and bring in favorable shear and good outflow by the weekend.

When is he expecting this trough split? And is there any signs of the trough splitting now?

[Extremeweatherguy]

So now that 93L seems to be king of the hill again, when is the thread replies going to start racking up?

how is it the king of the hill again? 94L should be of more concern because it is a much more immediate threat to the U.S.

Here is the latest shear map. How do you expect 94L to develop with 30K of WSW shear?

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... wg8shr.GIF

Well if JB is right then this shear is going to die off soon. JB even said in his thread tonight, "anyone can look at what is happening now and say, there is shear, no development", but his whole thing is that a trough split will occur allowing a ridge to build in and bring in favorable shear and good outflow by the weekend.

When is he expecting this trough split? And is there any signs of the trough splitting now?

I don't know exactly (as I am not JB), but I believe he is expecting it within 12-48 hours.