94L Invest (B0C),Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #1

[skysummit]

Yup...definately rotation taking place...

[hriverajr]

They can't buy good radar or recon planes. I thought they had become part of the 1 trillion dollar GDP club. They have money not as much as us by far but they do. They can do better. I wish they would be some radar.

Mexico may be in worth shape than many people think. I think their weather service is an afterthought. The "mordida" culture is terrible. Heck I was part of a project for a while that on 50 K a year used a retired NWS radar and would upload images every five minutes to the web.

[HouTXmetro]

We do not have much in the way of radar for this system at this point.

Actually . . .

http://smn.cna.gob.mx/radares/radares.html

But the three BOC radars aren't working at this point in time (not clickable). So it appears we must do without for now . . .

Here you go, from Alvarado, Mx. no loop though.



http://smn.cna.gob.mx/radares/rad-alva.gif


Robert

What the heck is that? lol

[SouthFloridawx]

This actually may get pretty interesting.

[TampaFl]

So even though the link isn't there, the image is? Weird . . . thanks!

Windrunner, here is the link I got it from. Just scroll down to the Mexican radars.


http://www.weathermatrix.net/radar/data/world/radar.php3?c=North%20America


Robert

[WindRunner]

Must . . . favorite . . . OK, done. Thanks a ton! That's going to be useful in the future!

[SouthFloridawx]

Besides the shear the general area of convection seems to be moving north-northeast kind of. What do ya'll think?

[Aquawind]

That is some pretty impressive convection that's been going strong all day long with the coldest top being displaced to the N and E. Yep pretty much N-NE movement as well.

http://wwwghcc.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseastconusir.html

[Matt-hurricanewatcher]

The northern side is feeling the shear...That is why it looks like its gong northeastward. The circ/MLC is not moving or very slowly. Yes the surface flow is off to the west-northwest. But the upper level flow is off to the north ahead of the ULL inside of Mexico.

[spinfan4eva]

Hmm-watches up for florida possible this 4th of July weekend Of course, it has to develop first

[Opal storm]

Hmm-watches up for florida possible this 4th of July weekend Of course, it has to develop first

Florida?This isn't going to Florida.

[Aquawind]

Well Said Matt.. The tops defintely give the NE movement looking at the 30 loops of IR..yet the blob looks to be mostly north.

[SouthFloridawx]

..DISCUSSION...
THE GULF OF MEXICO...
A 1022 MB HIGH IS CENTERED OVER ARKANSAS NEAR 34N91W. SURFACE
HIGH PRESSURE RIDGING COVERS THE NORTHERN GULF OF MEXICO N OF
24N WITH MAINLY 5-10 KT ELY FLOW. A SURFACE TROUGH IS OVER THE
BAY OF CAMPECHE AND S MEXICO ALONG 23N93W 16N94W. SCATTERED
MODERATE TO ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION IS FROM 18N-22N BETWEEN
93W-96W. SIMILAR CONVECTION IS INLAND OVER THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA FROM 18N-22N BETWEEN 87W-91W. ELSEWHERE...AFTERNOON
AND EVENING AIRMASS THUNDERSTORMS ARE OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTH
FLORIDA FROM 25N-28N BETWEEN 80W-82W. IN THE UPPER LEVELS... A
SMALL CYCLONIC CIRCULATION IS INLAND OVER CENTRAL MEXICO NEAR
24N103W. CYCLONIC FLOW IS WITHIN 240 NM RADIUS OF THE CENTER.
A RIDGE IS OVER THE GULF OF MEXICO WITH AXIS ALONG 88W. UPPER
LEVEL MOISTURE IS PRODUCING SCATTERED HIGH CLOUDS W OF 85W.
EXPECT SIMILAR WEATHER CONDITIONS FOR THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

[Aquawind]

Hmm-watches up for florida possible this 4th of July weekend Of course, it has to develop first

Florida?This isn't going to Florida.

Not gonna happen.. The ole 93L invest may slide some added tropical juice to SoFla, but that's about it ATM.

[HurricaneHunter914]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/avn-l.jpg

Looks like 93L and 94L are competing to become the dominant Invest because 93 looks worse than 94.

[HouTXmetro]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/avn-l.jpg

Looks like 93L and 94L are competing to become the dominant Invest because 93 looks worse than 94.

At this point it's a race to the bottom. 93L is starting to look better and 94L is starting to look worse with all the shear kicking in.

[Tampa Bay Hurricane]

It looks like 94L would impact Texas with moderate to heavy rains
especially if it develops and moves north due to the influence of
a trough.

[HurricaneHunter914]

Both storms could eventually effect Texas (93L could hit if it continues the WNW track).

[wxmann_91]

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/watl/avn-l.jpg

Looks like 93L and 94L are competing to become the dominant Invest because 93 looks worse than 94.

With 20-30 kt westerlies across both systems, the race is very slow.

[Yankeegirl]

So when are the computer models going to come out on 94?? I am reading everything on here and everyone has such different thoughts on where its going to go, and everyone here aresuch great forecasters, Id like to see it on a map where it might go... No hard feelings to anyone!!