SST'S and Anomalies in Atlantic Thread #4

[Trugunzn]

water temps in Southeast of Biloxi is 88 degrees

http://www.wunderground.com/MAR/buoy/20 ... 42007.html

[windycity]

Anybody know loop current SSTs?

[Aquawind]

http://www.aoml.noaa.gov/phod/cyclone/data/go.html

Enjoy!

[windycity]

Thanks, Aquawind!!! Yep, its getting toasty in the GOM.

[Aquawind]

Your welcome! Here is more detail.. Definately some Hot Pockets--mm lunch time

http://fermi.jhuapl.edu/avhrr/gm/averag ... 2_mult.png

[drezee]

Ya Mule Ya...GOM is heating up...more 30's than 20's

Offshore Data at 19Z Jun 24
DAY/ ID Latit Longit Temp Dewp Wind Gust MaxGst Press PTend SeaT Wvht WvPd FULLID
HOUR (-degrees-) (---C---) (---degr/knots---) (millibars) (C) (m) (s)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
24/19 42001 25.9 -89.7 28.3 350 6 G 8 350 8 1015.3 -2.1 30.2 0.5 5 42001
24/19 42002 25.2 -94.4 29.2 23.9 060 2 G 4 060 4 1016.5 -0.7 30.0 0.5 6 42002
24/19 42003 26.1 -85.9 28.9 23.6 010 6 G 8 030 10 1014.9 -0.6 30.1 0.5 4 42003
24/19 42007 30.1 -88.8 29.2 20.6 000 0 G 4 220 4 1015.1 -1.3 30.0 0.0 0 42007
24/19 42020 26.9 -96.7 28.3 22.7 060 2 G 4 060 6 1016.6 -0.6 30.0 0.5 6 42020
24/19 42035 29.2 -94.4 28.5 23.2 020 2 G 4 320 8 1017.2 -0.7 30.0 0.5 6 42035
24/19 42036 28.5 -84.5 28.3 24.5 040 2 G 4 050 6 1014.6 -0.6 29.1 0.5 3 42036
24/19 42039 28.8 -85.6 29.4 000 0 G 0 1015.5 -0.6 30.8 0.5 5 42039
24/19 42040 29.2 -88.2 28.1 21.5 360 8 G 10 350 10 1015.3 -0.5 0.5 4 42040
24/19 42055 22.0 -94.0 28.3 23.1 060 6 G 8 050 10 1015.0 -0.8 29.5 0.5 4 42055
24/19 42361 27.6 -92.5 42361
24/19 42362 27.8 -90.7 42362
24/19 42362 27.8 -90.7 290 14 29.0 42362
24/19 42362 27.8 -90.7 300 17 28.9 42362
24/19 BURL1 28.9 -89.3 30.1 23.6 030 7 G 9 360 10 1015.7 -0.7 BURL1
24/19 CDRF1 29.1 -82.9 29.9 23.0 280 11 G 14 280 15 1014.0 -2.0 CDRF1
24/19 DPIA1 30.3 -88.0 28.2 20.8 310 3 G 4 340 9 1015.3 -1.5 DPIA1
24/19 KTNF1 29.8 -83.5 29.5 23.0 280 10 G 11 280 14 1014.4 -1.9 KTNF1
24/19 LUML1 29.3 -90.6 29.9 21.7 320 11 G 16 1015.3 -1.2 32.8 * LUML1
24/19 PTAT2 27.8 -97.0 28.3 23.1 110 9 G 10 100 10 1016.2 -0.8 30.6 PTAT2
24/19 SANF1 24.1 -82.0 SANF1
24/19 SGOF1 29.4 -84.8 27.0 23.6 120 4 G 5 100 7 1015.3 -1.2 28.6 SGOF1
24/19 SRST2 29.7 -94.0 29.8 190 7 G 8 190 10 1016.7 -1.3 SRST2
24/19 TAML1 29.2 -90.6 30.2 22.9 020 8 G 16 1015.6 -1.4 31.9 TAML1
24/19 VENF1 27.1 -82.4 27.9 27.9 290 15 G 16 300 17 1012.5 -2.0 30.2 VENF1

[Aquawind]

This is rather balmy basin wide and were just heading into July..

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb/atl_anom.gif

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb/atl_anal.gif

[drezee]

2006 has caught and passed 2005 in the GOM and NW Caribbean as far as Overall Heat Content!

2006


2005




2006



2005

[gatorcane]

that is not a good sign - thanks now I will go cry

[HurricaneHunter914]

I thought the SSTs were lower than last year. That's what Dr. Gray said.

[gatorcane]

I thought the SSTs were lower than last year. That's what Dr. Gray said.

Not in the GOM and NW Caribbean they are not - based on those above charts.

[windycity]

overall, SSTs are not as high as last year. However, in some areas, they are higher. Check out the area off marthas vineyard. Not a good sign.Lets all cry!! We will if the us has a major hit this year. It could cripple the insurance industry.

[P.K.]

Subsurface charts are here.

CURRENT STATUS as at 28th June 2006
Next update expected by 12th July 2006 (two weeks after this update).

| Summary | In Brief | Details |

Summary: ENSO remains neutral with further warming a possibility

The overall ENSO status remains neutral, and most computer predictions expect it to remain that way for the rest of 2006. However, the current negative Southern Oscillation Index (SOI) and recent period of subsurface warming have increased the chance of an El Niño event compared with a month ago. The ENSO situation will be monitored closely for any developments in that direction.

Weaker than average Trade Winds in recent months have caused a warming of the sea surface and the upper subsurface layer, with temperatures across the entire equatorial Pacific now above average. In the past month, however, surface temperatures have been nearly static and remain at levels well below those typical for an El Niño event. The atmospheric response to this warming is illustrated by the return to near average cloudiness in the central Pacific.

Despite the negative SOI, other ENSO indicators show only very weak trends. Furthermore, given that ENSO events typically begin to evolve between March and June, the risk of Pacific surface warming to levels high enough for an El Niño event to develop this year is low.

[x-y-no]

I thought the SSTs were lower than last year. That's what Dr. Gray said.

In the MDR and eastern Caribbean, yes. But not in the NW Caribbean and Gulf.

[bigmoney755]

SST's are warmer this year than last year.
2006

2005

Also, this is showing the tropical cyclone heat potential.
2006

2005

[HurricaneHunter914]

WOW! IMO with the GOM and the NW Caribbean being warmer than last year that would still make this season a pretty bad season (Katrina, Rita, and Wilma became Cat-5s in the GOM and the NW Carib).

[Cyclenall]

WOW! IMO with the GOM and the NW Caribbean being warmer than last year that would still make this season a pretty bad season (Katrina, Rita, and Wilma became Cat-5s in the GOM and the NW Carib).

That's my current thinking, it won't matter if the SSTs are lower then last year in a different area because once the hurricanes move near land (GOM) then they will get stronger possibly.

[CHRISTY]

SST'S

[Extremeweatherguy]

It will be bad if something strong enters the Gulf this year. There is no cool water to kill it! Lets hope shear will stay high!

[HurricaneHunter914]

Unfortunatly shear never stays high all season.