INVEST 93L Comments Thread #1

[Epsilon_Fan]

there's two of them... this is getting busy

[CrazyC83]

I'd keep a close eye on this - it may have development potential when it reaches the western Caribbean...could be Beryl...

[rockyman]

This TAFB forecast from earlier (before low formed) seems to indicate this system will travel WNW across the Caribbean and will not "escape" to the north (notice the orientation of the high pressure isobars from east to west):

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... BW_sm3.gif

By comparison, here's the 24 hour TAFB forecast (the isobars go from north to south):

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... BW_sm3.gif

[JamesFromMaine2]

this should be a TD! 30mph is a TD and according to the navy site its 25kts! theres also a well defined LLC and banding so yeah it should be a TD!

[Brent]

What month is this again?

[rainstorm]

they have gone invest happy. this will dissipate

[rockyman]

The convection is VERY impressive around the system....If you use this link and look in the far bottom right corner, you'll see 93L:

http://weather.msfc.nasa.gov/GOES/goeseasthurrir.html

[JamesFromMaine2]

they have gone invest happy. this will dissipate

Why are saying that? Just b/c of where its located? or is there a good reason your saying that?

[rockyman]

Just ran a loop...and the system does appear to be gaining some latitude...which should allow it to clear South America...This is actually one of the few places that is favorable for development at the moment.

[Noles2006]

they have gone invest happy. this will dissipate

Huh? This is the most impressive system in the Atlantic at the moment.

[Opal storm]

What month is this again?

According to my calender it's June but if I was only looking at the tropics I'd say it was August.

Yep,looks like more to talk about next week if this holds together through the Carib.

[weatherbee1982]

I have a better feeling with this system, as opposed to Invests 91L (which never really did develop much of an organized LLC) or 92L (which was a bit far north for comfort and it lost convection due to shear). As mentioned earlier, the Navy products give this one an estimated 25 kts rating, which is pretty good already (and one wonders why it is not a depression already).

Now the question remains if the two circulations will constructively or destructively interfere with one another? Next, will 93L gain latitude quickly enough to clear any land influence from South America?

[CajunMama]

Now we await Cycloneye to make the thread "official."

I think this one may have a better chance than our other 2.

Any member can make the "official" thread. This is your messageboard...you members are the ones that keep us #1. The moderators are here to do just that...moderate.

[Aquawind]

The 12z models runds this morning don't hint much at all for this system. The Canadian has the representation but not much. Tonights runs should be interesting..

http://moe.met.fsu.edu/tcgengifs/

[BreinLa]

CajunMama and I posted the same post at the same time about the official thread I deleted mine.....

[rockyman]

Just a refresher from 2005:

Bret formed on June 28th (if Beryl forms before 7pm CDT Wednesday, we'll be ahead of last year)

Cindy formed at 1am CDT on July 5th

[Swimdude]

June 28th... I suppose we may have a chance.

[Derek Ortt]

the depressions that have formed in June tend to dissipate as they move to the west and lose the enhanced vorticity of the African monsoon trough


System does not have enough convective activity to be classified as a TD at the present time, and I would be quite surprised to see this become a depression.

[no advance]

Wasnt Bertha a tw in that area persisted as a tw till north of PRico and Hisp turning into a cat 1 eventually hitting NCar. I doubt if it develps in the centr. Atlantic might later on in the wk. We will be watching it that is for sure. It might be the yr. of the invest hopefully not alot of worse. Can not believe it.

[Aquawind]

Next, will 93L gain latitude quickly enough to clear any land influence from South America?

That certainly looks to be an issue.

TAFB latest 48hr forecast..

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... BW_sm3.gif