00Z NAM/WRF picking up on something as well

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Scorpion

00Z NAM/WRF picking up on something as well

#1 Postby Scorpion » Sun Jun 18, 2006 11:21 pm

84 hours out.

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#2 Postby wxforecaster » Tue Jun 20, 2006 6:09 pm

That is just NAM.. not WRF. The NAM/WRF NMM started to run at 12Z today! First 00Z NAM/WRF NMM run will be later tonight!
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#3 Postby SouthFloridawx » Tue Jun 20, 2006 6:12 pm

This is the 18Z NAM.

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_084l.gif
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#4 Postby canegrl04 » Tue Jun 20, 2006 6:49 pm

Here we go ! :coaster:
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#5 Postby Windtalker1 » Tue Jun 20, 2006 8:16 pm

If this pans out, I think high pressure will build in and force the storm SSW toward central Florida as a strong Tropical Storm....comments?
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#6 Postby stormtruth » Tue Jun 20, 2006 9:09 pm

Another Alberto-like system. If there is another system I wonder if some peeps on this board will claim it is dissipating when it is really not like they did with Alberto. :eek:
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CHRISTY

#7 Postby CHRISTY » Tue Jun 20, 2006 9:28 pm

Windtalker1 wrote:If this pans out, I think high pressure will build in and force the storm SSW toward central Florida as a strong Tropical Storm....comments?


yep iam thinking the same thing....
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#8 Postby boca » Tue Jun 20, 2006 9:40 pm

My 2 cents not gonna happen from the system in the Bahamas its history and moving ENE because of strong SW shear.
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Re: 00Z NAM/WRF picking up on something as well

#9 Postby Scott_inVA » Tue Jun 20, 2006 11:27 pm

Not to be the voice of doom, but nuthin' doin' at least for 72 hours.

West at 30-40KTS does not a TC make :wink:

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#10 Postby weatherbee1982 » Tue Jun 20, 2006 11:47 pm

I don't see anything in the Atlantic to substantiate such a call by the model. If this is trying to intensify the lackluster wave NE of the Bahamas, as boca pointed out, it is history. I can see the Tropical system in the EPAC being a possibility, as the wave over Central America looks rather intense.
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CHRISTY

#11 Postby CHRISTY » Tue Jun 20, 2006 11:53 pm

weatherbee1982 wrote:I don't see anything in the Atlantic to substantiate such a call by the model. If this is trying to intensify the lackluster wave NE of the Bahamas, as boca pointed out, it is history. I can see the Tropical system in the EPAC being a possibility, as the wave over Central America looks rather intense.


the system in the EPAC has gone POOF....but in my opinion the system near the bahamas bears watching.
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#12 Postby spinfan4eva » Wed Jun 21, 2006 12:41 am

weatherbee1982 wrote:I don't see anything in the Atlantic to substantiate such a call by the model. If this is trying to intensify the lackluster wave NE of the Bahamas, as boca pointed out, it is history. I can see the Tropical system in the EPAC being a possibility, as the wave over Central America looks rather intense.


I think it is picking up on the wave around 73W and adding it to the disturbed area from the UL in the Bahamas as the UL weakens and shear decreases. This could cause pressures to at least drop in the area whether from a strong easterly wave or something trackable by the NHC.
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