12Z Nogaps interesting for FL

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The Hurricaner
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#21 Postby The Hurricaner » Sun Jun 18, 2006 10:21 pm

O Town wrote:
Stratusxpeye wrote:Link won't work for me. East of the northern bahams but over south florida? Where abouts would that mean? Like melbourne area?

More like W. Palm/Palm Beach County.


And covering south flordia too.
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Extremeweatherguy
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#22 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sun Jun 18, 2006 10:24 pm

very latest 72 hr. surface forecast:

http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... BW_sm3.gif
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#23 Postby Scott_inVA » Sun Jun 18, 2006 10:31 pm

Think what will verify is the front stalls and pulls in copious moisture...good since it is needed except in the NC Triangle. Don't think a tropical Low develops...better bet is alot on moisture pulled in and a decent rain event from FL through the Mid-Atlantic next weekend. Oversimplified but you get the idea :wink:

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#24 Postby Stratusxpeye » Mon Jun 19, 2006 8:21 am

:uarrow: :uarrow:

That would be great. Alberto helped in my county here but no tby much at all. We need more than that. THe amount it raised all the ponds and lakes is almost gone. Back to pre-alberto Deficits soon. Summer pattern really has set up like usuall. Still havent seen a thunderstorm yet this year in my area.
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#25 Postby boca » Mon Jun 19, 2006 8:23 am

We are 9" below normal for the year here in SE Florida.
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#26 Postby rockyman » Mon Jun 19, 2006 8:32 am

The 0Z NOGAPS shows weak low pressure forming new the Bahamas and moving over south Florida and weakening in the 4-5 day range:

Image
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#27 Postby HURAKAN » Mon Jun 19, 2006 8:58 am

Alberto only brought about .20 inches of rain to my house. Now an easterly breeze has set up and all thunderstorms end up in the west coast. It will be great if this moisture moves closer to us.
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#28 Postby boca » Mon Jun 19, 2006 9:00 am

According to Melbourne NWS it won't. It will be shunted north into the Western Atlantic.
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#29 Postby no advance » Mon Jun 19, 2006 9:06 am

Once again Vortex you have picked up a possible develpment. I really dont think this one will be too bad even if it turns into a cyclone. Competition is tough compared to the days at palm beach forum. Seems like interest in tropical weather is at an all-time high. Have a nice week.
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AL Chili Pepper
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#30 Postby AL Chili Pepper » Mon Jun 19, 2006 11:38 am

Wow, you know what that track reminds me of? 1992.

Meandering northward then almost due west into S. FL.
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#31 Postby Dean4Storms » Mon Jun 19, 2006 11:45 am

We could use some rain over here in the Panhandle, we are nearing 15 inch deficits on the year from Panama City westward.
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#32 Postby no advance » Mon Jun 19, 2006 12:44 pm

It will be lucky to be a td if that. This is not a 1992 scenario.
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#33 Postby Stormsfury » Mon Jun 19, 2006 3:04 pm

Actually looking at the 12z NOGAPS, taken verbatim, it's not even a closed or even a broad low pressure center, but an inverted trough (TW) riding on the SW'ern periphery of the Bermuda High. I'm not saying that down the road in the Eastern Gulf something might try to congeal, but ATT, i'm hoping that the moisture will quench parts of Florida that need it per NGP.

SF
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#34 Postby wzrgirl1 » Mon Jun 19, 2006 3:17 pm

I will take the rain if nothing else
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