Atlantic Tropical Waves,Comments,Sat Pics Thread #1

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O Town
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#381 Postby O Town » Sat Jun 17, 2006 1:39 pm

Just the cmc so far.
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#382 Postby The Hurricaner » Sat Jun 17, 2006 4:21 pm

It looks like its moving north a little.
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#383 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Jun 17, 2006 4:29 pm

The Hurricaner wrote:It looks like its moving north a little.
The convection is due to southerly shear, but the wave axis itself is still moving WNW or NW.

The wave should be in the Caribb. tomorrow ( http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/tafb_latest/atl ... BW_sm3.gif ), but development is not likely over the next day or so. Development may become more likely, however, once this reaches the western Caribb. or GOM.
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#384 Postby The Hurricaner » Sat Jun 17, 2006 4:32 pm

Looks like itll go north of cuba instead of south.
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#385 Postby canegrl04 » Sat Jun 17, 2006 4:33 pm

This wave seems to be holding together well throughout the day.We could see an invest before the weekend is over
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#386 Postby El Nino » Sat Jun 17, 2006 5:40 pm

canegrl04 wrote:This wave seems to be holding together well throughout the day.We could see an invest before the weekend is over


I agree. Could someone post a shear map? I lost mine :oops:
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#387 Postby O Town » Sat Jun 17, 2006 5:47 pm

Click to enlarge.
Image
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#388 Postby skysummit » Sat Jun 17, 2006 5:48 pm

I think we're getting confused on which wave we're talking about....I am, at least. The one I think has the most chance is the eastern one...east of the Carribean, not the one NE of the US Virgin Islands. I think that one, the wave the CMC is picking up one will move northwest like the guidance shows, but that little eastern wave may have a chance to develop once it gets into the western Carribean.
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#389 Postby El Nino » Sat Jun 17, 2006 5:50 pm

O Town wrote:Click to enlarge.
Image


Thanks for that one !

Can you give me the link now ? :wink:
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#390 Postby skysummit » Sat Jun 17, 2006 5:53 pm

El Nino....all those charts can be found on the CIMSS site:
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/tropic.html
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#391 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jun 17, 2006 5:57 pm

skysummit wrote:I think we're getting confused on which wave we're talking about....I am, at least. The one I think has the most chance is the eastern one...east of the Carribean, not the one NE of the US Virgin Islands. I think that one, the wave the CMC is picking up one will move northwest like the guidance shows, but that little eastern wave may have a chance to develop once it gets into the western Carribean.


Agree skysummit that sometimes confusion comes with the waves.Let's try to post which wave we are talking posting sat pics or typing in what longitud it is.The wave Skysummit is talking about is around 45w.
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#392 Postby El Nino » Sat Jun 17, 2006 6:05 pm

skysummit wrote:El Nino....all those charts can be found on the CIMSS site:
http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/tropic.html


Thanks for that one ! Very usefull :wink:
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#393 Postby canegrl04 » Sat Jun 17, 2006 6:34 pm

The wave I'm talking about is the large one just east and North of the islands
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#394 Postby The Hurricaner » Sat Jun 17, 2006 6:50 pm

Yes we know.
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#395 Postby cycloneye » Sat Jun 17, 2006 6:59 pm

TROPICAL WAVE IS ALONG 44W S OF 19N MOVING W 20 KT. WAVE HAS A
WELL-DEFINED CYCLONIC SIGNATURE IN INFRARED SATELLITE IMAGERY
AND IS PRODUCING SOME ISOLATED TSTMS FROM 8N-12N BETWEEN
42W-47W. COMPUTER MODELS HAVE MOISTURE FROM THIS WAVE BEGINNING
TO AFFECT THE LESSER ANTILLES LATE MON.


Above is the 8 PM discussion about the wave in the mid-tropical Atlantic that skysummit is discussing about.
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#396 Postby rockyman » Sat Jun 17, 2006 7:54 pm

The wave crossing 45W appears to be in a favorable area for development...has cyclonic turning...low shear...some deep convection...and is steaming west toward the Islands...It has my attention..
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#397 Postby El Nino » Sat Jun 17, 2006 8:09 pm

rockyman wrote:The wave crossing 45W appears to be in a favorable area for development...has cyclonic turning...low shear...some deep convection...and is steaming west toward the Islands...It has my attention..


Not well organised IMO. Maybe later.
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#398 Postby rockyman » Sat Jun 17, 2006 9:17 pm

What's catching my attention tonight with the system near 45W is that as one batch of convection is dying out, a new batch is developing to the west of what could be a future center...and the upper clouds are fanning out in a clock-wise direction on the North, East, and South sides of the system (not on the west side because of fast movement of system) meaning outflow is improving and an anticylcone could be trying to form over the system. In contrast, the more "impressive" system over the Islands is actually only flashy because of upper level shear that is helping create instability and convection (not ideal for development) :D
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#399 Postby rockyman » Sat Jun 17, 2006 9:30 pm

This map shows some mid-level vorticity associated with the 45W system (down near 10N)

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8vor3.html
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CHRISTY

#400 Postby CHRISTY » Sat Jun 17, 2006 10:04 pm

:wink:
Last edited by CHRISTY on Sun Jun 18, 2006 10:44 pm, edited 5 times in total.
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