Tropical Depression Alberto Advisories
Moderator: S2k Moderators
Forum rules
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecasts and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or STORM2K. For official information, please refer to products from the National Hurricane Center and National Weather Service.
-
JonathanBelles
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 11430
- Age: 35
- Joined: Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:00 pm
- Location: School: Florida State University (Tallahassee, FL) Home: St. Petersburg, Florida
- Contact:
-
HurricaneHunter914
- Category 5
- Posts: 4439
- Age: 31
- Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
- Location: College Station, TX
Well I guess we're going to have to get use to the NHC being late for certain things.
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
JonathanBelles
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 11430
- Age: 35
- Joined: Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:00 pm
- Location: School: Florida State University (Tallahassee, FL) Home: St. Petersburg, Florida
- Contact:
-
HurricaneHunter914
- Category 5
- Posts: 4439
- Age: 31
- Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
- Location: College Station, TX
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
HurricaneHunter914
- Category 5
- Posts: 4439
- Age: 31
- Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
- Location: College Station, TX
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 146203
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
910
WTNT31 KNHC 132351
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006
800 PM EDT TUE JUN 13 2006
...ALBERTO MOVING ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...
AT 8 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA
SOUND GEORGIA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ATLANTIC COAST
FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA SOUTHWARD TO NORTH OF
ALTAMAHA SOUND.
GALE WARNINGS ARE ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE SOUTH
CAROLINA COAST NORTHWARD THROUGH PORTIONS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA
COAST.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.8 WEST OR ABOUT
25 MILES...35 KM...SOUTHWEST OF ALMA GEORGIA.
ALBERTO IS MOVING A LITTLE FASTER TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 14
MPH...22 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL DIRECTION OF MOTION...WITH A GRADUAL
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER SOUTHEASTERN
GEORGIA TONIGHT...AND ACROSS SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA WEDNESDAY
MORNING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...IN A FEW SQUALLS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND ALBERTO WILL
LIKELY BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
TO THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER OVER THE ATLANTIC
WATERS.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST IN THE WARNED AREA.
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 8 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING
OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN HALF OF GEORGIA...MUCH OF NORTH AND SOUTH
CAROLINA EXCEPT FOR THE WESTERN PARTS OF THOSE STATES...AND INTO
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO
4 INCHES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA
PENINSULA.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA AND
COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA TONIGHT.
REPEATING THE 800 PM EDT POSITION...31.3 N...82.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 1100 PM EDT.
FORECASTER STEWART
WTNT31 KNHC 132351
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 15A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006
800 PM EDT TUE JUN 13 2006
...ALBERTO MOVING ACROSS SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA...
AT 8 PM EDT...0000 UTC...THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING HAS BEEN
DISCONTINUED FROM FLAGLER BEACH FLORIDA NORTHWARD TO ALTAMAHA
SOUND GEORGIA.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FOR THE ATLANTIC COAST
FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER SOUTH CAROLINA SOUTHWARD TO NORTH OF
ALTAMAHA SOUND.
GALE WARNINGS ARE ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE SOUTH
CAROLINA COAST NORTHWARD THROUGH PORTIONS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA
COAST.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 800 PM EDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.3 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.8 WEST OR ABOUT
25 MILES...35 KM...SOUTHWEST OF ALMA GEORGIA.
ALBERTO IS MOVING A LITTLE FASTER TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 14
MPH...22 KM/HR. THIS GENERAL DIRECTION OF MOTION...WITH A GRADUAL
INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED...IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER SOUTHEASTERN
GEORGIA TONIGHT...AND ACROSS SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA WEDNESDAY
MORNING.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS...IN A FEW SQUALLS. WEAKENING IS FORECAST...AND ALBERTO WILL
LIKELY BECOME A TROPICAL DEPRESSION TONIGHT OR EARLY WEDNESDAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 175 MILES...280 KM
TO THE NORTHEAST AND SOUTHEAST OF THE CENTER OVER THE ATLANTIC
WATERS.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1001 MB...29.56 INCHES.
A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE ATLANTIC COAST IN THE WARNED AREA.
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 4 TO 6 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 8 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING
OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN HALF OF GEORGIA...MUCH OF NORTH AND SOUTH
CAROLINA EXCEPT FOR THE WESTERN PARTS OF THOSE STATES...AND INTO
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA. ADDITIONAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 2 TO
4 INCHES ARE ALSO POSSIBLE OVER THE NORTHERN AND CENTRAL FLORIDA
PENINSULA.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA AND
COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA TONIGHT.
REPEATING THE 800 PM EDT POSITION...31.3 N...82.8 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 14 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1001 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER
AT 1100 PM EDT.
FORECASTER STEWART
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
'CaneFreak
- Category 5
- Posts: 1487
- Joined: Mon Jun 05, 2006 10:50 am
- Location: New Bern, NC
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 146203
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
638
WTNT31 KNHC 140238
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006
1100 PM EDT TUE JUN 13 2006
...ALBERTO MOVING FASTER TOWARD THE NORTHEAST...
...WIND DAMAGE REPORTED IN THE SAVANNAH GEORGIA AREA...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
SOUTH CAROLINA SOUTHWARD TO NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.
GALE WARNINGS ARE ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE SOUTH
CAROLINA COAST NORTHWARD THROUGH PORTIONS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA
COAST.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.3 WEST OR ABOUT
55 MILES...90 KM...SOUTHWEST OF STATESBORO GEORGIA... OR ABOUT
MIDWAY BETWEEN ALMA AND VIDALIA GEORGIA.
ALBERTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR. THIS
GENERAL DIRECTION OF MOTION...WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED...IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE
CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA TONIGHT AND
EARLY WEDNESDAY... AND MOVE ACROSS SOUTH CAROLINA LOW COUNTRY
DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS IN A FEW SQUALLS ALONG AND JUST OFFSHORE THE GEORGIA AND SOUTH
CAROLINA COASTS. SOME WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS... AND ALBERTO COULD BECOME A DEPRESSION BEFORE IT MERGES
WITH A FRONTAL SYSTEM DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY AND BECOMES AN
NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM
...TO THE NORTHEAST AND EATS OF THE CENTER. RECENTLY...A WIND GUST
TO 46 MPH WAS REPORTED AT THE SAVANNAH GEORGIA AIRPORT AND A GUST
TO 42 MPH WAS REPORTED IN DOWNTOWN SAVANNAH. DURING THE PAST
HOUR... NUMEROUS REPORTS OF DAMAGE TO TREES AND POWER LINES IN THE
SAVANNAH AREA HAVE BEEN RECEIVED.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE SOUTH CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA COASTS.
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 8 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING
OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN HALF OF GEORGIA...MUCH OF NORTH AND SOUTH
CAROLINA EXCEPT FOR THE WESTERN PARTS OF THOSE STATES...AND INTO
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA AND
SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.
REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...31.8 N...82.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM EDT.
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
228
WTNT21 KNHC 140238
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006
0300Z WED JUN 14 2006
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
SOUTH CAROLINA SOUTHWARD TO NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 82.3W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 14 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......130NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..130NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 82.3W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.3N 82.8W
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 33.6N 80.2W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 36.4N 75.2W...OVER WATER EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 39.6N 68.7W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 250SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 43.0N 62.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 75SE 75SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 250SE 150SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 49.5N 47.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 350SE 200SW 200NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 54.0N 30.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 55.0N 10.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.8N 82.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z
FORECASTER STEWART
WTNT31 KNHC 140238
TCPAT1
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006
1100 PM EDT TUE JUN 13 2006
...ALBERTO MOVING FASTER TOWARD THE NORTHEAST...
...WIND DAMAGE REPORTED IN THE SAVANNAH GEORGIA AREA...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
SOUTH CAROLINA SOUTHWARD TO NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.
GALE WARNINGS ARE ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE SOUTH
CAROLINA COAST NORTHWARD THROUGH PORTIONS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA
COAST.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 1100 PM EDT...0300Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 31.8 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.3 WEST OR ABOUT
55 MILES...90 KM...SOUTHWEST OF STATESBORO GEORGIA... OR ABOUT
MIDWAY BETWEEN ALMA AND VIDALIA GEORGIA.
ALBERTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTHEAST NEAR 16 MPH...26 KM/HR. THIS
GENERAL DIRECTION OF MOTION...WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD
SPEED...IS EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS. ON THIS TRACK THE
CENTER WILL CONTINUE TO MOVE OVER SOUTHEASTERN GEORGIA TONIGHT AND
EARLY WEDNESDAY... AND MOVE ACROSS SOUTH CAROLINA LOW COUNTRY
DURING THE DAY ON WEDNESDAY.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS IN A FEW SQUALLS ALONG AND JUST OFFSHORE THE GEORGIA AND SOUTH
CAROLINA COASTS. SOME WEAKENING IS POSSIBLE DURING THE NEXT 24
HOURS... AND ALBERTO COULD BECOME A DEPRESSION BEFORE IT MERGES
WITH A FRONTAL SYSTEM DURING THE DAY WEDNESDAY AND BECOMES AN
NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM
...TO THE NORTHEAST AND EATS OF THE CENTER. RECENTLY...A WIND GUST
TO 46 MPH WAS REPORTED AT THE SAVANNAH GEORGIA AIRPORT AND A GUST
TO 42 MPH WAS REPORTED IN DOWNTOWN SAVANNAH. DURING THE PAST
HOUR... NUMEROUS REPORTS OF DAMAGE TO TREES AND POWER LINES IN THE
SAVANNAH AREA HAVE BEEN RECEIVED.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1002 MB...29.59 INCHES.
A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE SOUTH CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA COASTS.
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 8 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE INTO WEDNESDAY EVENING
OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN HALF OF GEORGIA...MUCH OF NORTH AND SOUTH
CAROLINA EXCEPT FOR THE WESTERN PARTS OF THOSE STATES...AND INTO
EXTREME SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA AND
SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA TONIGHT AND WEDNESDAY.
REPEATING THE 1100 PM EDT POSITION...31.8 N...82.3 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTHEAST NEAR 16 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1002 MB.
AN INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER AT 200 AM EDT FOLLOWED BY THE NEXT COMPLETE ADVISORY AT 500
AM EDT.
FORECASTER STEWART
$$
228
WTNT21 KNHC 140238
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006
0300Z WED JUN 14 2006
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
SOUTH CAROLINA SOUTHWARD TO NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.
TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 82.3W AT 14/0300Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM
PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTHEAST OR 40 DEGREES AT 14 KT
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 1002 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 35 KT WITH GUSTS TO 45 KT.
34 KT.......130NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..130NE 0SE 0SW 0NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.
REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 31.8N 82.3W AT 14/0300Z
AT 14/0000Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 31.3N 82.8W
FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 33.6N 80.2W...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
FORECAST VALID 15/0000Z 36.4N 75.2W...OVER WATER EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 35 KT...GUSTS 45 KT.
34 KT...150NE 200SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 39.6N 68.7W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...150NE 250SE 0SW 0NW.
FORECAST VALID 16/0000Z 43.0N 62.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 50 KT...GUSTS 60 KT.
50 KT... 0NE 75SE 75SW 0NW.
34 KT...150NE 250SE 150SW 150NW.
FORECAST VALID 17/0000Z 49.5N 47.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 45 KT...GUSTS 55 KT.
34 KT...200NE 350SE 200SW 200NW.
EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY
OUTLOOK VALID 18/0000Z 54.0N 30.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
OUTLOOK VALID 19/0000Z 55.0N 10.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.
REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 31.8N 82.3W
NEXT ADVISORY AT 14/0900Z
FORECASTER STEWART
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
JonathanBelles
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 11430
- Age: 35
- Joined: Sat Dec 24, 2005 9:00 pm
- Location: School: Florida State University (Tallahassee, FL) Home: St. Petersburg, Florida
- Contact:
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 146203
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
WTNT41 KNHC 140258
TCDAT1
TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006
1100 PM EDT TUE JUN 13 2006
ALBERTO HAS ACCELERATED NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS...AND
BANDING FEATURES HAVE REMAINED INTACT IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE.
WSR-88D DOPPLER VELOCITIES FROM CHARLESTON AND JACKSONVILLE
INDICATED A FAIRLY LONG AND WIDE SWATH OF 50-KT AND STRONGER WINDS
EXTENDING FROM 1000 THROUGH 8000 FT ASL ALONG THE GEORGIA COAST AND
INTO EXTREME SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA. WHILE THE CONVECTION IS NOT
PARTICULARLY IMPRESSIVE... IT APPEARS TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO BRING
DOWN ABOUT 75 PERCENT OF THOSE WINDS TO THE SURFACE AS A 1-MINUTE
SUSTAINED WIND...ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTS OF 45-50 KT. NUMEROUS REPORTS
OF TREES AND POWER LINES DOWNED BY STRONG WINDS HAVE BEEN RECEIVED
FROM SAVANNAH AND SURROUNDING AREAS. ALSO...NOAA BUOY 41008 OFF THE
GEORGIA COAST REPORTED A 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND OF 31 KT WITH A
GUST TO 39 KT AT A 5-METER HEIGHT. THEREFORE... ALBERTO WILL REMAIN
A TROPICAL STORM FOR THIS ADVISORY... AND COASTAL TROPICAL STORM
WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND NORTHWARD TO SOUTH
SANTEE RIVER.
THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK OR
REASONING. A DEEP-LAYER TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DIGGING SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD ALBERTO AND
GRADUALLY ACCELERATE THE CYCLONE NORTHEASTWARD OFF THE U.S. EAST
COAST DURING THE NEXT 72 HOURS... AND THEN MORE EASTWARD AFTER
THAT. THIS SCENARIO IS CLOSE TO THE CONSENSUS OF THE VERY TIGHTLY
PACKED NHC MODEL GUIDANCE AND THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK.
ALBERTO IS EXPECTED TO MERGE WITH A FRONT OVER NORTHERN SOUTH
CAROLINA OR SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA BY 12-18 HOURS. GIVEN THE
AMPLITUDE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED DEEP-LAYER TROUGH...STRENGTHENING
INTO A SIGNIFICANT EXTRATROPICAL GALE AREA OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA
OUTER BANKS SEEMS QUITE PLAUSIBLE AT THIS TIME. IT IS ALSO POSSIBLE
THAT ALBERTO MAY NOT DROP BELOW TROPICAL STORM STATUS BEFORE
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION OCCURS... WHICH WOULD REQUIRE A NORTHWARD
EXTENSION OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA IN THE NEXT ADVISORY.
THERE IS A THREAT OF FLOODING DUE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES.
FORECASTER STEWART
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 14/0300Z 31.8N 82.3W 35 KT
12HR VT 14/1200Z 33.6N 80.2W 30 KT...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT 15/0000Z 36.4N 75.2W 35 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 15/1200Z 39.6N 68.7W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 16/0000Z 43.0N 62.0W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 17/0000Z 49.5N 47.5W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
96HR VT 18/0000Z 54.0N 30.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 19/0000Z 55.0N 10.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
TCDAT1
TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 16
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006
1100 PM EDT TUE JUN 13 2006
ALBERTO HAS ACCELERATED NORTHEASTWARD DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS...AND
BANDING FEATURES HAVE REMAINED INTACT IN THE EASTERN SEMICIRCLE.
WSR-88D DOPPLER VELOCITIES FROM CHARLESTON AND JACKSONVILLE
INDICATED A FAIRLY LONG AND WIDE SWATH OF 50-KT AND STRONGER WINDS
EXTENDING FROM 1000 THROUGH 8000 FT ASL ALONG THE GEORGIA COAST AND
INTO EXTREME SOUTHERN SOUTH CAROLINA. WHILE THE CONVECTION IS NOT
PARTICULARLY IMPRESSIVE... IT APPEARS TO BE STRONG ENOUGH TO BRING
DOWN ABOUT 75 PERCENT OF THOSE WINDS TO THE SURFACE AS A 1-MINUTE
SUSTAINED WIND...ACCOMPANIED BY GUSTS OF 45-50 KT. NUMEROUS REPORTS
OF TREES AND POWER LINES DOWNED BY STRONG WINDS HAVE BEEN RECEIVED
FROM SAVANNAH AND SURROUNDING AREAS. ALSO...NOAA BUOY 41008 OFF THE
GEORGIA COAST REPORTED A 10-MINUTE AVERAGE WIND OF 31 KT WITH A
GUST TO 39 KT AT A 5-METER HEIGHT. THEREFORE... ALBERTO WILL REMAIN
A TROPICAL STORM FOR THIS ADVISORY... AND COASTAL TROPICAL STORM
WARNINGS REMAIN IN EFFECT FROM ALTAMAHA SOUND NORTHWARD TO SOUTH
SANTEE RIVER.
THERE IS NO SIGNIFICANT CHANGE TO THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK OR
REASONING. A DEEP-LAYER TROUGH OVER THE GREAT LAKES AND OHIO VALLEY
IS EXPECTED TO CONTINUE DIGGING SOUTHEASTWARD TOWARD ALBERTO AND
GRADUALLY ACCELERATE THE CYCLONE NORTHEASTWARD OFF THE U.S. EAST
COAST DURING THE NEXT 72 HOURS... AND THEN MORE EASTWARD AFTER
THAT. THIS SCENARIO IS CLOSE TO THE CONSENSUS OF THE VERY TIGHTLY
PACKED NHC MODEL GUIDANCE AND THE PREVIOUS FORECAST TRACK.
ALBERTO IS EXPECTED TO MERGE WITH A FRONT OVER NORTHERN SOUTH
CAROLINA OR SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA BY 12-18 HOURS. GIVEN THE
AMPLITUDE OF THE AFOREMENTIONED DEEP-LAYER TROUGH...STRENGTHENING
INTO A SIGNIFICANT EXTRATROPICAL GALE AREA OFF THE NORTH CAROLINA
OUTER BANKS SEEMS QUITE PLAUSIBLE AT THIS TIME. IT IS ALSO POSSIBLE
THAT ALBERTO MAY NOT DROP BELOW TROPICAL STORM STATUS BEFORE
EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION OCCURS... WHICH WOULD REQUIRE A NORTHWARD
EXTENSION OF THE TROPICAL STORM WARNING AREA IN THE NEXT ADVISORY.
THERE IS A THREAT OF FLOODING DUE TO LOCALLY HEAVY RAINS OVER
PORTIONS OF THE SOUTHEASTERN UNITED STATES.
FORECASTER STEWART
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 14/0300Z 31.8N 82.3W 35 KT
12HR VT 14/1200Z 33.6N 80.2W 30 KT...INLAND EXTRATROPICAL
24HR VT 15/0000Z 36.4N 75.2W 35 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 15/1200Z 39.6N 68.7W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 16/0000Z 43.0N 62.0W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 17/0000Z 49.5N 47.5W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
96HR VT 18/0000Z 54.0N 30.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 19/0000Z 55.0N 10.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
-
Extremeweatherguy
- Category 5
- Posts: 11095
- Joined: Mon Oct 10, 2005 8:13 pm
- Location: Florida
-
Extremeweatherguy
- Category 5
- Posts: 11095
- Joined: Mon Oct 10, 2005 8:13 pm
- Location: Florida
Here are some of the wind gusts STILL being reported:
Folly Beach - 40mph
Charleston, SC - 41mph
Tybee Island - 37mph
Savannah, GA (airport) - 46mph
Savannah, GA (downtown) - 42mph
Also, according to a hurricane local statement:
Coastal areas - expect 30 to 35mph sustained winds and gusts to 45mph.
Inland areas - Expect 25 to 30mph sustained winds and gusts to 40mph.
Folly Beach - 40mph
Charleston, SC - 41mph
Tybee Island - 37mph
Savannah, GA (airport) - 46mph
Savannah, GA (downtown) - 42mph
Also, according to a hurricane local statement:
Coastal areas - expect 30 to 35mph sustained winds and gusts to 45mph.
Inland areas - Expect 25 to 30mph sustained winds and gusts to 40mph.
0 likes
-
HurricaneHunter914
- Category 5
- Posts: 4439
- Age: 31
- Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
- Location: College Station, TX
Extremeweatherguy wrote:wow, this thing is not giving up. Still a TS alomst 11 hours after a weak landfall? amazing.
Looking at it now its actually holding together pretty well.
0 likes
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
-
Brent
- S2K Supporter
- Posts: 38117
- Age: 37
- Joined: Sun May 16, 2004 10:30 pm
- Location: Tulsa Oklahoma
- Contact:
BULLETIN
TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006
200 AM EDT WED JUN 14 2006
...HEAVY RAINS FROM ALBERTO MOVING ACROSS THE CAROLINAS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
SOUTH CAROLINA SOUTHWARD TO NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.
GALE WARNINGS ARE ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE SOUTH
CAROLINA COAST NORTHWARD THROUGH PORTIONS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA
COAST.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 200 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.1 WEST OR ABOUT
50 MILES...85 KM...SOUTH OF AUGUSTA GEORGIA.
ALBERTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR.
A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS IN A FEW SQUALLS ALONG AND JUST OFFSHORE THE GEORGIA AND SOUTH
CAROLINA COASTS. ALBERTO IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION THIS
MORNING BEFORE LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS LATER TODAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM
...TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE SOUTH CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA COASTS.
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 8 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING
OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN HALF OF GEORGIA...MUCH OF NORTH AND SOUTH
CAROLINA EXCEPT FOR THE WESTERN PARTS OF THOSE STATES...AND EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA AND
SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA TODAY.
REPEATING THE 200 AM EDT POSITION...32.6 N...82.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM EDT.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN/MAINELLI
TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 16A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006
200 AM EDT WED JUN 14 2006
...HEAVY RAINS FROM ALBERTO MOVING ACROSS THE CAROLINAS...
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH SANTEE RIVER
SOUTH CAROLINA SOUTHWARD TO NORTH OF ALTAMAHA SOUND GEORGIA.
GALE WARNINGS ARE ALSO IN EFFECT FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE SOUTH
CAROLINA COAST NORTHWARD THROUGH PORTIONS OF THE NORTH CAROLINA
COAST.
FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.
AT 200 AM EDT...0600Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 32.6 NORTH...LONGITUDE 82.1 WEST OR ABOUT
50 MILES...85 KM...SOUTH OF AUGUSTA GEORGIA.
ALBERTO IS MOVING TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH...28 KM/HR.
A TURN TO THE NORTHEAST WITH A GRADUAL INCREASE IN FORWARD SPEED IS
EXPECTED DURING THE NEXT 24 HOURS.
MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 40 MPH...65 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS IN A FEW SQUALLS ALONG AND JUST OFFSHORE THE GEORGIA AND SOUTH
CAROLINA COASTS. ALBERTO IS EXPECTED TO WEAKEN TO A DEPRESSION THIS
MORNING BEFORE LOSING TROPICAL CHARACTERISTICS LATER TODAY.
TROPICAL STORM FORCE WINDS EXTEND OUTWARD UP TO 150 MILES...240 KM
...TO THE EAST OF THE CENTER.
ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1004 MB...29.65 INCHES.
A STORM SURGE OF 2 TO 3 FEET ABOVE NORMAL TIDE LEVELS IS POSSIBLE
ALONG THE SOUTH CAROLINA AND NORTH CAROLINA COASTS.
STORM TOTAL RAINFALL AMOUNTS OF 3 TO 5 INCHES...WITH ISOLATED
MAXIMUM AMOUNTS TO 8 INCHES...ARE POSSIBLE THROUGH THIS EVENING
OVER THE SOUTHEASTERN HALF OF GEORGIA...MUCH OF NORTH AND SOUTH
CAROLINA EXCEPT FOR THE WESTERN PARTS OF THOSE STATES...AND EXTREME
SOUTHEASTERN VIRGINIA.
ISOLATED TORNADOES ARE POSSIBLE OVER COASTAL SOUTH CAROLINA AND
SOUTHEASTERN NORTH CAROLINA TODAY.
REPEATING THE 200 AM EDT POSITION...32.6 N...82.1 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...NORTH-NORTHEAST NEAR 17 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...40
MPH. MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1004 MB.
THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 500 AM EDT.
FORECASTER FRANKLIN/MAINELLI
0 likes
#neversummer
-
P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
FKNT21 KNHC 140840
TCANT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALBERTO ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006
0900Z WED JUN 14 2006
TC ADVISORY
DTG: 20060614/0900Z
TCAC: KNHC
TC: ALBERTO
NR: 017
PSN: N3330 W08124
MOV: NE 18KT
C: 1003HPA
MAX WIND: 030KT
FCST PSN + 12 HR: 141800 N3542 W07742
FCST MAX WIND + 12 HR: 035KT
FCST PSN + 18 HR: 150000 N3706 W07451
FCST MAX WIND + 18 HR: 040KT
FCST PSN + 24 HR: 150600 N3830 W07200
FCST MAX WIND + 24 HR: 040KT
NXT MSG: 20060614/1500Z
TCANT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALBERTO ICAO ADVISORY NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006
0900Z WED JUN 14 2006
TC ADVISORY
DTG: 20060614/0900Z
TCAC: KNHC
TC: ALBERTO
NR: 017
PSN: N3330 W08124
MOV: NE 18KT
C: 1003HPA
MAX WIND: 030KT
FCST PSN + 12 HR: 141800 N3542 W07742
FCST MAX WIND + 12 HR: 035KT
FCST PSN + 18 HR: 150000 N3706 W07451
FCST MAX WIND + 18 HR: 040KT
FCST PSN + 24 HR: 150600 N3830 W07200
FCST MAX WIND + 24 HR: 040KT
NXT MSG: 20060614/1500Z
0 likes
-
P.K.
- Professional-Met
- Posts: 5149
- Joined: Thu Sep 23, 2004 5:57 pm
- Location: Watford, England
- Contact:
WTNT41 KNHC 140859
TCDAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALBERTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006
500 AM EDT WED JUN 14 2006
DOPPLER VELOCITIES AND OBSERVATIONS FROM BUOYS AND CMAN STATIONS OFF
THE GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA COASTS INDICATE THAT WINDS HAVE
DROPPED BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE. HENCE...THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A DEPRESSION AND ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS
HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. HOWEVER...GALE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT ALONG
PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS IN ANTICIPATION OF ALBERTO'S
RE-STRENGTHENING AS AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE.
ALBERTO HAS ACCELERATED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS AND THE INITIAL
MOTION IS NOW 040/18. A DEEP-LAYER LAYER TROUGH DIGGING SOUTH FROM
THE GREAT LAKES REGION SHOULD HELP THE CYCLONE TO CONTINUE TO
ACCELERATE TO THE NORTHEAST. ALBERTO IS QUICKLY LOSING TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS AND EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION SHOULD OCCUR IN THE
NEXT 6-12 HOURS WITH ADDITIONAL INTENSIFICATION FORECAST ONCE THE
SYSTEM RE-EMERGES OVER WATER. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO
THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY WITH ONLY A SLIGHT SHIFT TO THE NORTH AND
WEST IN THE EARLY PERIODS. THE TRACK FORECAST BEYOND 48 HOURS IS
A BLEND OF THE GFS AND UKMET MODEL SOLUTIONS.
FORECASTER MAINELLI/FRANKLIN
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 14/0900Z 33.5N 81.4W 30 KT
12HR VT 14/1800Z 35.7N 77.7W 35 KT...EXTRATROPICAL INLAND
24HR VT 15/0600Z 38.5N 72.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 15/1800Z 41.0N 65.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 16/0600Z 44.5N 57.0W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 17/0600Z 52.0N 41.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
96HR VT 18/0600Z 57.0N 22.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 19/0600Z 60.0N 13.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
TCDAT1
TROPICAL DEPRESSION ALBERTO DISCUSSION NUMBER 17
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006
500 AM EDT WED JUN 14 2006
DOPPLER VELOCITIES AND OBSERVATIONS FROM BUOYS AND CMAN STATIONS OFF
THE GEORGIA AND SOUTH CAROLINA COASTS INDICATE THAT WINDS HAVE
DROPPED BELOW TROPICAL STORM FORCE. HENCE...THE TROPICAL CYCLONE
HAS BEEN DOWNGRADED TO A DEPRESSION AND ALL TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS
HAVE BEEN DISCONTINUED. HOWEVER...GALE WARNINGS ARE IN EFFECT ALONG
PORTIONS OF THE CAROLINAS IN ANTICIPATION OF ALBERTO'S
RE-STRENGTHENING AS AN EXTRATROPICAL CYCLONE.
ALBERTO HAS ACCELERATED DURING THE PAST 6 HOURS AND THE INITIAL
MOTION IS NOW 040/18. A DEEP-LAYER LAYER TROUGH DIGGING SOUTH FROM
THE GREAT LAKES REGION SHOULD HELP THE CYCLONE TO CONTINUE TO
ACCELERATE TO THE NORTHEAST. ALBERTO IS QUICKLY LOSING TROPICAL
CHARACTERISTICS AND EXTRATROPICAL TRANSITION SHOULD OCCUR IN THE
NEXT 6-12 HOURS WITH ADDITIONAL INTENSIFICATION FORECAST ONCE THE
SYSTEM RE-EMERGES OVER WATER. THE OFFICIAL FORECAST IS SIMILAR TO
THE PREVIOUS ADVISORY WITH ONLY A SLIGHT SHIFT TO THE NORTH AND
WEST IN THE EARLY PERIODS. THE TRACK FORECAST BEYOND 48 HOURS IS
A BLEND OF THE GFS AND UKMET MODEL SOLUTIONS.
FORECASTER MAINELLI/FRANKLIN
FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS
INITIAL 14/0900Z 33.5N 81.4W 30 KT
12HR VT 14/1800Z 35.7N 77.7W 35 KT...EXTRATROPICAL INLAND
24HR VT 15/0600Z 38.5N 72.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
36HR VT 15/1800Z 41.0N 65.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
48HR VT 16/0600Z 44.5N 57.0W 50 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
72HR VT 17/0600Z 52.0N 41.0W 45 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
96HR VT 18/0600Z 57.0N 22.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
120HR VT 19/0600Z 60.0N 13.0W 40 KT...EXTRATROPICAL
0 likes
-
cycloneye
- Admin
- Posts: 146203
- Age: 69
- Joined: Thu Oct 10, 2002 10:54 am
- Location: San Juan, Puerto Rico
I am taking the sticky out.But the advisories can continue to be posted until the last one is written.
0 likes
Visit the Caribbean-Central America Weather Thread where you can find at first post web cams,radars
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
and observations from Caribbean basin members Click Here
Who is online
Users browsing this forum: Google Adsense [Bot], Hurricane2022, MetroMike, tolakram and 47 guests