Tornado threat about to increase in central/ northern Fla

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spinfan4eva
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Tornado threat about to increase in central/ northern Fla

#1 Postby spinfan4eva » Mon Jun 12, 2006 8:32 pm

You can see the "warm front" if ya wanna call it that. about to move northward through Jax at this hour at the link below. There is a dry area south with bands of thunderstorms without the thunder developing within this dry air and there is a heavy band of thunderstorms (probably without the thunder) in the Tampa/st pete area now pivoting around Alberto. I expect a new tornado watch to be issued momentarily.

Radar link...
http://www.wunderground.com/tropical/tr ... raprod=n0z
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#2 Postby HurricaneGirl » Mon Jun 12, 2006 8:37 pm

I saw those bands coming down earlier! :eek:
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caneman

#3 Postby caneman » Mon Jun 12, 2006 8:37 pm

You are right. PInellas numerous suspicious cells.......All feeding North. Had a call just go thru with 50 mph winds.
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#4 Postby HurricaneGirl » Mon Jun 12, 2006 8:40 pm

:eek:
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#5 Postby spinfan4eva » Mon Jun 12, 2006 8:52 pm

And here it is---Still south of my area in Jax but closer and a larger area

URGENT - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED
TORNADO WATCH NUMBER 473
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
940 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

THE NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER HAS ISSUED A
TORNADO WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF

CENTRAL FLORIDA
COASTAL WATERS

EFFECTIVE THIS MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY MORNING FROM 940 PM UNTIL
800 AM EDT.

TORNADOES...HAIL TO 0.5 INCH IN DIAMETER...THUNDERSTORM WIND
GUSTS TO 70 MPH...AND DANGEROUS LIGHTNING ARE POSSIBLE IN THESE
AREAS.

THE TORNADO WATCH AREA IS APPROXIMATELY ALONG AND 75 STATUTE
MILES EAST AND WEST OF A LINE FROM 20 MILES NORTHEAST OF
GAINESVILLE FLORIDA TO 15 MILES WEST SOUTHWEST OF FORT MEYERS
FLORIDA. FOR A COMPLETE DEPICTION OF THE WATCH SEE THE
ASSOCIATED WATCH OUTLINE UPDATE (WOUS64 KWNS WOU3).

REMEMBER...A TORNADO WATCH MEANS CONDITIONS ARE FAVORABLE FOR
TORNADOES AND SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS IN AND CLOSE TO THE WATCH
AREA. PERSONS IN THESE AREAS SHOULD BE ON THE LOOKOUT FOR
THREATENING WEATHER CONDITIONS AND LISTEN FOR LATER STATEMENTS
AND POSSIBLE WARNINGS.

OTHER WATCH INFORMATION...THIS TORNADO WATCH REPLACES TORNADO
WATCH NUMBER 469. WATCH NUMBER 469 WILL NOT BE IN EFFECT AFTER
940 PM EDT. CONTINUE...WW 468...WW 470...WW 471...WW 472...

DISCUSSION...BANDS OF CONVECTION ASSOCIATED WITH ALBERTO WILL
CONTINUE TO SPREAD INLAND OVERNIGHT ACROSS THE CENTRAL FL PENINSULA.
LOW LEVEL VERTICAL SHEAR PROFILES ARE VERY FAVORABLE FOR ISOLATED
TORNADOES WITH STRONGER/CELLULAR CONVECTION.

AVIATION...TORNADOES AND A FEW SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WITH HAIL
SURFACE AND ALOFT TO 0.5 INCH. EXTREME TURBULENCE AND SURFACE
WIND GUSTS TO 60 KNOTS. A FEW CUMULONIMBI WITH MAXIMUM TOPS TO
500. MEAN STORM MOTION VECTOR 24030.


...HART


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#6 Postby bvigal » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:06 pm

Boy, I guess the SRH (Southern Region HQ/NWS) server is really overloaded! I can't get Puerto Rico radar - just won't load. The Florida radars don't show the warning overlays, and the regional NWS sites won't finish loading (Tallahassee), Jacksonville). Server/bandwidth load must be beyond what anyone anticipated. Hope they fix that before the next storm!

Thanks spinfan4eva, for posting that, only way I can see it.

Stay safe!!
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#7 Postby beachbum_al » Mon Jun 12, 2006 9:10 pm

How are conditions in Tallahasse? Not meaning to hijack the thread or anything like that.
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#8 Postby TampaFl » Mon Jun 12, 2006 10:14 pm

Tornado Warning
TORNADO WARNING
FLC057-130300-
/O.NEW.KTBW.TO.W.0012.060613T0242Z-060613T0300Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1042 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
NORTHERN HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY IN FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 1100 PM EDT

* AT 1042 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
TORNADO OVER TEMPLE TERRACE...MOVING NORTH AT 40 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL AFFECT...
TEMPLE TERRACE.
LUTZ.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM! MOVE INTO THE INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING...AWAY FROM WINDOWS. COVER YOUR HEAD AND
BODY WITH PILLOWS OR BLANKETS.

TORNADOES ARE ESPECIALLY DANGEROUS AT NIGHT. TAKE COVER NOW! MOVE TO
A SMALL INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING.
ABANDON MOBILE HOMES. LEAVE VEHICLES AND GET INTO A DITCH OR LOW
SPOT.


&&

LAT...LON 2793 8253 2793 8232 2817 8230 2817 8254

$$

24
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#9 Postby TampaFl » Mon Jun 12, 2006 10:15 pm

TORNADO WARNING
FLC101-130315-
/O.NEW.KTBW.TO.W.0013.060613T0254Z-060613T0315Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1054 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
CENTRAL PASCO COUNTY IN FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 1115 PM EDT

* AT 1054 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
TORNADO OVER NORTHERN HILLSBOROUGH COUNTY...MOVING NORTH AT 45 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL AFFECT...
WESLEY CHAPEL.
SAN ANTONIO.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM! MOVE INTO THE INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING...AWAY FROM WINDOWS. COVER YOUR HEAD AND
BODY WITH PILLOWS OR BLANKETS.


&&

LAT...LON 2817 8251 2818 8229 2842 8225 2842 8251
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#10 Postby NEXRAD » Mon Jun 12, 2006 10:22 pm

Good topic...

I can see the dry slot ahead (north) of the warm front (pseudo warm front?) and the helicity values are there... but the convection is limited. The one linear band along the West Central Florida Coast is the only game in town right now, so to say. And, I don't see much in the way of new cell formation as of 11PM.

For those of you who will be light night radar watchers... keep an eye on the Florida West Coast near Sarasota to Fort Myers extending inland towards Polk and Highlands Counties. As cloud bands stream onshore overnight they might just hit enough instability to blossom into scattered cells, if not new bands.

- Jay
KSC FL
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#11 Postby NEXRAD » Mon Jun 12, 2006 10:30 pm

Cell over extreme Srn Pasco Co. is showing a good rotation signature, currently near Odessa.

- Jay
KSC FL
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#12 Postby TampaFl » Mon Jun 12, 2006 10:33 pm

Nexrad what about central/eastern Hillsborough Co?


Robert 8-)
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#13 Postby slosh » Mon Jun 12, 2006 10:38 pm

WFUS52 KTBW 130335
TORTBW
FLC101-130345-
/O.NEW.KTBW.TO.W.0014.060613T0335Z-060613T0345Z/

BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED
TORNADO WARNING
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE TAMPA BAY AREA - RUSKIN FL
1135 PM EDT MON JUN 12 2006

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN RUSKIN HAS ISSUED A

* TORNADO WARNING FOR...
WESTERN PASCO COUNTY IN FLORIDA.

* UNTIL 1145 PM EDT

* AT 1135 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A
TORNADO OVER SOUTHWESTERN PASCO COUNTY...MOVING NORTH AT 45 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL AFFECT...
MOON LAKE ESTATES.

THIS IS A DANGEROUS STORM! MOVE INTO THE INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST
FLOOR OF A STURDY BUILDING...AWAY FROM WINDOWS. COVER YOUR HEAD AND
BODY WITH PILLOWS OR BLANKETS.


&&

LAT...LON 2822 8269 2816 8249 2842 8237 2842 8261

$$

24






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#14 Postby Noles2006 » Mon Jun 12, 2006 10:42 pm

Nice and rainy in Tallahassee, not much in the way of wind... down at the coast, as of 9 p.m., it was raining (moderate) and gusty winds up to 25 mph... nothing to really brag about, though.
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#15 Postby slosh » Mon Jun 12, 2006 10:44 pm

Ironically I am less than a half mile from the referenced subdivision

- TORNADO OVER SOUTHWESTERN PASCO COUNTY...MOVING NORTH AT 45 MPH.

* THE TORNADO WILL AFFECT...
MOON LAKE ESTATES.
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#16 Postby NEXRAD » Mon Jun 12, 2006 10:46 pm

TampaFl wrote:Nexrad what about central/eastern Hillsborough Co?


Robert 8-)


Hi Robert,

Most of the activity will stay across Wrn Hillsborough... Pinelles... and north through Pasco-Hernando-Citrus county through at least 12:30 or so. The bands that have been kicking up the rotating cells haven't been making much eastward progress.

But - there has been a couple of new cells showing up on composite reflectivity near the Manatee-Hardee county line. These little cells are in advance of the band farther west. Of course, any cells that are forming outside of the band will be all the more likely to rotate if they can deepen enough. Also, the main band that's been generating the rotating cells late tonight in vicinity of Tampa Bay will eventually slide east. It's had some new storm cell development down near Bradenton/Sarasota as well... all of this will work your way probably between 12:30 and 1:30 I would say.

- Jay
KSC FL
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#17 Postby slosh » Mon Jun 12, 2006 10:49 pm

The last cell we had through here really woke us up. Doors were rattling and rain was pounding the windows. Now it is extremely quiet in new Port Richey (West Pasco)
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#18 Postby nolabelplez » Mon Jun 12, 2006 11:58 pm

Slosh, I'm near G'ville now, but I used to live on Moon Lake. My neighbor's roof got ripped off one time just from a summer storm blowing in across the lake. I hope everyone's ok there. I'll have to call my friends tomorrow. Stay safe.
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CHRISTY

#19 Postby CHRISTY » Tue Jun 13, 2006 1:16 am

i have a friend thats stays up there up there looks like heavy rainbands are heading his way.....

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Last edited by CHRISTY on Tue Jun 13, 2006 1:30 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Rainband

#20 Postby Rainband » Tue Jun 13, 2006 1:18 am

what is the point this?? :uarrow:
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