Tropical Wave

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'CaneFreak
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Tropical Wave

#1 Postby 'CaneFreak » Mon Jun 12, 2006 5:30 pm

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/east/catl/avn-l.jpg

Does this system have a chance? Comments?
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#2 Postby hicksta » Mon Jun 12, 2006 5:30 pm

Image
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#3 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Jun 12, 2006 5:31 pm

Maybe in 7-10 days it could be Beryl.
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#4 Postby cycloneye » Mon Jun 12, 2006 5:32 pm

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... 50&start=0
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#5 Postby hicksta » Mon Jun 12, 2006 5:32 pm

One near 65 might. One near 35 chances no since its so low.
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#6 Postby 'CaneFreak » Mon Jun 12, 2006 5:38 pm

What?
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#7 Postby all_we_know_is_FALLING » Mon Jun 12, 2006 5:49 pm

He/she means the one near 65 degrees longitude might have a chance, but the one at 35 degress longitude doesn't have a chance because it's latitude is too low.
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#8 Postby CrazyC83 » Mon Jun 12, 2006 5:54 pm

all_we_know_is_FALLING wrote:He/she means the one near 65 degrees longitude might have a chance, but the one at 35 degress longitude doesn't have a chance because it's latitude is too low.


Not at this point, but it could move westward as an open tropical wave...
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#9 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Mon Jun 12, 2006 5:58 pm

I think the wave entering the east Carrib. could develop in 3-5 days.
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#10 Postby all_we_know_is_FALLING » Mon Jun 12, 2006 6:01 pm

Wow! Wouldn't that be amazing to have 2 named storms in June? :eek:
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#11 Postby mvtrucking » Mon Jun 12, 2006 6:28 pm

all_we_know_is_FALLING wrote:Wow! Wouldn't that be amazing to have 2 named storms in June? :eek:


It would be a very fast start to the 2006 season. Can you imagine breaking 2005 records? I doubt its possible but?
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#12 Postby LAwxrgal » Mon Jun 12, 2006 6:29 pm

We did have 2 in June last year, didn't we?
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#13 Postby Cyclenall » Mon Jun 12, 2006 6:35 pm

LAwxrgal wrote:We did have 2 in June last year, didn't we?

I think so, but didn't bret go into July? Maybe but 2 storms in June isn't mind-blowing but 3 storms is a different story (could happen).

It would be a very fast start to the 2006 season. Can you imagine breaking 2005 records? I doubt its possible but?

It's very possible. 2005 may not be a fluke. I think 2005ness will continue into this year but that doesn't mean it will be as active.

There is already a topic on this wave.
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#14 Postby Brent » Mon Jun 12, 2006 6:41 pm

LAwxrgal wrote:We did have 2 in June last year, didn't we?


Yep... we already know about Arlene, Bret was around on June 28 and 29(went into Mexico).
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#15 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Mon Jun 12, 2006 6:47 pm

I'm betting my two cents on the 35W system, though at a low latitude the more organized and stronger it gets the more northward it goes. That's what I heard last year when Katrina became a Cat-5.
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#16 Postby 'CaneFreak » Mon Jun 12, 2006 6:58 pm

Interesting...never thought of it that way....we'll see...thanks for ALL the comments....
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#17 Postby Patrick99 » Mon Jun 12, 2006 7:07 pm

LOL - I can think of many occasions when a wave was "too low" but turned into something anyway. Wasn't Ivan "too low?" :D
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#18 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Mon Jun 12, 2006 7:09 pm

Yeah but Ivan was farther east giving him more time to move northward away from SA.
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#19 Postby wxwatcher91 » Mon Jun 12, 2006 7:38 pm

Ivan formed around 10n. this wave is at 5n to 10n which is a fair difference.
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#20 Postby Steve H. » Mon Jun 12, 2006 8:10 pm

I actually think the wave entering the central Atlantic has the better chance at development. And no, latitude should not be an issue at this point. The wave in the eastern Caribbean may have more hostile conditions ahead, but these should settle down when the further east wave pushed into the same region. We'll see.
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