Easterly componet

[Hurricane_chaser092580]

I don't know if anyone else see this but, i see a solid ene movement in the last couple frames of the radar. Opinions welcomed.
http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... W&loop=yes

[Lowpressure]

Could be or maybe the center still relocating more under convection.

[cycloneye]

To be sure of a movement 6 frames are needed.

[mtm4319]

Ah yes, the first true wobble watch of the year.

[Stormcenter]

NNE

[x-y-no]

It's impossible to judge the motion of the surface circulation based on the extreme edge of long range radar. I forget the exct numbers, but the cloud movement you're seeing there is well up in the mid-troposphere - 12 to 15 thousand feet, something like that.

Based on visible sattelite, I make the motion around 35 to 40 degrees, definitely making the NE turn.

[TropicalBill]

I don't know if anyone else see this but, i see a solid ene movement in the last couple frames of the radar. Opinions welcomed.
http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... W&loop=yes

I have been watching satellite imagery for several hours and I don't see anything more northerly than a NW movement. It looks to me like a Cedar Key landfall is more likely than a Big Bend strike.

[dixiebreeze]

I don't know if anyone else see this but, i see a solid ene movement in the last couple frames of the radar. Opinions welcomed.
http://radar.weather.gov/radar.php?prod ... W&loop=yes

Probably why a hurricane warning was issued for Tampa Bay area.

[floridahurricaneguy]

Its definitely going NE or ENE possibly. Also agree Big Bend landfall... no farther north.

[gatorcane]

Its definitely going NE or ENE possibly. Also agree Big Bend landfall... no farther north.

it's trying to pull a Charley and surprise the Tampa area....maybe...I still think Cedar Key area.

[Noles2006]

Still looks NNE to me, even on that radar.

[B'hamBlazer]

Still looks NNE to me, even on that radar.

I'm in agreement. It's definitely not ENE. I saw a couple frames that almost looked due north. Generally, I'd still say NNE.

[Ivanhater]

look at the outer cloud mass, getting pulled more northerly...good indication where it's going

[skysummit]

LOL...this is hilarious. People along the panhandle and bama say it's going more northerly, and people near Tampa say it's gong more easterly....same ole', same ole' every season.

[floridahurricaneguy]

I know it is hilarious... I think we should just all wait and see what Alberto decides.

[Noles2006]

sky -- that's the truth, yet people still have to bring up the "feuds" (like Texas v. Florida, etc.). It's the way we are on these boards and nothing is going to change it! Our eyes are going to see what we want them to at times!

[cpdaman]

ok unbiased boca

it looks like that after the LLC relocated and strengthened this morning that the shear is again pushing the cloud tops away and causing the LLC to appear to be SLIDING east as it trys to push northeast so to me it appears to be around 50-53 degrees NE or in the lower degree requirements for a norheast component.