Hurricane Warnings issued

[drezee]

336
WTNT21 KNHC 121432
TCMAT1
TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO FORECAST/ADVISORY NUMBER 10
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL AL012006
1500Z MON JUN 12 2006

AT 10 AM CDT...1500 UTC...A HURRICANE WARNING HAS BEEN ISSUED FOR
THE GULF COAST OF FLORIDA FROM LONGBOAT KEY TO THE OCHLOCKONEE
RIVER.

A HURRICANE WARNING MEANS THAT HURRICANE CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED
WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS. PREPARATIONS TO
PROTECT LIFE AND PROPERTY SHOULD BE RUSHED TO COMPLETION.

A TROPICAL STORM WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT SOUTH OF LONGBOAT KEY TO
ENGLEWOOD...AND WEST OF THE OCHLOCKONEE RIVER TO INDIAN PASS.
A TROPICAL STORM WARNING MEANS THAT TROPICAL STORM CONDITIONS ARE
EXPECTED WITHIN THE WARNING AREA WITHIN THE NEXT 24 HOURS.

A TROPICAL STORM WATCH REMAINS IN EFFECT FROM SOUTH OF ENGLEWOOD TO
BONITA BEACH.


TROPICAL STORM CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 85.9W AT 12/1500Z
POSITION ACCURATE WITHIN 30 NM

PRESENT MOVEMENT TOWARD THE NORTH-NORTHEAST OR 20 DEGREES AT 6 KT

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE 997 MB
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS 60 KT WITH GUSTS TO 75 KT.
50 KT.......125NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT.......200NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.
12 FT SEAS..250NE 250SE 0SW 200NW.
WINDS AND SEAS VARY GREATLY IN EACH QUADRANT. RADII IN NAUTICAL
MILES ARE THE LARGEST RADII EXPECTED ANYWHERE IN THAT QUADRANT.

REPEAT...CENTER LOCATED NEAR 27.1N 85.9W AT 12/1500Z
AT 12/1200Z CENTER WAS LOCATED NEAR 26.6N 86.4W

FORECAST VALID 13/0000Z 27.6N 85.5W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...125NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...200NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 28.8N 84.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...125NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/0000Z 30.0N 83.6W...INLAND
MAX WIND 60 KT...GUSTS 75 KT.
50 KT... 60NE 75SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...100NE 125SE 0SW 0NW.

FORECAST VALID 14/1200Z 32.0N 82.0W...INLAND
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

FORECAST VALID 15/1200Z 34.5N 77.5W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 30 KT...GUSTS 40 KT.

EXTENDED OUTLOOK. NOTE...ERRORS FOR TRACK HAVE AVERAGED NEAR 225 NM
ON DAY 4 AND 300 NM ON DAY 5...AND FOR INTENSITY NEAR 20 KT EACH DAY

OUTLOOK VALID 16/1200Z 38.0N 70.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

OUTLOOK VALID 17/1200Z 45.0N 60.0W...EXTRATROPICAL
MAX WIND 40 KT...GUSTS 50 KT.

REQUEST FOR 3 HOURLY SHIP REPORTS WITHIN 300 MILES OF 27.1N 85.9W

NEXT ADVISORY AT 12/2100Z

FORECASTER PASCH


$$

[nolabelplez]

Why Hurricane, and not Tropical Storm?

[AL Chili Pepper]

Why Hurricane, and not Tropical Storm?

FORECAST VALID 13/1200Z 28.8N 84.6W
MAX WIND 65 KT...GUSTS 80 KT.
64 KT... 60NE 60SE 0SW 0NW.
50 KT...125NE 100SE 0SW 0NW.
34 KT...175NE 150SE 0SW 0NW.

[O Town]

They are forcastiing 80kt/92mph gusts. Those are cat 1 gusts my friend.

[george_r_1961]

Why Hurricane, and not Tropical Storm?

It is close enough to being a hurricane now to justify a hurricane warning.

[Stratusxpeye]

Close enough indeed. And possibly will be H1 Before the days over.

[jimvb]

I was wondering why the NHC was calling on this to be a minimal tropical storm at the most when the GFDL at the time was calling for it to develop into a Category 3 hurricane. Despite the official forecasts, I was privately thinking this thing would develop instead. And indeed it is doing so.

[wzrgirl1]

I was wondering why the NHC was calling on this to be a minimal tropical storm at the most when the GFDL at the time was calling for it to develop into a Category 3 hurricane. Despite the official forecasts, I was privately thinking this thing would develop instead. And indeed it is doing so.

wondering the same thing.......intensity is very hard to forecast though, but I guess they were taking all the factors into consideration and Alberto was just tenacious