Tropical Storm Alberto

[28_Storms]

sorry the question sounded funny when first read.

[cycloneye]

Alberto at NRL,Advisorie soon.

http://www.nrlmry.navy.mil/tc_pages/tc_home.html

[HURAKAN]

Posted: Sat Jun 10, 2006 10:44 pm Post subject:

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A burst of convection like what happened this morning should bring TD 1 to TS. I would expect tropical storm status by 11 AM EDT tomorrow if it erupts like it did today.

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I said it yesterday and now it's a reality!!!

[Stratusxpeye]

Pretty bad looking alberto One ugly TS At this point

[28_Storms]

Hurakan you rock!

[28_Storms]

Ugly yes - but it does meet the TPC criteria.

[skysummit]

Pretty bad looking alberto One ugly TS At this point

Yes definately, but let's give him a round of applause. He did it in some pretty hostile conditions.

[WindRunner]

And also remember - he's not a minimal storm either - he's at 40 knots.

[HURAKAN]

Hurakan you rock!

GOOD LUCK & RECON HELP!!!

[Weatherfreak14]

Yes, still in an amazment that a storm can strengthen or even maintain its strength in that enviorment.


Just to thing what Alberto would be like if no shear waz there.

[HURAKAN]

Yes, still in an amazment that a storm can strengthen or even maintain its strength in that enviorment.

Just to thing what Alberto would be like if no shear waz there.

Most likely would be a hurricane!

[Weatherfreak14]

I would say maybe cat 2-3 anyone agree?

[cycloneye]

http://tcweb.fnmoc.navy.mil/tc-bin/tc_home.cgi

The backup site of NRL has it at 40kts.

[canegrl04]

At 40kts already I think he could reach minimal cat 1 before the end of the day

[SWFLA_CANE]

Just like Wilma when it left the Yucatan... not in size or strength but in the fact that Wilma was in very high sheer but still managed to strengthen in the same area.

[28_Storms]

At 40kts already I think he could reach minimal cat 1 status in the next day or so

What makes you think this?

[wzrgirl1]

I noticed some of the models have it stalling and doing some weird things in a couple of days.................

http://www.weatherunderground.com/tropi ... model.html

[skysummit]

At 40kts already I think he could reach minimal cat 1 before the end of the day

Nah....I highly doubt that. He was lucky to get to TS strength in these conditions. Remember...the winds were WELL away from the center.

[cycloneye]

NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER NORTH ATLANTIC OBJECTIVE AIDS FOR

TROPICAL STORM ALBERTO (AL012006) ON 20060611 1200 UTC

...00 HRS... ...12 HRS... ...24 HRS... ...36 HRS...
060611 1200 060612 0000 060612 1200 060613 0000

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 23.6N 87.9W 25.6N 88.3W 27.0N 87.5W 27.6N 85.6W
BAMM 23.6N 87.9W 25.1N 88.9W 25.7N 89.3W 25.5N 89.7W
A98E 23.6N 87.9W 24.7N 89.1W 25.9N 89.4W 26.6N 89.2W
LBAR 23.6N 87.9W 25.4N 88.7W 27.3N 88.6W 28.8N 87.3W
SHIP 40KTS 45KTS 49KTS 53KTS
DSHP 40KTS 45KTS 49KTS 53KTS

...48 HRS... ...72 HRS... ...96 HRS... ..120 HRS...
060613 1200 060614 1200 060615 1200 060616 1200

LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON LAT LON
BAMD 27.9N 83.0W 32.2N 75.5W 40.9N 64.8W 49.0N 47.2W
BAMM 24.9N 90.4W 24.2N 91.6W 23.9N 93.0W 24.0N 95.1W
A98E 26.5N 88.6W 29.1N 84.3W 32.7N 76.0W 42.1N 63.6W
LBAR 30.0N 85.0W 33.1N 77.6W 41.0N 66.1W .0N .0W
SHIP 55KTS 59KTS 61KTS 52KTS
DSHP 45KTS 48KTS 50KTS 41KTS

...INITIAL CONDITIONS...
LATCUR = 23.6N LONCUR = 87.9W DIRCUR = 310DEG SPDCUR = 9KT
LATM12 = 22.5N LONM12 = 86.3W DIRM12 = 313DEG SPDM12 = 9KT
LATM24 = 21.0N LONM24 = 85.3W
WNDCUR = 40KT RMAXWD = 125NM WNDM12 = 30KT
CENPRS = 1002MB OUTPRS = 1009MB OUTRAD = 225NM SDEPTH = M
RD34NE = 150NM RD34SE = 150NM RD34SW = 0NM RD34NW = 0NM



Alberto heading at the models text.

[skysummit]

I noticed some of the models have it stalling and doing some weird things in a couple of days.................

http://www.weatherunderground.com/tropi ... model.html

Yea...they're doing some wierd things now. Numerous models have him stalling. It's going to be a tough decision at the NHC as to whether to move the track or not.