Relocation of center very possible...

rockyman · #61 Postby **rockyman** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 9:45 pm

If anyone can show me a single piece of data (other than IR swirls) suggesting the center has relocated, I'd be thrilled! Ship reports, buoy reports, coastal reports, QScat...

CHRISTY · #62 Postby **CHRISTY** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 9:46 pm

rockyman wrote:The NHC has absolutely no reason to "relocate" the center...it was obvious to everyone where the LLC was at sunset...now many people "forget" about the LLC because they can't see it and then, just like last night, people starting looking for a center that they can "see"...The NHC is not being conservative on this issue, they are being scientific.

actually wxman57 is a promet with alot of experience iam sure...thanks to him and the other promets on here they do there best to give us accurate info.

rockyman · #63 Postby **rockyman** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 9:46 pm

No doubt about it! Thanks, Christy! but about that data...

Opal storm · #64 Postby **Opal storm** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 9:47 pm

That would be quite a surprise for S FL considering they expect a landfall well north of there Mon afternoon.

Well,anyways I can't wait to see what happens tomorrow.It seems as if something big changes everyday with this thing,it's been quite a rollercoaster ride with this system.

CHRISTY · #65 Postby **CHRISTY** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 9:47 pm

rockyman wrote:No doubt about it! Thanks, Christy! but about that data...

having u been watching everything he's been posting...look up in the threads!

rockyman · #66 Postby **rockyman** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 9:48 pm

Thanks, Christy! I looked...but I couldn't find any data other than comments on IR imagery.

#67 Postby **Evil Jeremy** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 9:48 pm

cmdebbie wrote:
Evil Jeremy wrote:so SFL is not out of the picture yet, even though the NHC says that it is?

I don't recall the NHC stating that SFL is out of the picture. I didn't think they made those kind of comments. Someone please correct me if I am wrong.

their forecast cone/track takes it into CFL and NFL (not football), leaving out SFL.

HurricaneHunter914 · #68 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 9:48 pm

In my opinion this will probably make landfall as a TD, I just can't see how it is supposed to become a TS. Too much dry air and shear for anything.

CHRISTY · #69 Postby **CHRISTY** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 9:49 pm

rockyman wrote:Thanks, Christy! I looked...but I couldn't find any data other than comments on IR imagery.

u should not use IR imagery when tryin to find a LLC.

rockyman · #70 Postby **rockyman** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 9:50 pm

You are so right, Christy...That's my point...is there any other evidence of a relocation OTHER than IR?

HurricaneHunter914 · #71 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 9:50 pm

Yeah, they're only good for showing convection. Visible SAT is the best for finding LLC's to bad its night time.

CHRISTY · #72 Postby **CHRISTY** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 9:56 pm

Wxman57 posted this earlier....

Here's another IR enhancement that shows the lower-level to mid level center very clearly as an "eye-like" feature (not an eye):

rockyman · #73 Postby **rockyman** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 9:57 pm

Ship report of 29.67 (around 1004 mb) at 00z at 21.8N 85.5W

http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/radial_search. ... t=S&time=5

HurricaneHunter914 · #74 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 9:58 pm

CHRISTY wrote:Wxman57 posted this earlier....

Here's another IR enhancement that shows the lower-level to mid level center very clearly as an "eye-like" feature (not an eye):

If the center has relocated there, then that would give TD One the chance to become a hurricane!

Johnny · #75 Postby **Johnny** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 9:59 pm

Wow, look at all the attention TD #1 is getting! I can't wait till we have a bonifide system on our hands. :eek:

Aquawind · #76 Postby **Aquawind** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 9:59 pm

Radar from JamesFromMaine2 on the other thread..notice the spin south..although it's a little ways from the radar so thus it's not looking entirely at the surface.

http://www.met.inf.cu/asp/genesis.asp?T ... AXw01a.gif

Opal storm · #77 Postby **Opal storm** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 10:00 pm

HurricaneHunter914 wrote:
CHRISTY wrote:Wxman57 posted this earlier....

Here's another IR enhancement that shows the lower-level to mid level center very clearly as an "eye-like" feature (not an eye):

If the center has relocated there, then that would give TD One the chance to become a hurricane!

Probably not considering it would have much less time over water.And have you seen the way it looks?It's a huge mess,no hurricane is coming out of this IMO.

Extremeweatherguy · #78 Postby **Extremeweatherguy** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 10:09 pm

well the 11pm advisory is out and....

No relocation of the center. If anything, this center is well NW of where it was at 5pm. The current forecast track is also a bit north of where the 5pm track was. It is now expected to make landfall right where the big bend of FL meets the eastern panhandle. Winds are still at 35mph and pressures are down to 1003mb as well.

rockyman · #79 Postby **rockyman** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 10:11 pm

There's still some ridge left over the Southeast...although it's pretty weak, it should keep the storm from going east of north for the time being.

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/real- ... 8dlm1.html

Opal storm · #80 Postby **Opal storm** » Sat Jun 10, 2006 10:11 pm

Extremeweatherguy wrote:well the 11pm advisory is out and....

No relocation of the center. If anything, this center is well NW of where it was at 5pm. The current forecast track is also a bit north of where the 5pm track was. It is now expected to make landfall right where the big bend of FL meets the eastern panhandle. Winds are still at 35mph and pressures are down to 1003mb as well.

Why do you say that?

Relocation of center very possible...

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