Tropical Storm Alberto

Moderator: S2k Moderators

Post Reply
Message
Author
CrazyC83
Professional-Met
Professional-Met
Posts: 34002
Joined: Tue Mar 07, 2006 11:57 pm
Location: Deep South, for the first time!

#421 Postby CrazyC83 » Sat Jun 10, 2006 5:23 pm

HURAKAN wrote:
DESTRUCTION5 wrote:
Brent wrote:42 kt would defintely get an upgrade...

2149 2317N 08512W 00219 5053 098 041 220 220 042 00174 0000000000

Plus a ton of 40-41 kt reports.


Damn Brent, Never have seen something look like this have TS winds of any sort..


What about Arlene from last year? Time makes people forget. Also, Grace, 2003.


Arlene looked like that when she was nearly a hurricane! (although I do think the 60 kt peak was overdone)
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Grease Monkey
Category 2
Category 2
Posts: 727
Joined: Fri Jun 09, 2006 9:25 pm

#422 Postby Grease Monkey » Sat Jun 10, 2006 5:25 pm

The storm is actually starting to look sexy on visible loop.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23691
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#423 Postby gatorcane » Sat Jun 10, 2006 5:26 pm

Guys and gals looks like TD #1 is starting to really try to get its act together - check out the thunderstorms blowing up now and recon even confirms this strenghtening....
0 likes   
Top
CHRISTY

#424 Postby CHRISTY » Sat Jun 10, 2006 5:27 pm

Grease Monkey wrote:The storm is actually starting to look sexy on visible loop.


hmmmm!now ive heard everything.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Evil Jeremy
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 5463
Age: 32
Joined: Mon Apr 10, 2006 2:10 pm
Location: Los Angeles, CA

#425 Postby Evil Jeremy » Sat Jun 10, 2006 5:28 pm

Grease Monkey wrote:The storm is actually starting to look sexy on visible loop.



did you read the rules when you joined here?
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
canegrl04
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 2486
Joined: Thu Aug 26, 2004 5:37 pm
Location: Texas

#426 Postby canegrl04 » Sat Jun 10, 2006 5:29 pm

Yep. It looks much better than it has most of the day.Definitely getting its act together. I think we will have Alberto before 8am
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23691
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#427 Postby gatorcane » Sat Jun 10, 2006 5:29 pm

the big blowup of thunderstorms is getting dangerously close to that center, closest they have been in a while - lets hope they stay away from it...they are trying to wrap around.
0 likes   
Top
CHRISTY

#428 Postby CHRISTY » Sat Jun 10, 2006 5:30 pm

boca_chris wrote:Guys and gals looks like TD #1 is starting to really try to get its act together - check out the thunderstorms blowing up now and recon even confirms this strenghtening....


boca i dont think so the LLC is west off that blow up near the Ucatan pennisula void of any convection.
0 likes   
Top
CHRISTY

#429 Postby CHRISTY » Sat Jun 10, 2006 5:46 pm

Until convection begins to build over the LLC its intensification will be limited.u can see here on this visible the LLC is void of deep thunderstorm activity.

Image
0 likes   
Top
HurricaneHunter914
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 4439
Age: 31
Joined: Fri Mar 10, 2006 7:36 pm
Location: College Station, TX

#430 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Sat Jun 10, 2006 5:50 pm

Last year I loved the dry air that caused storms to weaken, but this year I DON'T! Central Florida needs this rain badly. I hope this thing will continue to organize and get convection over its LLC.
0 likes   
Personal Forecast Disclaimer:
The posts in this forum are NOT official forecast and should not be used as such. They are just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. They are NOT endorsed by any professional institution or storm2k.org. For official information, please refer to the NHC and NWS products.
Top
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23691
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#431 Postby gatorcane » Sat Jun 10, 2006 5:51 pm

HurricaneHunter914 wrote:Last year I loved the dry air that caused storms to weaken, but this year I DON'T! Central Florida needs this rain badly. I hope this thing will continue to organize and get convection over its LLC.


Well IMHO the system has made progres today because looking at the visibles, the LLC is much more defined - but exposed. The convection is actually starting to fire some near it but the shear and dry air continue to keep it from rapidly deepening....

We should have Alberto by tonight but a 50-60mph TS is about all I expect (maximum) when it makes landfall - maybe even a 40-50mph weak TS.
0 likes   
Top
Scorpion

#432 Postby Scorpion » Sat Jun 10, 2006 5:53 pm

We don't need the rain at all.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23691
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#433 Postby gatorcane » Sat Jun 10, 2006 5:53 pm

Scorpion wrote:We don't need the rain at all.


Scorpion I agree - plenty of tropical rains here in South Florida - why do so many people say it is parched? I think because most of the tropical rains are along the coastal areas...not inland this Spring as the steering patterns have been pushing the storms towards the coast (not inland)
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cheezyWXguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6108
Joined: Mon Feb 13, 2006 12:29 am
Location: Dallas, TX

#434 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sat Jun 10, 2006 6:03 pm

Grease Monkey wrote:The storm is actually starting to look sexy on visible loop.


someone's a hurricane nut...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
KG4HPN
Tropical Depression
Tropical Depression
Posts: 96
Joined: Thu Aug 12, 2004 12:21 pm
Location: New Smyrna Beach, FL

#435 Postby KG4HPN » Sat Jun 10, 2006 6:10 pm

You guys in Boca and Jupiter should check locations. HurricaneHunter914 is in Sanford FL which, along with the rest of central and northern FL, have been having SERIOUS fire problems all spring. Last I heard, we were still 10 inches shy of normal rainfall, and falling. As I drove home from Ormond Beach today, I saw another large smoke plume to the south and east.

You all just give that thing a good shove to the north, we'll take it (but it needs to leave its winds out over the water or something). :D
0 likes   
Top
spinfan4eva
Category 1
Category 1
Posts: 295
Joined: Tue Aug 23, 2005 1:27 am
Location: Jacksonville, Florida
Contact:
Contact spinfan4eva

#436 Postby spinfan4eva » Sat Jun 10, 2006 6:10 pm

boca_chris wrote:Guys and gals looks like TD #1 is starting to really try to get its act together - check out the thunderstorms blowing up now and recon even confirms this strenghtening....


I must be missing something cause I dont see it... I just dont see it. Turn on the hurricane plots in this satellite loop and you will see how far the storms are from the center. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-avn.html It appears to be barely clinging to life to me.
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
gatorcane
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 23691
Age: 47
Joined: Sun Mar 13, 2005 3:54 pm
Location: Boca Raton, FL

#437 Postby gatorcane » Sat Jun 10, 2006 6:13 pm

I can't believe I am saying this but it looks like there has been a wobble to the NW in the past hour. Are you guys seeing this on the visible - the best W wobble I have seen so far....could the heights in the Bahamas now be kicking in?
0 likes   
Top
Frank P
S2K Supporter
S2K Supporter
Posts: 2776
Joined: Fri Aug 29, 2003 10:52 am
Location: Biloxi Beach, Ms
Contact:
Contact Frank P

#438 Postby Frank P » Sat Jun 10, 2006 6:15 pm

spinfan4eva wrote:
boca_chris wrote:Guys and gals looks like TD #1 is starting to really try to get its act together - check out the thunderstorms blowing up now and recon even confirms this strenghtening....


I must be missing something cause I dont see it... I just dont see it. Turn on the hurricane plots in this satellite loop and you will see how far the storms are from the center. http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-avn.html It appears to be barely clinging to life to me.


Its been ugly since its inception... and its still pretty ugly.... heck its been ugly all day... then again its the only game in town and being the first system of the year, its getting a lot of early season hype... like being your first born, it might be ugly but you can't stop talking about it... still looks like another mid level circulation to the SSW of the LLC... its just a mess... have to wonder if its ever going to get its act together... but ya never know with these things... so we watch ...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
cheezyWXguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 6108
Joined: Mon Feb 13, 2006 12:29 am
Location: Dallas, TX

#439 Postby cheezyWXguy » Sat Jun 10, 2006 6:17 pm

thats not actually where the center is...those pts arent updated...theyre from the previous advisory...its moved north...its just outside of the big convection over cuba...
0 likes   
Top
User avatar
Extremeweatherguy
Category 5
Category 5
Posts: 11095
Joined: Mon Oct 10, 2005 8:13 pm
Location: Florida

#440 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Sat Jun 10, 2006 6:17 pm

I have seen tropical storms with winds over 50mph have exposed centers before. I think Alberto has formed.
0 likes   
Top
Post Reply

Return to “2006”

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 0 guests