Pro Mets Take on 90L.

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NONAME
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Pro Mets Take on 90L.

#1 Postby NONAME » Fri Jun 09, 2006 4:41 pm

Pro met would you plz post your take on 90L. I would would like a pro take on this system to thanks.
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Incident_MET
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#2 Postby Incident_MET » Fri Jun 09, 2006 4:45 pm

Its got more things going for it than against it. Previous systems especially in the last couple of years in warm water environments have developed more times than not. A rather large area of broad circulation and my money is on further development. More difficult to place a track on it though should LL center develop east or west of estimated position. Will be interesting to watch.

My opinions only.
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Evil Jeremy
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#3 Postby Evil Jeremy » Fri Jun 09, 2006 4:51 pm

where do you forecast landfall, when, and at what wind speed?
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#4 Postby Aquawind » Fri Jun 09, 2006 4:56 pm

Droop12 wrote:Im not a pro met but its way to early for that Jeremy, its not even a depression at the moment.



Very Well Said.. we don't need guesses.. :wink:
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#5 Postby senorpepr » Fri Jun 09, 2006 4:56 pm

Incident_MET wrote:Its got more things going for it than against it. Previous systems especially in the last couple of years in warm water environments have developed more times than not. A rather large area of broad circulation and my money is on further development. More difficult to place a track on it though should LL center develop east or west of estimated position. Will be interesting to watch.

My opinions only.


I concur.

Actually, this has more things going for it than a couple of the named systems from last year.

However, it's so early in its development that it's much to early to say where it will go. The models say some northward movement (US Gulf Coast landfall... somewhere) and climatology will agree. However, until this system gets its act together, it's much too difficult to say.
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tropicsgal05
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#6 Postby tropicsgal05 » Fri Jun 09, 2006 5:42 pm

I was just watching WPMI, channel 8 and David Glenn said they woud have a better idea as to the track tomarrow once the hurricane hunter's go in and check it out. Hope that helps a little.
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#7 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Fri Jun 09, 2006 6:36 pm

I'm not a pro met, but from what I have gathered...these are my ideas on where it might end up:

FL = 45% chance

AL/MS = 30% chance

LA/TX = 20% chance

NO U.S. Impact = 5% chance
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donsutherland1
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#8 Postby donsutherland1 » Fri Jun 09, 2006 9:23 pm

Boca_chris,

Wilma made Florida landfall as a Category 3 hurricane: http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/pdf/TCR-AL252005_Wilma.pdf
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