Invest 90L,W.Caribbean,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #6

CHRISTY · #21 Postby **CHRISTY** » Fri Jun 09, 2006 9:17 am

go to storm floater 1 and u can clearly see convection trying to rap around the LLC.

#22 Postby **gatorcane** » Fri Jun 09, 2006 9:18 am

Time to take a deep breath dude....

Living in Sarasota - you should know that a developing system like this to your SW with an approaching trough forming off to the NW is not a good thing for you - despite it being June. June is your time to get hit - that and October.

#23 Postby **cycloneye** » Fri Jun 09, 2006 9:19 am

boca_chris wrote:how about the size of our developing system? It is enormous!!!

This is the kind of post that is a waste and occupies space for the much more important information.Please let's refrain from these kind of posting.Remember,Quality vs Quantity.

gtalum · #24 Postby **gtalum** » Fri Jun 09, 2006 9:19 am

boca_chris wrote:Living in Sarasota - you should know that a developing system like this to your SW is not a good thing - despite it being June. June is your time to get hit - that and October.

Sure, but we're talking about a TD or weak TS. No big whoop. And as I said, we need the rain.

Take a look at wxman's map. Nothing major is going to develop.

#25 Postby **gatorcane** » Fri Jun 09, 2006 9:19 am

This is the kind of post that is a waste and occupies space for the much more important information.Please let's refrain fromn these kind of posting.Remember,Quality vs Quantity.

Okay no problem

#26 Postby **HollynLA** » Fri Jun 09, 2006 9:19 am

boca chris, if it develops into a hurricane, I will certainly eat my words, because no where needs a hurricane, especially the Gulf coast and Florida, but I just don't see it forming into a hurricane. Let's just hope it stays a TD or weak TS when it gets to wherever it's going, which is looking more like Florida at this time.

I certainly would get excited about a hurricane however.

cheezyWXguy · #27 Postby **cheezyWXguy** » Fri Jun 09, 2006 9:21 am

does anyone have an estimate of where the LLC of the system is?

#28 Postby **hriverajr** » Fri Jun 09, 2006 9:22 am

I must agree if anything heads towards florida over the next three days just looking at forecasted upper level winds, It would be ripped apart.

Clint_TX · #29 Postby **Clint_TX** » Fri Jun 09, 2006 9:24 am

What is going to make this system move?

cheezyWXguy · #30 Postby **cheezyWXguy** » Fri Jun 09, 2006 9:24 am

also is this still expected to cross the yucatan?

quandary · #31 Postby **quandary** » Fri Jun 09, 2006 9:25 am

Thing looks like it has a shot for sure. How about a 25 page limit in the future when the posts come ever faster and more furiously?

#32 Postby **CrazyC83** » Fri Jun 09, 2006 9:26 am

It is still over the Yucatan right now. I think development is about 24-36 hours away.

#33 Postby **gatorcane** » Fri Jun 09, 2006 9:26 am

the latest consensus by the global models is showing a slow north movement guided by a weak Bermuda High to the east, then a short-wave trough swings through the Ohio valley later next week which causes it to turn NE into the Florida West coast. Of course that could change, it is early.

#34 Postby **skysummit** » Fri Jun 09, 2006 9:28 am

CrazyC83 wrote:It is still over the Yucatan right now. I think development is about 24-36 hours away.

Have you checked visible satellite imagery lately? It's no longer over the Yucatan. It regenerated itself offshore to the east of Belize and south of Cuba.

#35 Postby **Steve** » Fri Jun 09, 2006 9:28 am

>>go to storm floater 1 and u can clearly see convection trying to rap around the LLC.

Convection around the LLC:

Yeah, I be firing off convection
Like it was the resurection
Could I make a suggestion
Let me continue this expression
My high clouds is red
The middles is yellow
Yo, pass that ova here
So I can get mellow.

Steve

#36 Postby **skysummit** » Fri Jun 09, 2006 9:29 am

Steve wrote:>>go to storm floater 1 and u can clearly see convection trying to rap around the LLC.

Convection around the LLC:

Yeah, I be firing off convection
Like it was the resurection
Could I make a suggestion
Let me continue this expression
My high clouds is red
The middles is yellow
Yo, pass that ova here
So I can get mellow.

Steve

Ok....someone has lost it! It's that Lockport water, yeh??? Comon! LOL

cheezyWXguy · #37 Postby **cheezyWXguy** » Fri Jun 09, 2006 9:30 am

link?

#38 Postby **Steve** » Fri Jun 09, 2006 9:34 am

>>Ok....someone has lost it! It's that Lockport water, yeh??? Comon! LOL

Wrap /= rap

Just having some fun. We'll all be taking a much more serious tone as the season progresses. I think we get a named storm out of 90L, but probably not for a while. And I disagree with others. I think there's an outside chance at Cat 1, but more likely a mid-grade TS. The models are almost exclusively going with a Big Bend to Central Panhandle hit based (apparently) on a short wave that would come down and shunt it off NEward. We'll see if that flies or not. If it was just the GFS/GFDL, I'd call bunk on it. But with all the models somewhat in agreement, you have to give FL the early odds to see the first named storm of the year - which I believe this will become.

Steve

#39 Postby **Stormcenter** » Fri Jun 09, 2006 9:36 am

CHRISTY wrote:go to storm floater 1 and u can clearly see convection trying to rap around the LLC.

Yes it's really VERY obvious.

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/goes/flt/t1/loop-vis.html

#40 Postby **seaswing** » Fri Jun 09, 2006 9:36 am

jdray wrote:need the rain, need the rain, need the rain.

Yes Im -removed- for rain.

Me too, Me too.... even though this part of Florida was really not spared the wrath of Frances and Jeanne as Boca eluded to thread #5 there are plenty of blue tarps up all over but now it is so dry that we are under water restrictions...we could use a TS just for the rain!

Rain dance :notworthy:

Invest 90L,W.Caribbean,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #6

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