TWO/TWD updates 90L

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dixiebreeze
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TWO/TWD updates 90L

#1 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Jun 08, 2006 12:56 pm

Thought it might be appropriate for a thread like this since the updates tend to get lost in the long threads.

NHC 2:05 Discussion excerpt:


A
BROAD/ILL-DEFINED AREA OF LOW PRES APPEARS TO BE FORMING AT THE
BASE OF THE SFC TROUGH NEAR BELIZE. SOME OF THE GLOBAL MODELS
SUGGEST THAT TC FORMATION MAY OCCUR FROM THIS ENERGY SOURCE OVER
THE NEXT FEW DAYS AS UPPER LEVEL WINDS BECOME A BIT LESS
HOSTILE. THE SFC TROUGH AND ASSOCIATED WEATHER WILL DRIFT WWARD
OVER THE YUCATAN PENINSULA AND INTO THE GULF OF MEXICO THIS
WEEKEND.
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#2 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Jun 08, 2006 1:21 pm

Should this be a "sticky" or is it too early?
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#3 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jun 08, 2006 3:42 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:Should this be a "sticky" or is it too early?


No,this one will not be sticky as with replies it will stay up in the first page of forum. :) 5:30 PM TWO will be posted here and subsequent ones.
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#4 Postby dixiebreeze » Thu Jun 08, 2006 3:47 pm

Sounds good Luis.
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#5 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Thu Jun 08, 2006 3:48 pm

Yeah sounds great!
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#6 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jun 08, 2006 3:51 pm

dixiebreeze wrote:Sounds good Luis.


dixie,the best example of a no needed sticky is the 90L main thread which with the constant replies it looks like it's a sticky as is always up there. :)
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#7 Postby max » Thu Jun 08, 2006 3:53 pm

cycloneye wrote:
dixiebreeze wrote:Sounds good Luis.


dixie,the best example of a no needed sticky is the 90L main thread which with the constant replies it looks like it's a sticky as is always up there. :)



Yep it reminds me of being in a irc chat room :lol:
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#8 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jun 08, 2006 4:19 pm

468
ABNT20 KNHC 082118
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
530 PM EDT THU JUN 08 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS COVERING PORTIONS OF CENTRAL
AMERICA...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN...AND
PORTIONS OF CUBA IS ASSOCIATED WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE
CENTERED OVER EASTERN YUCATAN. SINCE THE LOW IS EXPECTED TO REMAIN
OVER LAND DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...DEVELOPMENT IS NOT
ANTICIPATED AT THIS TIME.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.

FORECASTER AVILA

$$
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#9 Postby gatorcane » Thu Jun 08, 2006 4:20 pm

I the low will reform under the energy in the NW Caribbean and Cuba.
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#10 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Thu Jun 08, 2006 4:21 pm

think so??????
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#11 Postby CHRISTY » Thu Jun 08, 2006 4:22 pm

boca_chris wrote:I the low will reform under the energy in the NW Caribbean and Cuba.


yes thats what a fear!
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#12 Postby Extremeweatherguy » Thu Jun 08, 2006 4:22 pm

Ok, so the low is now over land...the waiting game begins. There can not be development until it emerges back into the Gulf or BOC.
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#13 Postby max » Thu Jun 08, 2006 4:22 pm

CHRISTY wrote:
boca_chris wrote:I the low will reform under the energy in the NW Caribbean and Cuba.


yes thats what a fear!


I hope not.
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#14 Postby HurricaneHunter914 » Thu Jun 08, 2006 4:24 pm

If it does reform under the convection it would be an automatic TD Alert.
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#15 Postby george_r_1961 » Thu Jun 08, 2006 4:37 pm

Ok right now with the majority of the center over land nothing will happen. Lets watch this area closely tonight and see if convection flares offshore. The low should begin to move northward over the weekend and if the convection holds together then we may have a tropical cyclone. Not until then.
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#16 Postby canegrl04 » Thu Jun 08, 2006 5:19 pm

If this eventually forms into Alberto,we're off to another : :coaster: start
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#17 Postby SouthFloridawx » Thu Jun 08, 2006 6:03 pm

canegrl04 wrote:If this eventually forms into Alberto,we're off to another : :coaster: start


Very nice use of the Emoticons... :D
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#18 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jun 08, 2006 6:28 pm

SouthFloridawx wrote:
canegrl04 wrote:If this eventually forms into Alberto,we're off to another : :coaster: start


Very nice use of the Emoticons... :D


Agree. :) TWD of 8 PM will be posted here as soon it's released.
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#19 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jun 08, 2006 7:03 pm

CARIBBEAN SEA...
INTERESTING FEATURE THIS EVENING IS A LARGE AREA OF CLOUDINESS
AND SHOWERS COVERING PORTIONS OF CENTRAL AMERICA...THE YUCATAN
PENINSULA...THE NORTHWESTERN CARIBBEAN...AND A GOOD PORTION OF
CUBA WITH A BROAD AREA OF LOW PRESSURE CENTERED OVER BELIZE.
CLUSTER OF SCATTERED MODERATE/ISOLATED STRONG CONVECTION ARE
OVER GUATEMALA...THE YUCATAN PENINSULA...BELIZE... NICARAGUA...
THE CAYMAN ISLANDS AND CENTRAL CUBA. SOME OF THE COMPUTER MODELS
SUGGEST THE DEVELOPMENT OF THIS LOW PRESSURE CENTER. OF NOTE...
THE NW CARIBBEAN IS CLIMATOLOGICALLY FAVORABLE FOR TROPICAL
CYCLONE FORMATION DURING THIS TIME OF THE YEAR. THE LOW IS
EXPECTED TO REMAIN OVER LAND DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO...SO
TROPICAL CYCLONE DEVELOPMENT IS NOT EXPECTED AT THIS TIME.
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#20 Postby cycloneye » Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:03 pm

10:30 PM EDT Tropical Weather Outlook will be posted shortly at this thread.I dont expect much change from the 5:30 PM one as the low is overland.
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