Invest 90L,W.Caribbean,Comments,Sat Pics,Models Thread #2

[MiamiensisWx]

Yes... mistake! Sorry, Luis!

[cycloneye]

Yes... mistake! Sorry, Luis!

Ok no problem.Repost the Tropical Weather Outlook there.

[Lowpressure]

Models are going to be everywhere and it is all speculation until we get a LLC to initialize models.

[MiamiensisWx]

000
ABNT20 KNHC 081503
TWOAT
TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
1130 AM EDT THU JUN 08 2006

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A BROAD SURFACE LOW PRESSURE SYSTEM LOCATED NEAR BELIZE IS PRODUCING
WIDESPREAD CLOUDINESS AND SHOWERS ACROSS THE EASTERN YUCATAN
PENINSULA... BELIZE... WESTERN CUBA... AND MUCH OF THE NORTHWESTERN
CARIBBEAN SEA. ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM SHOULD BE SLOW TO
OCCUR DUE TO ONLY MARGINALLY FAVORABLE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS AND
INTERACTION WITH LAND. HOWEVER... AS THE SYSTEM MOVES SLOWLY NORTH
OR NORTHWESTWARD... LOCALLY HEAVY RAINFALL WILL BE POSSIBLE OVER
MUCH OF THE YUCATAN PENINSULA... BELIZE... GUATEMALA... AND WESTERN
CUBA DURING THE NEXT DAY OR TWO.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL STORM FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED THROUGH FRIDAY.

FORECASTER STEWART

$$

[jasons2k]

Here is a look at the 72 hour shear forecast:

http://www.weatherunderground.com/data/ ... _shear.gif

shear looks to decrease a lot by Sunday! The Gulf will be perfect for development.

Take that map somehwere else! It's not welcome here!!! J/K!

[BigA]

Here is a look at the 72 hour shear forecast:

http://www.weatherunderground.com/data/ ... _shear.gif

shear looks to decrease a lot by Sunday! The Gulf will be perfect for development.

I thought you were crazy...so used to the red color representing massive killer shear, but yeah, wow, most of the gulf, except for the area bordering the Caribbean Sea is going to be at least moderately favorable.

[AZS]

12Z European Weather Model

[zoeyann]

Actually I know a lot of people who would love to get this in Louisiana. If it does develop it look likes it would be a rain maker and not alot of wind or storm surge and alot of people need that as the grass is getting crunchy.

Disclaimer: before I get labeled a wishcaster and if the above was not clear, I am only hoping for greatly needed rain and not destruction, I just know everyone is still jumpy and do not want any miscommnuication.

[White Cap]

The levees are falling...the levees are falling...!

[DESTRUCTION5]

12Z European Weather Model

This is relativly shocking to me...Makes no sense given the pattern next week

[zoeyann]

I'm confused. Who changed a word in my post

[feederband]

I'm confused. Who changed a word in my post

Their at it again..

[SWFLA_CANE]

Quick question, if this low gets its act together and moves into the gulf, with sheer decresing what would stop it from developing into something more then a td or ts?

[gatorcane]

there is some serious convection blow up now south of Cuba and into the NW Caribbean. A low forming there would not be out of the question folks.


Some high clouds from these huge thunderstorm complexes are starting to blow over the Straits of Florida now

[CHRISTY]

Guys until we have a good fix on were the low level center is going to be models are going to be all over the place.my opinion is it will move north over the gulf and then get shoved to the NE by an incoming trough.i say the florida panhandle should watch this system.then again we all need to watch this system because it is very disorganized and will move eractically. chrisy

[x-y-no]

I'm confused. Who changed a word in my post

The phpBB software has an option for creating a list of banned words. When a post contains one of those words, the specified replacement words are substituted in.

The word "wish caster" (without the space) is on that list, so is rendered "wonderful forecaster".

[gatorcane]

The following post is NOT an official forecast and should not be used as such. It is just the opinion of the poster and may or may not be backed by sound meteorological data. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org For Official Information please refer to the NHC and NWS products.

Christy I agree. I think a low will form in the NW Caribbean and get pushed NE into the West Coast of Florida or maybe the panhandle. The system will move north slowly for a few days and then a trough will come down and shove it NNE and then NE - cuz it is June and that is what typically happens.

[zoeyann]

okay. Thanks for clearing that up. I did not know the word I used was now a no-no as it used to be quite common. I thought I was seeing things for a sec.

[Opal storm]

Wow TWC didn't even mention this,though im not really surprised.

[CHRISTY]

Wow TWC didn't even mention this,though im not really surprised.

there tropical update is at 50 min pass every hour.