Enjoy it while it lasts (In East Atlantic)

Scorpion · #41 Postby **Scorpion** » Thu Jun 08, 2006 7:16 am

Wow its still looking great.

#42 Postby **gatorcane** » Thu Jun 08, 2006 7:26 am

No boca_chris is right it will go poof.

It should go poof but I didn't say this one would - just that 99% of them do in June. This one is incredible though - convection is still maintaining itself. :eek:

#43 Postby **feederband** » Thu Jun 08, 2006 7:27 am

When will they cancel the poof alert? :cheesy:

#44 Postby **gatorcane** » Thu Jun 08, 2006 7:29 am

It is a bit far south though - I think that is a big thing against this wave - the one behind it is rather agressive also. Let's just see. The odds are stacked against these waves - but who knows, they may just be able to hold their own until getting into the Caribbean. :eek:

#45 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Jun 08, 2006 8:09 am

East Atlantic Infared Image

Well,I was going to do this last night but it took longer to fizzle so here it goes this morning:

However still it has some good structure even if it has lost convection.

#46 Postby **gatorcane** » Thu Jun 08, 2006 8:11 am

Hey Luis what do you mean - there is still plenty of convection (if you are looking at the same thing I am looking at).

Patrick99 · #47 Postby **Patrick99** » Thu Jun 08, 2006 8:56 am

What is sticking out for me is that the air out there doesn't seem to be anywhere near as dry as we have seen in the past few years. That's gotta be the main reason why the convection isn't dwindling to nothing immediately upon exiting Africa.

Perhaps we might see an impressive long-tracking Cape Verde season this year with few (if any) US landfalls. After all, the further out they form, the less chance they'll make it all the way over.

If they get stripped of their convection only to re-fire in the Caribbean or just north of the greater Antilles or in the Bahamas, then the US probably gets nailed.

x-y-no · #48 Postby **x-y-no** » Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:07 am

Patrick99 wrote:What is sticking out for me is that the air out there doesn't seem to be anywhere near as dry as we have seen in the past few years. That's gotta be the main reason why the convection isn't dwindling to nothing immediately upon exiting Africa.

Perhaps we might see an impressive long-tracking Cape Verde season this year with few (if any) US landfalls. After all, the further out they form, the less chance they'll make it all the way over.

Sounds good to me! 8-)

If they get stripped of their convection only to re-fire in the Caribbean or just north of the greater Antilles or in the Bahamas, then the US probably gets nailed.

Yep.

#49 Postby **Dean4Storms** » Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:07 am

Patrick99 wrote:What is sticking out for me is that the air out there doesn't seem to be anywhere near as dry as we have seen in the past few years. That's gotta be the main reason why the convection isn't dwindling to nothing immediately upon exiting Africa.

Perhaps we might see an impressive long-tracking Cape Verde season this year with few (if any) US landfalls. After all, the further out they form, the less chance they'll make it all the way over.

If they get stripped of their convection only to re-fire in the Caribbean or just north of the greater Antilles or in the Bahamas, then the US probably gets nailed.

Not necessarily, if they form that far south this time of year it could very well track over to the Carib.

#50 Postby **feederband** » Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:11 am

Looks like de-blobbing is underway.... :lol:

http://www.ssd.noaa.gov/PS/TROP/DATA/RT/EATL/IR4/20.jpg

Scorpion · #51 Postby **Scorpion** » Thu Jun 08, 2006 9:20 am

Another good wave coming off of Africa.

#52 Postby **cycloneye** » Thu Jun 08, 2006 2:28 pm

TROPICAL WAVE IS ADDED TO THE SFC ANALYSIS ALONG 19W S OF 14N
MOVING W NEAR 15 KT. THIS WAVE IS PROBABLY ONE OF THE MOST
IMPRESSIVE WAVES SO FAR THIS EARLY SEASON. THIS TROPICAL WAVE
HAS A FAIR AMOUNT OF CURVATURE EVIDENT ON VISIBLE SATELLITE
IMAGERY AND IS GENERATING AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS WITHIN
240 NM EITHER SIDE OF THE WAVE AXIS.

Although it has lost much convection compared with 12 hours ago it's officially now a tropical wave per 2 PM discussion.

HurricaneHunter914 · #53 Postby **HurricaneHunter914** » Thu Jun 08, 2006 3:50 pm

Not only that the NHC says its a impressive wave. Kinda hard to beleive isn't it?

Patrick99 · #54 Postby **Patrick99** » Thu Jun 08, 2006 7:02 pm

Where's all the dry air we usually see out there? The entire E Atlantic looks moist on the WV loops.

Enjoy it while it lasts (In East Atlantic)

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