Models Discussion about Possible BOC low thread #2

[MiamiensisWx]

Here's the original thread...

http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic.php?t=85220

Continue the related discussion here.

[cycloneye]

As it occured with the first thread the discussion doesn't have to be all about the NAM model but the members can post runs from other models.

[rockyman]

Could we change the thread title to something like "Model Discussion for Potential Western Caribbean system"?

[cycloneye]

CapeVerdeWave,I change a little bit the title of the thread to include models in general,not only the NAM.

[Stratusxpeye]

Could we change the thread title to something like "Model Discussion for Potential Western Caribbean system"?

Seems your request has already been completed. I agree it's a better title and all models should be included, maybe it will ease this fake talk of a model that will be "real" in a week.

[MiamiensisWx]

OK... thanks, Luis!

[drezee]

maybe it will ease this fake talk of a model that will be "real" in a week.

How refreshing…a play on words to portray an untrue statement…

In the interest of those who are not future politicians, let me restate the issue that was discussed.

The discussion was about a spurious low that was shown on a currently experimental model. No one categorized the model as “fake” or “spurious”, just very experimental. The use of the word “fake” or “spurious” was in reference to the mid-level category one hurricane the model depicted in 84 hours.

The NWS and NHC uses the word “spurious” instead of fake, but they mean essentially the same thing.

Spurious: Lacking authenticity or validity in essence or origin; not genuine; false
Fake: something which is not genuine
http://66.161.12.81/search?r=10&q=spurious
http://dictionary.reference.com/search?q=fake


The following post is NOT what you think it is and should not be thought of as such. It is just the text of the poster and does not include non-verbal human interaction and communication. It is NOT endorsed by any professional institution including storm2k.org.

[SouthFloridawx]

http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod ... p_084l.gif

18Z - 84 Hour

[Extremeweatherguy]

just watched JB's Tuesday video and he seems very exited about development in the SW Gulf next week (even more so than I thought earlier). He also kept talking about what a HOT summer Texas is going to have. great...

[skysummit]

just watched JB's Tuesday video and he seems very exited about development in the SW Gulf next week (even more so than I thought earlier). He also kept talking about what a HOT summer Texas is going to have. great...

Well, if he's paying that much attention to the Canadian and NAM, and something does actually form, I think I may also begin paying a little more attention to them, but for now, it's just fun.

[Aquawind]

JB excited? Nooo Wayyyyyyy.. His enthusiam is what sells..

[CHRISTY]

Hey guys here's a IR loop of the area....not lookin to impressive right now.

http://www.meteo.psu.edu/~gadomski/SAT_CARIBWIDE/anim8ir.html

[AZS]

i don´t like NAM, but i just can´t ignore this :

[Aquawind]

LOL.. I hear ya it looks impressive..


Models Schmodels.. They are gonna give somebody a heart attack one of these days..

[SouthFloridawx]

18Z Nam at 84 Hours



18Z NAM Experimental at 84 Hours

[jaxfladude]

i don´t like NAM, but i just can´t ignore this :

Yikes............I hope the next several models runs start to fizzle out...........

[Extremeweatherguy]

18Z Nam at 84 Hours



18Z NAM Experimental at 84 Hours

Both show systems forming, the difference is the Experimental shows a hurricane and the actual NAM shows a borderline TD/TS.

[jaxfladude]

Fizzle Out

[ronjon]

i don´t like NAM, but i just can´t ignore this :

Yikes............I hope the next several models runs start to fizzle out...........

Boy, the experimental NAM really bombs out the storm. Anyone know why?

[JonathanBelles]

when is this system right now?