TD Two-E at EPAC=Last Advisorie,8 PM PDT,6/4/06

[Jim Cantore]

Wow, this thing veered off at the last minute eh?

[cycloneye]

424
WTPZ32 KNHC 042341
TCPEP2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E INTERMEDIATE ADVISORY NUMBER 6A
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022006
500 PM PDT SUN JUN 04 2006

...DEPRESSION BECOMING DISORGANIZED NEAR THE SOUTHERN COAST OF
MEXICO...

AT 5 PM PDT...0000Z...THE GOVERNMENT OF MEXICO HAS DISCONTINUED ALL
TROPICAL STORM WARNINGS FOR THE COAST OF MEXICO.

FOR STORM INFORMATION SPECIFIC TO YOUR AREA...INCLUDING POSSIBLE
INLAND WATCHES AND WARNINGS...PLEASE MONITOR PRODUCTS ISSUED
BY YOUR LOCAL WEATHER OFFICE.

AT 500 PM PDT...0000Z...THE CENTER OF TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E WAS
LOCATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE 99.2 WEST OR ABOUT 45
MILES... 70 KM...SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO MEXICO.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 10 MPH...16 KM/HR...
AND ON THIS TRACK THE CENTER WILL MOVE VERY NEAR OR ALONG THE SOUTH
COAST OF MEXICO LATER TONIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS ARE NEAR 30 MPH...45 KM/HR...WITH HIGHER
GUSTS IN A FEW OF THE HEAVIER SHOWERS. THE DEPRESSION IS BECOMING
DISORGANIZED...AND IS LIKELY TO DISSIPATE LATER TONIGHT.

THE ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1007 MB...29.74 INCHES.

STORM TOTAL RAINFALL ACCUMULATIONS OF 10 TO 15 INCHES...WITH
ISOLATED HIGHER AMOUNTS... CAN BE EXPECTED IN SOUTHWESTERN MEXICO IN
ASSOCIATION WITH THE DEPRESSION. THESE RAINS COULD LIFE-THREATENING
FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES.

REPEATING THE 500 PM PDT POSITION...16.4 N...99.2 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST NEAR 10 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...30 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1007 MB.

THE NEXT ADVISORY WILL BE ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
HURRICANE CENTER AT 800 PM PDT.

FORECASTER PASCH

$$


For sure the last advisorie will be the 8 PM PDT one or 11 PM EDT.

[Jim Cantore]

this thing doesnt look good at all, I think it will be done on the 8pm

[HURAKAN]

FIGHTING TO THE END!!!

[Jim Cantore]

looks like afternoon thunderstorms now

[benny]

kill it!

[cycloneye]

WTPZ32 KNHC 050233
TCPEP2
BULLETIN
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E ADVISORY NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022006
800 PM PDT SUN JUN 04 2006

...DEPRESSION DISSIPATING NEAR THE COAST OF MEXICO...

SATELLITE IMAGES AND SURFACE OBSERVATIONS INDICATE THAT THE TROPICAL
DEPRESSION HAS WEAKENED AND IS NOW DISSIPATING.

AT 800 PM PDT...0300Z...THE POORLY-DEFINED CENTER OF TROPICAL
DEPRESSION TWO-E WAS ESTIMATED NEAR LATITUDE 16.4 NORTH...LONGITUDE
99.0 WEST OR ABOUT 70 MILES...110 KM...EAST-SOUTHEAST OF ACAPULCO
MEXICO.

THE DEPRESSION IS MOVING TOWARD THE EAST NEAR 9 MPH...15 KM/HR...AND
ON THIS TRACK THE REMNANTS OF THE SYSTEM WILL MOVE VERY NEAR...OR
ALONG...THE COAST OF MEXICO OVERNIGHT.

MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE DECREASED TO NEAR 25 MPH...35
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS IN A FEW OF THE HEAVIER SHOWERS. THE
DEPRESSION HAS BECOME VERY DISORGANIZED...AND IS DISSIPATING.

ESTIMATED MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE IS 1008 MB...29.77 INCHES.

THIS SYSTEM STILL HAS THE POTENTIAL TO PRODUCE SOME LOCALLY HEAVY
RAINFALL OVER PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN MEXICO...WITH THE THREAT OF
LIFE-THREATENING FLASH FLOODS AND MUD SLIDES DURING THE NEXT DAY OR
SO.

REPEATING THE 800 PM PDT POSITION...16.4 N...99.0 W. MOVEMENT
TOWARD...EAST NEAR 9 MPH. MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS...25 MPH.
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE...1008 MB.

THIS IS THE LAST PUBLIC ADVISORY ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL HURRICANE
CENTER ON THIS SYSTEM...UNLESS REGENERATION OCCURS.

FORECASTER PASCH


Finnally the last advisorie has been written.


WTPZ42 KNHC 050229
TCDEP2
TROPICAL DEPRESSION TWO-E DISCUSSION NUMBER 7
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL EP022006
800 PM PDT SUN JUN 04 2006

THE LAST-LIGHT VISIBLE IMAGES OF THE DEPRESSION SUGGESTED THAT THE
LOW-LEVEL CIRCULATION CENTER WAS BECOMING ILL-DEFINED. SURFACE
OBSERVATIONS FROM ACAPULCO SHOWED ONLY SLIGHT EVIDENCE OF THE
NEARBY CYCLONIC CIRCULATION WHEN IT PASSED JUST TO THE SOUTH OF
THAT STATION A FEW HOURS AGO. IT IS ESTIMATED THAT THE MAXIMUM
SUSTAINED SURFACE WINDS HAVE DIMINISHED TO AROUND 20 KT. THE
CYCLONE LACKS SUFFICIENT ORGANIZED DEEP CONVECTION TO BE CLASSIFIED
AS A TROPICAL CYCLONE...AND ADVISORIES ARE BEING TERMINATED AT THIS
TIME. THE MOTION...CURRENTLY ESTIMATED TO BE 100/8...MAY BE JUST
FAR ENOUGH SOUTH OF DUE EAST SO THAT THE CENTER OF THE DEPRESSION...
OR ITS REMNANTS...MAY NOT MOVE INLAND. HOWEVER THE SYSTEM SHOULD
REMAIN CLOSE ENOUGH TO THE COASTLINE SO THAT THE INTERACTION WITH
LAND WOULD CONTINUE TO CAUSE WEAKENING...OR AT LEAST PREVENT
REGENERATION.

FORECASTER PASCH


FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS

INITIAL 05/0300Z 16.4N 99.0W 20 KT...DISSIPATING
12HR VT 05/1200Z 16.0N 98.0W 20 KT...DISSIPATING
24HR VT 06/0000Z...DISSIPATED

[CrazyC83]

Best chance for regeneration: Crossover into the Caribbean or Gulf.

[JonathanBelles]

why is it still called a TD when it is only a low?