Closed low forming east of Port Mansfield Thread #2

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artist
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#121 Postby artist » Wed May 31, 2006 12:45 pm

ok KDFM - you spotted this - what are your thoughts now??
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MiamiensisWx

#122 Postby MiamiensisWx » Wed May 31, 2006 12:46 pm

Thunder44 wrote:I'm seeing it now. A very weak broad surface low just off or around of Corpus Christe Bay.

Here's radar.:

http://weather.noaa.gov/radar/latest/DS.p19r0/si.kcrp.shtml


That is around the area I was talking about earlier.
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#123 Postby hurricanefloyd5 » Wed May 31, 2006 12:48 pm

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#124 Postby skysummit » Wed May 31, 2006 12:49 pm

CapeVerdeWave wrote:
Thunder44 wrote:I'm seeing it now. A very weak broad surface low just off or around of Corpus Christe Bay.

Here's radar.:

http://weather.noaa.gov/radar/latest/DS.p19r0/si.kcrp.shtml


That is around the area I was talking about earlier.


Me too....I think we deserve a sticker! :lol:
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#125 Postby southerngale » Wed May 31, 2006 12:50 pm

BayouVenteux wrote:
Stratusxpeye wrote:
wx247 wrote:Every time I see a product that mentions rainfall rates of 3"+ an hour I just get flabbergasted. I can't even fathom that.


Well in the summer here during our usually afternoon thunderstorms we get 3"+ per hour rainfall quite often and it's basically a waterfall. Thats really the only way to imagine it. It kinda looks like a blizzard but not white, sorta a clear color. You can't see out the window but more than a few feet or less and the yard becomes a pond within minutes. :)


Yep, not an unusual occurence for anyone living within 50 miles or less of the Gulf Coast. Sea breeze front thunderstorms are often hit-or-miss affairs, but sometimes when they do hit, they dump! I have a small canal running behind my backyard that's normally dry, but can fill deep enough to wade waist-deep in after about 15-20 minutes when one of those big rainmaking thunderstorms gets over our neighborhood.


Same here as to the 3"/hr.+ rates. It happens fairly often around here with heavy thunderstorms. When Beaumont flooded on Monday, the rain rates were CRAZY! It was coming down in buckets a lot of the time, heavier than Allison rains in some parts! That's how we got those 15" - 18" rain totals in like 9 hours! And many areas only got about 10" - give or take a few inches.

Here's the thread with the image of a 7.08"/hr rain rate my sister captured on KFDM.
http://www.storm2k.org/phpbb2/viewtopic ... 51#1317651
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#126 Postby BayouVenteux » Wed May 31, 2006 12:51 pm

Thunder44 wrote:I'm seeing it now. A very weak broad surface low just off or around of Corpus Christe Bay.

Here's radar.:

http://weather.noaa.gov/radar/latest/DS ... kcrp.shtml


Yep. "Weak" and "elongated" are the words that first come to mind. But all in all, a good observational warm-up exercise for the eventual periodic Gulf of Mexico messes that are sure to come between now and late October.
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Andrew '92, Katrina '05, Gustav '08, Isaac '12, Ida '21...and countless other lesser landfalling storms whose names have been eclipsed by "The Big Ones".

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#127 Postby JonathanBelles » Wed May 31, 2006 12:51 pm

wow the first possible depression to develop on land...how often does that happen?
where is it going?
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#128 Postby KFDM Meteorologist » Wed May 31, 2006 1:15 pm

artist wrote:ok KDFM - you spotted this - what are your thoughts now??
Wish it would have had a little more time and not so close to land.
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CHRISTY

#129 Postby CHRISTY » Wed May 31, 2006 1:15 pm

Here is a RADAR LOOP from Corpus Christi...
http://www.srh.noaa.gov/ridge/radar.php?rid=CRP&product=N0Z&overlay=11111111&loop=yes

And here is the Discussion...


GULF OF MEXICO...
A SHARP NARROW UPPER TROUGH IS IN THE NW GULF WITH AN UPPER LOW
FORMING NEAR 27N86W. AN AMPLIFIED UPPER RIDGE LIES JUST E OF THE
TROUGH COVERING THE CENTRAL AND E GULF. A PLUME OF MOISTURE IS
ADVECTED OUT OF THE EPAC STREAMING NWD ACROSS THE GULF BETWEEN
88W-95W. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND TSTMS ARE EMBEDDED WITHIN THIS
SWATH OF MOISTURE...MOST ORGANIZED IN THE BAY OF CAMPECHE WHERE
A WEAK SFC REFLECTION AS A TROUGH HAS DEVELOPED. MORE IMPRESSIVE
ACTIVITY HAS FORMED NEAR THE UPPER LOW N OF 26N W OF 95W.

DOPPLER RADAR INDICATES AN AREA OF SHOWERS AND TSTMS...SOME OF
THEM STRONG TO SEVERE...IN S TEXAS AND THE COASTAL WATERS.
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#130 Postby JonathanBelles » Wed May 31, 2006 1:22 pm

looks a little north and east of corpus christy
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#131 Postby vbhoutex » Wed May 31, 2006 1:25 pm

Looks so much like Allison did to start out!!!! :eek: :eek: :eek: I know the patterns are different, but this is spooky!!!
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#132 Postby Ivan14 » Wed May 31, 2006 1:53 pm

Wow something that is interesting to watch already and we are just getting into the hurricane season.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#133 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed May 31, 2006 2:00 pm

cool...Going to look into it :wink:
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#134 Postby whereverwx » Wed May 31, 2006 2:02 pm

It would be amazing if it does form.

Image Image Image Image Image
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#135 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed May 31, 2006 2:03 pm

Its not its going inland.
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#136 Postby skysummit » Wed May 31, 2006 2:03 pm

Doesn anyone have a link to radar or satellite images???? LOL j/j
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CHRISTY

#137 Postby CHRISTY » Wed May 31, 2006 2:05 pm

Its looking somewhat better than it did a few hours ago....

HERE ARE A FEW RADAR LOOPS FROM INTELLICAST,WEATHER UNDERGROUND AND NOAA...



Radar Loop

wunderground Radar

Houston Radar Loop
Last edited by CHRISTY on Wed May 31, 2006 2:06 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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#138 Postby Stratusxpeye » Wed May 31, 2006 2:06 pm

You are correct the blob will be inland soon. No formation here. I would give it a 5% chance if that at this time. Nice feature to watch and wish all that rain was on the west coast of fl here but nothing tropical going to come out of it here. imo.
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Matt-hurricanewatcher

#139 Postby Matt-hurricanewatcher » Wed May 31, 2006 2:07 pm

I wish it would form into a weak tropical storm to have a number. But not going to happen.
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CHRISTY

#140 Postby CHRISTY » Wed May 31, 2006 2:09 pm

u guys saw the radar loops i posted!
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